Research has shown demos give "cognitive legitimacy:" making a product plausible & inevitable. This paper on Shark Tank shows the more prepared (coherent, fact-based, narrative) the pitch, the more legitimate it seems & the more $ it raises! 1/4
Good entrepreneurs (as well as scam artists 👇) use demos and prototypes as part of an overall push for legitimacy. They are an important symbol of success for companies 2/4
Demos work in established companies, with caveats. If you are trying to pitch a novel idea to your boss, they will think you more creative & persuasive if you do a simple (crude) demo. If the idea isn’t novel, showing prototypes makes your boss think you are LESS creative. 3/4
We end with a famously effective demos. Watch how Jobs builds legitimacy: 1) Tells a story about why Apple’s win was inevitable 2) Demo'ed & described, the (secretly barely working) product 3) Combined personal style with careful preparation 4/4
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Claude: “Give me hard original writing prompts for an MFA program” yields some really clever (and near impossible) prompts.
A few more. (Literal prompt: “give me some more”)
It did well on #12 (broken into parts)
# The Night Shift
## Operation Manual: TX-2047 Industrial Processing Unit
### Document Classification: Essential Reading
### Last Updated: 27 October 2024
**WARNING: Failure to follow proper shutdown procedures may result in catastrophic system failure and/or permanent spiritual contamination of the processing unit. All operators must complete this training module before attempting solo operation.**
I've been working the night shift at the plant for three weeks now, and I still can't shake the feeling that something's wrong. The constant hum of machinery should be comforting – white noise to fade into the background – but instead it feels like a presence. Watching. Waiting.
**1. INITIAL POWER-UP SEQUENCE**
- Locate the main control panel in the eastern wing
- Insert operator key and turn clockwise until resistance is felt
- Wait for the safety lights to pulse three times
The eastern wing is the worst. During day shift, it's just another industrial corridor: concrete floors, steel pipes, fluorescent lights. But at night, those same lights flicker and dim, casting shadows that seem to move when you're not looking directly at them. The shadows are always darker near the main control panel.
**WARNING: Never attempt to force the operator key if resistance occurs before a full clockwise turn. This may indicate a structural compromise in the primary containment system.**
The manual says the resistance is normal, just the safety systems engaging. But it feels different every time – sometimes a clean click, sometimes a grinding that sets my teeth on edge. Last night, I swear I heard whispering when I turned the key.
**2. PRIMARY SYSTEM ACTIVATION**
- Check all pressure gauges in sequence (A through F)
- Verify each gauge reads within acceptable parameters (see Table 1.1)
- If any gauge shows readings in the red zone, proceed to Emergency Protocol 7
They never told me what happened to the last night shift operator. Clean record, five years of experience, then one morning they found the control room empty. The key was still in the panel, turned halfway. All six pressure gauges were pegged in the red.
The numbers dance in front of my eyes during every check. Sometimes they seem to change when I blink, but when I look again, they're normal. Always just within acceptable parameters. Always just barely safe.
**3. COOLANT SYSTEM INITIALIZATION**
- Open primary coolant valves in the following sequence ONLY:
1. Valve 2C
2. Valve 4A
3. Valve 1B
4. Valve 3D
- Listen for the distinctive activation tone
- Verify flow rates on digital display
The activation tone. That's what they call it in the manual. A clear, mechanical chime that means everything's working properly. But it doesn't sound like a chime anymore. It sounds like singing. Like a voice calling from somewhere deep in the pipes.
**WARNING: The correct valve sequence must be followed precisely. Improper activation may result in system contamination and anomalous behavior of both mechanical and digital components.**
I asked my supervisor about system contamination once. His face went pale, and he told me to stick to the manual. Just follow the procedures. Don't ask questions. Don't investigate unusual sounds. Don't look too long at the shadows near the pressure gauges.
I wish people would stop repeating these as if they are facts that AI is plateauing.
AI might hit a roadblock, we don’t know, but every one of these issues has multiple studies stating the opposite: synthetic data works, scaling is fine, etc. We need more nuance on the AI future
I don’t know if LLMs can reason in theory, but they seem to “reason” in practice.
Ask Claude a Fermi problem: How many telephone poles are there in Manhattan? (Guess: 440. Actual: 0). On Staten Island? (Guess 19000-2859. Actual: 27,137) Queens? (Guess: 51-85k. Actual: 103k)
It doesn’t seem to have the number handy, but, even if it did, next token prediction should mean it reasons forward, not backward from a conclusion.
They are obviously not good at all sorts of problems (logic puzzles, etc.) but they do well at many others (Fermi problems, etc).
Reminders about how to stay sane on Twitter: 1) You don't have to weigh in on anything you don't want to (or don't know anything about) 2) You should block more 3) You don't need to share your real life 4) Delete a lot of drafts 5) You can delete tweets people take the wrong way
6) Don't be a jerk. Think twice before quote-tweeting to dunk on people 7) Emotional contagion online has support in the academic literature. You don't need to keep the chain of bad feelings going 8) Twitter people do not represent real-life views, don't take it too seriously
9) Either be very trigger-happy to curate your For You page or stick to your Following page. Algorithms optimize for engagement. Things that make you mad engage you, and then you will be shown more things that make you mad 10) You cannot judge real-life consensus based on Twitter
Write me a corporate memo covering the following points, integrating them together in a good way:
-Forgive me for the murder I committed
-We will hit quarterly steel crumpet goals
-The fish people are here to evaluate our offer. Make sure to speak to them only in fish. Include some fish people sayings
-Do not touch the vortex in the break room. Explain why. -We have pivoted from a NFT company to an artisanal pickle shop. Give details about their similarities.
-Anyone not acknowledging Pluto is a planet will be fired. There will be a series of tests.
The legal and PR teams have asked you to walk everything back (even though everything that happened was real, and everyone knows its real), each point for a different reason, write that memo make the excuses elaborate and obviously transparent and over-the-top.
the floor is now lava, explain why, give new procedures, spin it positively. its actual lava. not fake, not a joke. lava.
(OMG, it has it in for Steve, hilariously, see the last memo)