Colorado's COVID-19 Modeling Group estimates that if we stopped social distancing and stopped wearing masks, 13,370,000 Coloradans would become infected with Covid-19.
Which is weird, as Colorado only has 5,841,000 residents.
Read on.
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It results in 5,513,600 Symptomatic Infections
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The CDC estimates R at about 2.5.
But wait, there's more...
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That is, CMG believes 41.2% of infections in Colorado are symptomatic
The CDC estimates that 60% of cases are symptomatic
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That is quite an accomplishment for a state of 5,841,000
And the point of all this:
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And as I wrote in this article, insane models result in insane actions.
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thefederalist.com/2020/08/13/ins…
Links follow
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github.com/agb85/covid-19…
Model parameters (many seem unchanged since April)
github.com/agb85/covid-19…
Model documentation (mask numbers = wild guesses?):
github.com/agb85/covid-19…
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