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Ryan Fedasiuk Profile picture
@RyanFedasiuk
Aug 26, 2020 • 8 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
This summer, @CSETGeorgetown has been publishing a whirlwind of papers about #AI and China's efforts to acquire it. Some projects have been months or years in the making. In case you missed them, here's a roundup of data-driven analyses I'm proud to have contributed to:
2/ On the military side of things, we wanted to know how PLA officers and defense engineers envision using AI in future warfare. It turns out the PLA is facing major hurdles in AI development: limited access to data, workforce issues, and a dearth of GPUs:
cset.georgetown.edu/research/chine…
3/ That dovetails nicely with a more fundamental question: How is data used in military applications of AI, and can we measure whether 🇺🇸 or 🇨🇳 has a "data advantage"? With @HsjChahal and @carrickflynn, we uncovered the messy reality:
cset.georgetown.edu/research/messi…
4/ To make strides in AI and other technologies, China has to overcome its immigration disadvantage. Talent plans are a key tool here. But @jacob_feldgoise and I were surprised that few Thousand Talents return to support the 🇨🇳 defense industry: cset.georgetown.edu/research/the-y…
5/ So China's foreign tech acquisition is mainly confined to commercial & foundational tech. But to acquire it, the CCP relies on a network of non-traditional collectors, which spans hundreds of professional associations. @emily_sw1 and I profiled them:
cset.georgetown.edu/research/overs…
6/ In some cases, the CCP also targets students. But this is usually more a question of getting them to come back to China than anything else. The more concerning trend is in partnerships btw foreign universities & China's Seven Sons of National Defense: cset.georgetown.edu/research/the-c…
7/ You can read about all this and more in a forthcoming book, written and edited by some of the smartest people in this field: amazon.com/Chinas-Quest-F….
9/ If you haven't already, it goes without saying, follow @CSETGeorgetown. It's a privilege to work with and learn from such a brilliant group of people. And guess what? You can, too! We're hiring data analysts and external affairs specialists: cset.georgetown.edu/careers/

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More from @RyanFedasiuk

Ryan Fedasiuk Profile picture
Nov 15
I'm leaving the U.S. government after 2 years as @StateDept's main contact with the Chinese Embassy in Washington — the most challenging and rewarding experience of my life.

More soon on what's next.  But first, a few thoughts on diplomacy and America’s role in the world: Image
2/ I’m sad to leave what must be the most interesting job in Washington, and a team that includes some of the United States' most talented and devoted public servants.  

I am and always will be grateful to countless mentors who taught me the American way of diplomacy. Image
Image
3/ But these 2 years spent helping build and launch @USAsiaPacific’s “China House” have aged me a decade.

After serving as an Economic, Tech, and Political Officer — and managing nearly 300 conversations between the governments — it's time to pass the torch to someone else.
Read 18 tweets
Ryan Fedasiuk Profile picture
Jan 24, 2023
It's been about 6 months since I started a job in government.

The learning curve can be steep at first — especially if you're unfamiliar with the parlance of bureaucrats.

For the uninitiated, here's a 🧵 with some commonly used phrases and what they mean in plain English:
"Tasker" — a thing you must do.
"Due-out" — a tasker from a previous meeting or engagement.
Read 17 tweets
Ryan Fedasiuk Profile picture
Jun 29, 2022
The Chinese military is buying high-end computer chips designed by 🇺🇸 companies to power its next-generation weapon systems.

Here's what @kelmgren, Ellen Lu, and I found in our latest investigation for @CSETGeorgetown — and how to stop it.

🧵 1/17

cset.georgetown.edu/publication/si…
2/ My last study on AI in 🇨🇳 analyzed 66,000 purchase records published by the People's Liberation Army (PLA).

In November, we began to scour them for any mention of “AI chips” — high-end GPUs, FPGAs, and ASICs that are useful for training AI systems.

cset.georgetown.edu/publication/ha…
3/ We could find only a handful of records — 24 contracts for 94 specific chips. We assume the PLA is buying a lot more through classified channels.

But of the contracts we could see, nearly all of them were for chips designed by @nvidia, @XilinxInc, @pmcmicrosemi, and @intel.
Read 18 tweets
Ryan Fedasiuk Profile picture
Jun 16, 2022
The U.S. approach to economic statecraft is not cut out for strategic competition with China and Russia.

We are watching our adversaries source equipment, data, and capital from 🇺🇸 and its allies, and I am tired of admiring the problem.

🧵 1/10

washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/…
2/ @HASCRepublicans, @HASCDemocrats, @SASCGOP, and @SASCDems should use this NDAA cycle to build the Department of Commerce into a juggernaut, expand open-source intelligence collection and analysis, and/or instantiate new, flexible export control authorities within DoD.
3/ In October, we @CSETGeorgetown identified 273 companies selling AI systems and related components to the Chinese military.

At the time, only 22 — 8% — were listed in @CommerceGov's Entity List or Military End User List.

cset.georgetown.edu/publication/ha…
Read 10 tweets
Ryan Fedasiuk Profile picture
Jun 15, 2022
Succeeding in tech competition with China requires understanding the sources of power within its innovation system.

That's why @emily_sw1, @channingclee, @AnnaPuglisi838, and I dove into its expansive network of State Key Laboratories.

🧵 1/10:

cset.georgetown.edu/publication/ch…
2/ Our latest report and data visualization map nearly 500 of China’s “SKLs” across varying fields and physical locations.

It's absolutely packed with findings. But I want to highlight three of our most important conclusions about the state of science and technology in China:
3/ ➡️ First, China is striving to emulate the U.S. laboratory system, but it’s not there yet.

At the top of China's lab system sit 20 National Labs—its answer to e.g. Los Alamos or PNNL.

Since 1984, 🇨🇳's gov has approved the creation of 10 new ones—but only 2 have been built.
Read 11 tweets
Ryan Fedasiuk Profile picture
May 26, 2022
Blinken outlines 3 lines of effort for U.S. China policy:
1. Invest to double-down on longstanding American strengths.
2. Align efforts with allies and partners.
3. Compete to defend our interests and build our vision for the future.
Extremely pleased to see Blinken call out the crucial role that Chinese students play in advancing U.S. innovation, including the tendency of so many to stay and contribute to our economy and society.
.@SecBlinken also calls on USG to address its deprecated investments in R&D.

He laments the decline in U.S. R&D spending as a % of GDP.

Specifically calls for investment in AI, biotechnology, and quantum information sciences—the 3 lodestars of U.S. leadership in advanced tech.
Read 12 tweets

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