First town counted in #MA01, Windsor, suggets higher turnout than 2018, including some new Neal votes.
2018
Neal: 100
Amatul-Wadud: 55
2020
Neal: 128
Morse: 94
First flip is Worthington, though everything is good *enough* for Neal to keep him ahead overall. (The first Holyoke precinct was great for Neal.)
2018
Neal: 214
Amatul-Wadud: 200
2020
Morse: 261
Neal: 177
We're expecting at least 1.1 million Dem primary votes statewide, and more than 100k in #MA01, so I'm not over-analyzing based on the precincts in, just looking at towns that are finished.
Seth Moulton quit his presidential bid 13 months ago, but there's a little protest vote in the district now: In first town to count, Topsfield, half of voters picked voted for his two challengers.
3/10 of Holyoke is in and Neal is carrying it. Morse is the city's mayor and made that story central to his campaign, so this is very good for Neal.
The best thing Mermell has going in #MA04 is how Auchincloss and Grossman, both Newton city councilors, are eating each other's base. They've split 43% of the vote there so far, and 33% is going to Mermell. But Auchincloss's vote elsewhere has been enough for a lead.
Headling from August 11, results from tonight. Mermell was much more successful establishing herself as the progressive who could win after this poll showing Leckey and her mired in third.
Yep, and Brookline gets Mermell a 5000-vote margin. If she wins the ring of Boston suburbs, it gets very hard for Auchincloss to catch up.
Final margin in Brookline, ancestral home of the Kennedys: 64-36 for Markey.
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Still seeing "Harris couldn't turn out millions of Biden voters," and the count in swing states says that's not true.
In Wisconsin, Harris got 37k more votes than Biden. The most votes of any Dem candidate since Obama in 2008.
She lost bc Trump added 77k more votes since 2020.
She is very close to Biden 2020 raw vote in MI and PA. Had Trump just recreated his 2020 vote, he would have lost MI and PA would be too close to call still. But he added 151k votes in MI, 108k in PA.
What about Georgia? Biden got 2.47m votes in 2020, Harris got 2.54m votes this week. Trump won because he added 200k votes.
NC? Harris outran Biden by 4k votes. Wouldn't even have been enough to win in 2020 ... but Trump added 120k votes.
Bannon: "Jamie Raskin is going to try to steal the election on Jan. 6. They're going to say that President Trump is an insurrectionist, and we will never certify the election of an insurrectionist."
"We're coming after Lisa Monaco, Merrick Garland, the senior members of the DOJ that prosecuted President Trump, Jack Smith. This isn't about revenge, this isn't about retribution; this is about saving this republic."
Hello from the Libertarian National Convention. Downstairs, the LP's delegates keep booing Donald Trump; upstairs, the room for the 8 pm speech has been sweetened with dozens of suburban Republicans who drove in for it.
The Hilton also did Trump a solid by making Libertarian presidential candidate Lars Mapstead remove projections of his "STOP 270" slogan - pictures of Trump/Biden, a plan to deny either an Electoral College win - from the lobby. (This acc'ing to Mapstead.)
The Trump campaign's take, via advisor Jason Miller: “Every single person in that room is going to vote against Joe Biden. If you want to compete for untraditional votes, you have to take risks."
“Someone asked if they should introduce me as the former next president of the United States.”
Biden is “failing the George Washington statesmanship test,” says Yang, by not recognizing that it’s time to go. “Given that Joe Biden is such a depleted, vulnerable candidate, why is he not getting more competition?”
Very funny moment just now. Yang says he’s endorsing Phillips. Music blasts and Phillips walks out. Yang says he’s still got more time and the Phillips campaign played him on too quickly: “They have the text of my speech!” So Phillips walks back to holding room.
The Biden "no comment" saga is a great little study in choose-your-own media. I've seen multiple pieces claim that Biden literally did not comment on the Maui fires until he headed there, like this day-of-the-rope-ish piece in American Greatness. amgreatness.com/2023/08/22/a-l…
The wildfires started on August 8. The WH approved relief on August 10. The same day, Biden commented on the fires/recovery during an event in Utah. whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Three days later, coming back from beach, Bloomberg asked for a comment on the wildfires' rising death toll. and Biden said no. It's fair to call that a mistake; it would have been easy to say something brief.