Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Taniel Profile picture
@Taniel
Sep 1, 2020 • 3 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Polls are closing in 30 minutes in Massachusetts!

Besides #MASen & #MA01, some Gov. Baker allies face important challenges. This is the moment to familiarize yourself with the night's agenda, as two dozen races feature interesting ideological stakes.

whatsontheballot.com Image
My plan for the night!

1. I'll update on the latest as information comes in (so follow me if you want updates!).
2. Results on whatsontheballot.com as they are called.
3. Likely end the night with a recap on my weekly live video stream.
And I'll add: I just moved out of Massachusetts just two days ago after living there for 2 years, so having this night follow so quickly feels bittersweet.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Taniel

Taniel Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Taniel

Taniel Profile picture
Sep 5
JUST IN: France has a new Prime Minister.

Macron chose Michel Barnier, a conservative politician from the LR party.

This makes explicit the long-tacit alliance between Macronists + conservatives. *And* Macron is choosing someone he thinks the far-right (RN) won't bring down.
Step-back: Left coalition (NFP) won most seats on July 7 (roughly 190). But a priority for Macron was to avoid NFP governing.

Barnier's LR (right) have roughly 40 seats. Macronists only have roughly 170. Even combined, that's far from the majority of 277.

RN has 140.
Trick is: Even if you don't have an affirmative majority in France, you can (mostly) govern as long as there isn't a majority *AGAINST* you, a majority willing to depose you.

Macron was trying to find someone who'd avoid being taken down (=it's called "being censored").
Read 10 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
Aug 30
This month was maybe the best stretch of content since we launched @boltsmag 2 years ago.

I'm really proud of all of these stories, & how they're bringing so many different facets of local politics, and their high stakes on criminal justice & voting rights, to life! ↓ Image
1. Arizona voters face major choices in November, on whether election deniers will take over some of the most important election offices in the state — nay, in the country.

@alex_burness laid it all out: boltsmag.org/maricopa-count…
@alex_burness 2. Michigan's supreme court issued a big ruling for direct democracy, helping shield ballot measures from legislative encroachment.

But it was also a reminder of the stakes of the November elections, writes @yeargain, since the ruling was 4-3

boltsmag.org/direct-democra…
Read 14 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
Aug 29
New Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls (RVs here):

Wisconsin: Harris 52/44
Pennsylvania: Harris 51/47
Nevada: Harris 49/45
Michigan: Harris 49/46
[that's 270+]
Georgia: Harris 49/47
North Carolina: Harris 49/47
Arizona: 48/48
The article only gives the margins among likely voters, take or remove one point depending on the state, but not the numbers in an easy way. (link via @JoshuaGreen) bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Morning Consult's national poll has Harris up 4%. Other than WI these are all within a couple of points of what you'd expect out of 4%. Separate polls with margins of errors & discrete polling errors can't align exactly, hence you throw them together!

Read 4 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
Aug 27
Political situation in France is fairly jaw-dropping.

1. Elections were 7 weeks ago, & in France transition is quick. But still no new government, & it's not just bc there's no solution: Macron stalled, then announced a bizarre "Olympic truce," & is now stalling again.
2. The PM + Cabinet resigned promptly... but remain in office. There's something called "regime of ordinary affairs" in France, where a resigning Cabinet just does routine stuff. But this has been longest such regime ever in France. & resigned Cabinet working on next budget.
3. Ministers aren't supposed to vote in Parliament while in Cabinet. The outgoing Ministers had tended resignation and were sworn in to new Assembly, & voted in Assembly's July leadership elections... but a month later they're still serving in the Cabinet!!
Read 6 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
Aug 25
Things remain stalled in France since July 7th elections.

Those saw Macron's party lose roughly 100 seats, & so any semblance of majority or plurality. And yet his outgoing cabinet remains in office despite ostensibly resigning in July.

But things moving more quickly now. ⬇️
No bloc or coalition got ANYTHING near a majority (277). An unprecedented situation in this institutional regime.

Left coalition (NFP), you'll recall, won most seats on July 7—around 190.

Macronists ≈170. Far-right ≈ 140. Conservatives ≈40.
The outgoing Macronist PM, Gabriel Attal promptly resigned, as is tradition—but Macron signaled he had no interest in a transition, & declared a weird "Olympic truce." Attal has still be in office—this is longest a resigning Cabinet has been allowed to govern, ever in France.
Read 13 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
Aug 13
BFD: Arizona officials announce that an abortion rights measure, the Arizona Abortion Acess Act, *will* be on the November ballot.

It would enshrine abortion rights in the constitution.

If you care about this measure—here are 3 more related AZ elections you must know about. ⬇️
1️⃣ Remember when the Arizona Supreme Court revived a 19th century abortion ban earlier this year?

Two of the justices who participated in that decision are up for retention this fall.

boltsmag.org/your-state-by-…
2️⃣ In Arizona’s biggest county, there’s a big prosecutor election where the candidates differ starkly on abortion.

The GOP incumbent was prosecutor tapped by the Senate Republicans in 2018 during the Kavanaugh hearings to ask questions of Ford. boltsmag.org/arizona-aborti…
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(