Thread by @PeterSchorschFL

The numbers in FL CD 13 are why I believe, at this stage, @JoeBiden is in much better shape in Florida than @HillaryClinton in 2016.

@StPetePolls has it:

Biden 54%, @RealDonaldTrump 40%.

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https://twitter.com/PeterSchorschFL/status/1300218105856229376

@JoeBiden @HillaryClinton @StPetePolls @realDonaldTrump You can argue all you want about which polling shops get numbers right, but we (@Fla_Pol & @StPetePolls) understand one district, it’s CD 13.

It’s why we nailed @DavidJollyFL winninng to the tenth of a percent in 2015-16 and why we got the @realAnnaPaulina upset right.

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@JoeBiden @HillaryClinton @StPetePolls @realDonaldTrump @Fla_Pol @DavidJollyFL @realannapaulina So, if @StPetePolls has @JoeBiden up 14 in CD 13 right now, he’s up at least 10+ in CD 13 right now.

Why is that good news for Biden?

@HillaryClinton won CD 13 by just four points.

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@JoeBiden @HillaryClinton @StPetePolls @realDonaldTrump @Fla_Pol @DavidJollyFL @realannapaulina I take these numbers in CD 13 and I add them to @StPetePolls numbers out of Pasco, where @JoeBiden is running four points ahead of where @HillaryClinton was running in 2016.

And…

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@JoeBiden @HillaryClinton @StPetePolls @realDonaldTrump @Fla_Pol @DavidJollyFL @realannapaulina … I can add insight from a battleground state Senate seat in Florida, where the seat is +4 GOP, yet @JoeBiden is +4 over @RealDonaldTrump.

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@JoeBiden @HillaryClinton @StPetePolls @realDonaldTrump @Fla_Pol @DavidJollyFL @realannapaulina But this is not a statewide picture.

And we are holding off doing a statewide until after Labor Day and the sugar highs of the conventions wear off.

But, still, I feel like @JoeBiden is in much better shape in Florida than @HillaryClinton was at this point in 2016.