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It's also one of the most effective strategies you can employ for breaking down complicated problems and generating original solutions.
Assumptions are deadly because you're making a decision on something that may not be true.
Conventions are practices done out of tradition or routine. "We've always done it this way"
Both stifle innovation.
Instead of being late to the party with the latest fad, strategy, or tactic that's working... be the first one to prove it works.
Stop being an imitator. Start being an inventor.
A lot of marketing is about novelty. And novelty can't be copied.
Use the "Rule of 5 Whys" to get to the root of something.
Disassemble a marketing strategy into it's most fundamental parts and then reassemble into something better.
"The marketerâs task is to understand what jobs periodically arise in customersâ lives for which they might hire products the company could make."
E.g. someoneâs age, sex, race, and weekend habits doesnât explain why they ate a milkshake.
Instead, personas should define the different "jobs" someone would use the product or service for.
- The push of what's currently happening
- The pull of the new solution
- The anxiety of what could happen
- The attachment to what you currently have
cxl.com/blog/customer-âŠ
When an attempted solution results in unintended consequences.
The story goes that the government created a bounty for dead cobras to get rid of them, but instead people bred them to collect the bounty and ended up releasing more cobras than there was originally
That website redesign that *lowered* conversions.
Pricing model changes that *lower* revenue.
Discounting that trains customers to buy only when there's a discount.
Marketing today needs a holistic approach.
âWithout acquisition, you donât have a business. Without retention, you donât have a business for very long.â - @JordanGal
Start bottom-up so you don't have a leaky bucket.

Failing to consider second- and third-order consequences is the cause of a lot of painfully bad decisions, and it is especially deadly when the first inferior option confirms your own biases.
Case in point đ
baremetrics.com/blog/freemium-âŠ
At what point does something stop working?
andrewchen.co/the-law-of-shiâŠ
Things are usually connected or behave in the simplest or most economical way, especially with reference to alternative evolutionary pathways.
Simpler marketing is better marketing.
Strive for idea minimalism.
Overfitting occurs when you use an overly complicated explanation when a simpler one will do.
Reject complexity, minimize assumptions, and don't let ideas bloat.
Usually the simplest explanation is the correct one.
Ben Franklin once said "One is obliged sometimes to give up some smaller points in order to obtain greater."
Opportunity cost is the cost of the next best option.
Bias towards action.
Bias towards efficiency.
Bias towards sustainability.
20% of a set of causes result in 80% of the effects.
What's the 80/20 of your marketing?
Double down on what works. Diversification is (mostly) a myth.
Local optimum is a solution that is optimal within a neighboring set of candidate solutions.
Global optimum is the optimal solution among all possible solutions, not just those in a particular neighborhood of values.
Seek the global optimum.
What if there was a global maximum that tripled conversions?
A funnel is a system of connected marketing tactics that lead someone to an end goal.
The theory of constraints says that a systemâs performance is constrained by its weakest link.
So what's the weakest part of your funnel?
If you actually want to understand statistics and probabilities in marketing, I recommend you start here đ
Spoiler alert: Probability is very counter-intuitive
cxl.com/blog/dont-builâŠ
If you stripped away everything that wasn't absolutely necessary for someone to feel comfortable making a decision, what would it look like?
This can apply to funnels, onboarding flows, checkout flows, micro-conversions, really any multi-step process.
The time it takes to make a decision increases with the number and complexity of choices.
This comes back to Ockam's Razor & Overfitting.
Simpler = less time = easier decision
How a message is communicated affects the way it is received.
â 99% fat free
â Contains 1% fat
â 99% uptime
â 1% downtime
â 99% satisfaction
â 1% dissatisfaction
The problem with most marketing copy and sales pitches isnât that it doesnât explain the product, itâs that it doesnât explain who itâs for and why they should care about it.
People need to be sure that âthis is for people like me.â
We are driven to be consistent in all areas of life.
This is why home try-on programs, auctions, contests, wishlists, and progressive forms are so successful.
We feel a sense of obligation to return favors to people who have done something for us. This rule works not only with people you know but also with strangers.
Giving is the ultimate marketing.
When something is limited or unattainable, you want it more.
Think about it â would the Mona Lisa be as valuable if there were 100 of them?
In fact, this is why diamonds are so expensive. They've been marketed as rare, when they're actually common.
People we like tend to have more perceived credibility than those that we do not like.
"People buy from their friends. So all things equal, make a lot of friends."
The authority principle is simple: We follow people who look like they know what theyâre doing.
This can come through titles, accomplishments, external signals, endorsements, etc.
I'm closing enrollment September 6th until late November.
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