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Time for a French Covid numbers update.
In the 6 days since my last thread, the picture has darkened - not dramatically but darkened all the same. For the first time since mid-April, the number of C19 patients in French hospitals and intensive care units is now growing daily 1/7
There were 7,157 new Covid cases confirmed today, following 7,017 yesterday. In the previous 4 days there had been something of a lull, with figures between 3,082 and 5,453. 2/7
More worryingly, the pattern of hospital and ICU numbers, which had been falling steadily since April, seems to have reversed. There is no flood of patients like March and April but the number of acute cases is increasing steadily. So are deaths. 3/7
Seven days ago there were 387 C19 patients in ICUs in France. Tonight there were 464. Seven days ago, the hospital population of C19 patients was 4,535. Now its’s 4,643.
Not dramatic but still...
4/7
There have been an average of 18.5 C19 deaths a day in the last six days, compared to 13.2 in the previous 10 days and 10.5 in the period before that. The new total of C19 is 30,706 (not including an estimated 1,800 deaths-at- home). 5/7
So…there is good news and bad news.
The number of new cases is not exploding. The average for the last six days is 5,518, compared to 4,668 in the previous 7 days. BUT… 6/7
I
It’s no longer quite true to say that this is an “epidemic without sick people”.
Is this clear reversal of the trend in hospital and ICU numbers just a blip?
Or the beginning of a new crisis? 7/7
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