Ryan Watkins Profile picture
Sep 1, 2020 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Bitcoiners have ported more than half a billion dollars worth of #BTC onto Ethereum in 2020.

As yield bearing opportunities within Ethereum’s DeFi universe expands, demand to port value from the outside will only increase.

and are building the trustless bridges.

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Many interoperability protocols are not yet fully built out.

But what is clear is there’s real demand for interoperability and a big opportunity.

Bitcoin provides more than $200bn in capital that could potentially enter Ethereum’s DeFi ecosystem.

messari.io/article/bridgi…
There has been a massive uptick in #BTC on Ethereum since the DeFi boom kicked off.

The amount of BTC on Ethereum has nearly doubled since the launch of CRV on August 13. Image
But not all pegged BTC is made equal.

Each solution has trade-offs around economics and security.

To date, BitGo has been the undisputed leader in bridging Bitcoin to Ethereum through its wBTC token.

The problem is it's centralized.
Two decentralized challengers have emerged in the form of RenVM and Keep Network.

Instead of trusting a centralized custodian like BitGo, users of RenVM and Keep entrust their BTC to a decentralized custodian network.
Keep launched in May but had to pause user deposits after a vulnerability was discovered in its code a few days after it launched.

RenVM on the other hand has facilitated more than $380 million in volume between chains and currently custodies more than $130 million in assets. Image
But the above is not the full story. There are critical differences between these two solutions.

The differences may have significant implications on valuation, security, adoption and more.

Ren has the head start, but is it enough to fend off Keep?

messari.io/article/bridgi…

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More from @RyanWatkins_

Jun 19
The era of brain dead private → public token arbitrage is coming to an end.

We simply don’t need more useless infra + tokens while there’s clear secular winners emerging across the cryptoeconomy.

In time the market structure will shift to reflect this.

The frontier is liquid.
Venture strategies will still thrive, but returns will be harder won.

The dispersion of returns between the best and worst will likely increase from here.
Similarly early stage infrastructure investments could still perform well, but will likely require more selectiveness on the part of managers.

You can no longer buy random L1/L2s at 9 figure valuations and expect to dump on retail.

Perhaps applications are next up.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 25
Over the past year Syncracy accumulated a large position in MKR.

We believe Maker could command a $40+ billion valuation this cycle given its vital role in financing Ethereum’s economy — a multi-billion dollar fee opportunity.

Our thesis on Maker in the Endgame Era.

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Maker is the leading decentralized bank in the cryptoeconomy.

At ~2x 2025E revenue, we believe Maker is one of the best risk / reward opportunities today given its industry leading earnings, best-in-class unit economics, and growing market dominance. 

syncracy.io/writing/makerd…
Maker is a leviathan amongst the leaders, capturing nearly 40% of all DeFi profits on Ethereum.

Its competitive advantage is centered around its currency Dai —the most widely used decentralized stablecoin in the industry with its deep liquidity, integrations, and track record. Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 3
Memecoin mania is the closest thing we’ve seen to the 2017 ICO bubble.

Difference is no one is even pretending they’re launching or buying anything valuable — bar is as low as it’s ever been.

Memecoins are the purest expression of greed and entertainment crypto’s ever created.
Equally as interesting is how much mindshare memecoins command despite the sector still being incredibly small (and retail).

Most memecoins are micro / small caps, yet are reported on as if they’re actually indicative of what’s going on in the broader cryptoeconomy.
The most obvious winner of all this is SOL as it’s the base pair for the majority of memecoins retail is trading nowadays.

Just like how ETH was required to participate in ICOs, SOL today has the same flywheel.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 7, 2023
In Q2 2023, Syncracy built a large position in SOL.

The opportunity Solana offers is rare – a truly differentiated technical architecture that has the potential to become foundational alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Our thesis on Solana and the future of the cryptoeconomy.

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Blockchains have trade-offs.

Despite extreme power law dynamics in the smart contract platform market, this reality creates a large opportunity for Solana.

Solana can eat Ethereum's dominance through offering a highly differentiated integrated solution.

syncracy.io/writing/solana…
Trade-offs create path dependence.

We believe Solana’s integrated design offers a structurally simpler and more cost-efficient development environment compared to modular stacks, positioning Solana to win a larger share of the cryptoeconomy’s developer base in the coming years. Image
Read 8 tweets
Jan 12, 2023
In 2022 a nuclear bomb hit the cryptoeconomy — where do we go from here?

A year’s worth of thoughts and reflections on the past, present, and future of crypto.

syncracy.io/writing/writin…
Special thanks to @SyncracyCapital team as well as @riabhutoria, @jonmoore202, and @divine_economy for review and conversations that shaped this essay.
“I heard you once say a lie is sweet in the beginning and bitter in the end, and truth is bitter in the beginning, and sweet in the end.”
Read 4 tweets
Dec 23, 2022
Excited to share Pangea Fund Management is rebranding to Syncracy Capital.

@SyncracyCapital is in an incredible position after being extremely conservative in 2022.

2023 will likely be a generational environment for convicted long-term buyers and we are ready to capitalize.

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What does Syncracy mean?

Syncracy is our ultimate thesis on the paradigm shift brought by blockchains — global governance by transparent, impartial, autonomous code.

It is a conjunction of “sync,” meaning working together harmoniously, and “cracy,” a suffix for governance.
The strategy is the same.

Syncracy is a thesis driven hedge fund making high conviction, concentrated investments in the secular winners of the cryptoeconomy.

We aim to support the cryptoeconomy’s leading infrastructure protocols as they ride up the S curve to global adoption.
Read 5 tweets

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