Ryan Goodman Profile picture
Sep 1, 2020 3 tweets 2 min read Read on X
NEW HFAC transcript on U.S. arms to Saudis #YemenWar

Committee synopsis: "When they [State Department] found themselves unable to assuage those concerns [congressional concerns of civilian casualties], pushed ahead with an 'emergency' justification for the sales"

Key exchange👇 Image
2. For more on this topic of State Department's use of 'emergency' declaration to send arms to Saudis despite civilian casualties/war crimes and despite bipartisan congressional opposition, @BethVanSchaack and @DianeBernabei's recent analysis is key:

justsecurity.org/72188/state-de…
3. Link to full transcript of interview with former State Department official Charles Faulkner:

foreignaffairs.house.gov/2020/9/engel-m…

Link to House Foreign Affairs Committee's Excerpts of interview:

foreignaffairs.house.gov/_cache/files/9…

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More from @rgoodlaw

Jun 28
1/Don't believe the hype

The truth: Supreme Court ruling on #January6th obstruction charge materially affects at most only 5.9% of all Jan. 6th cases.

Some media get this wrong.

I teamed up with two greats—Mary McCord @AWeissmann_—to look at DOJ data⤵️
justsecurity.org/96493/supreme-…
2/ Put another way, 94% of the Capitol riot cases are clearly materially unaffected by the Supreme Court’s ruling in Fischer v. United States.

In this thread, I’ll explain more about what the data tell us.

Here's the key infographic.⤵️Image
3/ Many in media mistakenly focus on all defendants DOJ charged with obstruction.

The truth: A quarter of them pleaded guilty but NOT to obstruction. They pleaded to other charges.

Those charges and those sentences are utterly unaffected by Supreme Court’s ruling.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 24
This is important (but not close) debate.

@reidhoffman shows how @DavidSacks' defense of Trump policies is built on misconceptions and distortions of key facts.⤵️

Plus risk of "black swan" event via Trump policies could severely damage U.S. economy.

1/
reid.medium.com/a-reply-to-dav…
Image
2/ Report by Director of Economics at Yale's @The_Budget_Lab @ernietedeschi:

Analyzes the risk of a "‘black swan’ event outside of the realm of US experience, such as ... military intervention in domestic politics" with profound impact on US safe harbor investment premium.
Image
Image
@The_Budget_Lab @ernietedeschi 3/ "It is also reasonable to assume mass deportation of millions of migrants, the demolition of departments and agencies, and many other planned autocratic-leaning policies risk producing similar [black swan] results."

By @NormEisen @ruthbenghiat et al

justsecurity.org/92714/american…
Read 5 tweets
Jun 11
Breaking: Trump admitted to probation officials he has a gun in Florida

Convicted felon possessing firearm =felony

Indicted person receiving firearm in interstate commerce =felony

Condition of release for Trump in DC , FL, GA is not committing a felony
cnn.com/politics/live-…Image
2/ Donald J. Trump condition of release in District of Columbia:

"IT IS ORDERED that the defendant's release is subject to these conditions:

The defendant must not violate federal, state, or local law while on release." Image
3/ Florida arraignment:

THE COURT: Subsection B requires the release to be subject to the condition that the person not commit a federal, state or local crime during the period of release .... I assume the Defendant, former President Trump, has no problems with that condition?

MR. BLANCHE: I assure you he does not, Your Honor.Image
Read 8 tweets
Jun 4
Brilliant remarks by @RepJasonCrow

Explaining why bill to sanction #InternationalCriminalCourt would damage US national security

“I come before you today a combat veteran, a supporter of the American Servicemembers Protection Act, a longtime supporter of Israel's security...”
2/ Congressman Crow outlines several pieces of recent congressional legislation and U.S. government support for the vital work of the International Criminal Court including on #RussianWarCrimes in Ukraine, #Darfur, Cote d’Ivoire, #Myanmar, the #DRC, and elsewhere.
3/ "The ICC’s largest funders are amongst our closest allies -- the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, France, and Japan. This bill puts us at serious risk of being forced to sanction many of our closest allies and partners, including: 30 out of 31 of our NATO allies; 6 of out 9 major non-NATO allies who have obligations to the Court like Argentina, Australia, Japan, Jordan, New Zealand, and the Republic of Korea."
Read 5 tweets
Jun 4
With news that Wisconsin A.G. has filed felony charges against Trump attorney Ken Chesebro, Jim Troupis & Michael Roman for 2020 fake elector scheme.

Most comprehensive timeline with Wisconsin docs included. From me and colleagues at @GeorgetownICAP⤵️

justsecurity.org/81939/timeline…
2/ Coauthors of the comprehensive timeline include @jhglick , Mary B. McCord and Rupa Bhattacharyya

McCord, Bhattacharyya and Glick also authored this terrific backgrounder related their groundbreaking litigation on #Wisconsin false electors.

justsecurity.org/95670/wisconsi…
3/ Plus this roadmap for how a criminal prosecution in Wisconsin could work.⤵️

Prosecuting the Fake Electors: Wisconsin Case Study and Template for Other States

By Gretchen Knaut and @shanlonwu (published Dec. 2022)
justsecurity.org/84452/prosecut…
Read 6 tweets
May 30
I anticipate:

- DA asks for incarceration as sentence.
- Justice Merchan imposes period of incarceration.

I'll discuss 7pm ET @OutFrontCNN

Factors:

- Gravity of election fraud (Merchan has emphasized it)
- Defendant expresses no remorse
- Defendant's “history and character”
2/ Analysis of sentencing here.⤵️

See Question 47. "If convicted, what will be Trump’s sentence?"

By @NormEisen @AndrewWarrenFL @SivenWatt

justsecurity.org/93916/guide-ma…
3/ Prospect of incarceration as a sentence is also raised by being found guilty on all 34 felony charges.

Biggest factor in Trump's favor:

The rarity of incarceration as a sentence for first time offender of a Class E Felony.
Read 4 tweets

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