David Weigel Profile picture
Sep 2, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Can see a wide path for Jake Auchincloss in #MA04, but this isn't a clear story of anybody spoiling anybody: Grossman was going for the same voters as him (from same base), Leckey and Linos going for the same voters as Mermell.
That said it reminds me a bit of those CA races last cycle where a couple candidates would have no strategy for victory but keep running anyway.
This Intercept piece touting Ihssane Leckey - who's heading for fifth place in #MA04 - used an internal Leckey poll to suggest that Mermell was stalled out. A better metric might have been $. Leckey mostly had to self-fund, as she raised a bit over $250k from donors.
For contrast, Cori Bush raised >$400,000 to beat Lacy Clay. Lecky just didn't put the kind of campaign together that could win a crowded primary, hampered (as article notes) by jumping in to challenge Kennedy, which kept consultants away.
The Needham count is off, but that's the only town where Mermell looks like she'd add to her margin.

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More from @daveweigel

Nov 8
Still seeing "Harris couldn't turn out millions of Biden voters," and the count in swing states says that's not true.

In Wisconsin, Harris got 37k more votes than Biden. The most votes of any Dem candidate since Obama in 2008.

She lost bc Trump added 77k more votes since 2020.
She is very close to Biden 2020 raw vote in MI and PA. Had Trump just recreated his 2020 vote, he would have lost MI and PA would be too close to call still. But he added 151k votes in MI, 108k in PA.
What about Georgia? Biden got 2.47m votes in 2020, Harris got 2.54m votes this week. Trump won because he added 200k votes.

NC? Harris outran Biden by 4k votes. Wouldn't even have been enough to win in 2020 ... but Trump added 120k votes.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 15
Day two
Bannon: "Jamie Raskin is going to try to steal the election on Jan. 6. They're going to say that President Trump is an insurrectionist, and we will never certify the election of an insurrectionist."
"We're coming after Lisa Monaco, Merrick Garland, the senior members of the DOJ that prosecuted President Trump, Jack Smith. This isn't about revenge, this isn't about retribution; this is about saving this republic."
Read 12 tweets
May 25
Hello from the Libertarian National Convention. Downstairs, the LP's delegates keep booing Donald Trump; upstairs, the room for the 8 pm speech has been sweetened with dozens of suburban Republicans who drove in for it. Image
The Hilton also did Trump a solid by making Libertarian presidential candidate Lars Mapstead remove projections of his "STOP 270" slogan - pictures of Trump/Biden, a plan to deny either an Electoral College win - from the lobby. (This acc'ing to Mapstead.)
The Trump campaign's take, via advisor Jason Miller: “Every single person in that room is going to vote against Joe Biden. If you want to compete for untraditional votes, you have to take risks."
Read 10 tweets
Jan 18
Andrew Yang in Hanover, to support Dean Phillips.

“Someone asked if they should introduce me as the former next president of the United States.” Image
Biden is “failing the George Washington statesmanship test,” says Yang, by not recognizing that it’s time to go. “Given that Joe Biden is such a depleted, vulnerable candidate, why is he not getting more competition?”
Very funny moment just now. Yang says he’s endorsing Phillips. Music blasts and Phillips walks out. Yang says he’s still got more time and the Phillips campaign played him on too quickly: “They have the text of my speech!” So Phillips walks back to holding room.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 25, 2023
Turley, as usual, is wrong.

Nov. 11: Raffensperger starts audit
Nov. 19: Audit finishes, Biden wins
Nov. 20: Election certified for Biden
Nov. 21: Trump requests recount
Dec. 7: Biden wins recount
Dec. 14: Electors vote
Jan. 2: Trump "find votes" call

Turley gets more details wrong about stuff I've covered than any other pundit - impressive guy
Yeah, this is the deal - he's very reactive and doesn't do research. He just wants to be on TV.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 22, 2023
The Biden "no comment" saga is a great little study in choose-your-own media. I've seen multiple pieces claim that Biden literally did not comment on the Maui fires until he headed there, like this day-of-the-rope-ish piece in American Greatness. amgreatness.com/2023/08/22/a-l…
Image
The wildfires started on August 8. The WH approved relief on August 10. The same day, Biden commented on the fires/recovery during an event in Utah. whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Image
Three days later, coming back from beach, Bloomberg asked for a comment on the wildfires' rising death toll. and Biden said no. It's fair to call that a mistake; it would have been easy to say something brief.
Read 6 tweets

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