David Weigel Profile picture
Sep 2, 2020 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
First town counted in #MA01, Windsor, suggets higher turnout than 2018, including some new Neal votes.

2018
Neal: 100
Amatul-Wadud: 55

2020
Neal: 128
Morse: 94
First flip is Worthington, though everything is good *enough* for Neal to keep him ahead overall. (The first Holyoke precinct was great for Neal.)

2018
Neal: 214
Amatul-Wadud: 200

2020
Morse: 261
Neal: 177
We're expecting at least 1.1 million Dem primary votes statewide, and more than 100k in #MA01, so I'm not over-analyzing based on the precincts in, just looking at towns that are finished.
Seth Moulton quit his presidential bid 13 months ago, but there's a little protest vote in the district now: In first town to count, Topsfield, half of voters picked voted for his two challengers.
3/10 of Holyoke is in and Neal is carrying it. Morse is the city's mayor and made that story central to his campaign, so this is very good for Neal.
The best thing Mermell has going in #MA04 is how Auchincloss and Grossman, both Newton city councilors, are eating each other's base. They've split 43% of the vote there so far, and 33% is going to Mermell. But Auchincloss's vote elsewhere has been enough for a lead.
Headling from August 11, results from tonight. Mermell was much more successful establishing herself as the progressive who could win after this poll showing Leckey and her mired in third. ImageImage
Yep, and Brookline gets Mermell a 5000-vote margin. If she wins the ring of Boston suburbs, it gets very hard for Auchincloss to catch up.
Final margin in Brookline, ancestral home of the Kennedys: 64-36 for Markey.

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More from @daveweigel

Aug 26
DNC moving through its resolutions this morning. Easily passed Ken Martin’s Gaza resolution (he mentions “two peoples with historic claims to the land”), passed resolution on keeping super PACs out of primaries with one member saying Dems can’t disarm in general elections. Image
After the super PAC resolution passed, NE Dem chair Jane Kleeb clapped: "Ten years in the making!"

Resolution grew out of the Bernie-Hillary wars.
No opposition to a resolution condemning Islamophobia, introduced by CA Dem Joe Salas, who says the party's image has been hurt by Dem leaders not endorsing Mamdani in NY and local Minneapolis Dems revoking their endorsement of Omar Fateh.
Read 17 tweets
Aug 25
I'm here, one theme is that there's too much intra-Dem negativity. Amy Klobuchar, rejecting the "we suck club": “We’re not getting into it when they try to divide us on every single issue online. Complaining about each other to each other – it isn’t how we win again.”
Tim Walz up, starting with the Melissa Hortman assassination. "We have not moved on from it. It is not a new news cycle for us."
Walz makes fun of Trump's "fat ankles" and says that if Harris had won, "we wouldn’t wake up every day to a bunch of shit and a bunch of nonsense."
Read 7 tweets
Mar 18
Tim Walz in Wisconsin: “I’m having the most unsatisfying I Told You So tour in the history of politics.” Image
“I don’t think name calling works,” says Walz, speaking where a PEOPLE VS ELON MUSK sign was just taken off the screen. “But I do reserve that for the dipshit whose name was up there.”

He celebrates the falling Tesla stock price: “$225 and dropping!”
Walz hitting the Dems' theme, that Rs are trying to put a Musk/Trump acolyte on state supreme court. "If somebody said, I want to be a judge to support Governor Walz, I'd say: Get the hell out of here. You should support the rule of law."
Read 15 tweets
Jan 31
Heavy rhetorical focus on diversity at today’s DNC meetings — real record scratch as Trump admin unwinds DEI programs, w Rs confident that this stuff is an electoral loser. Image
“There has never been a Native American in leadership at the DNC. If not now. when?”
"Unlike the other party, that is demonizing diversity, we understand that diversity is our greatest strength," says outgoing DNC chair Jaime Harrison before bringing the candidates out.
Read 41 tweets
Nov 8, 2024
Still seeing "Harris couldn't turn out millions of Biden voters," and the count in swing states says that's not true.

In Wisconsin, Harris got 37k more votes than Biden. The most votes of any Dem candidate since Obama in 2008.

She lost bc Trump added 77k more votes since 2020.
She is very close to Biden 2020 raw vote in MI and PA. Had Trump just recreated his 2020 vote, he would have lost MI and PA would be too close to call still. But he added 151k votes in MI, 108k in PA.
What about Georgia? Biden got 2.47m votes in 2020, Harris got 2.54m votes this week. Trump won because he added 200k votes.

NC? Harris outran Biden by 4k votes. Wouldn't even have been enough to win in 2020 ... but Trump added 120k votes.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 15, 2024
Day two
Bannon: "Jamie Raskin is going to try to steal the election on Jan. 6. They're going to say that President Trump is an insurrectionist, and we will never certify the election of an insurrectionist."
"We're coming after Lisa Monaco, Merrick Garland, the senior members of the DOJ that prosecuted President Trump, Jack Smith. This isn't about revenge, this isn't about retribution; this is about saving this republic."
Read 12 tweets

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