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Max Bergmann Profile picture
@maxbergmann
Sep 5, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
So about that tape... and whether the Kremlin has Kompromat on POTUS...Senate Intel looked at the 2013 Moscow Miss Universe trip with meticulous detail and...
They found this really weird receipt that was billed to Trump’s room at the Ritz, especially for a guy who doesn’t smoke or drink. $720 to the hotel bar and $306 for shisha. Kinda sounds like he had some people over... Image
But who? Trump’s body man Keith Schiller said he was offered 5 prostitutes for Trump. Schiller says it was rejected. But the Committee has a very interesting footnote citing Cohen saying he is “the ultimate protector” and “keeper of Mr. Trump’s secrets” willing to “lie for Trump” ImageImage
There is also another really interesting detail. Trump’s suite (which was switched from the presidential suite - Steele gets that wrong) was for some reason reserved and paid for two nights ahead of time. The Agalarovs booked the room. ImageImage
And the committee concludes with Image

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More from @maxbergmann

Max Bergmann Profile picture
Nov 10
I think Ukraine has consistently badly misread Washington and American politics and this speaks to that.
To clarify, many of Ukraine’s ardent backers in DC are never Trump Rs that attacked the Biden admin from the right. But this group is politically homeless. Biden is the HAWK in US politics. Meanwhile, the Trump/GOP are filled w/ China-firsters, neo-isolationists, withholding aid.
The never trumpets were listened to by Ukraine. But the challenge for the Biden admin was that when GOP took congress they had to spend 18 months groveling for a supplemental. They also had a Pentagon that really doesn’t care that much and is hyper China focused. Therefore…
Read 7 tweets
Max Bergmann Profile picture
Jul 12
Some NATO summit thoughts. Overall, it was a drama-less summit (at least on substance). Admin did a good job setting Ukrainian expectations, limiting acrimony, and focusing on NATO’s historic role. But summit was also a missed opportunity to set a new course. Thread. 1/
Let’s start with the deliverables. First, the Ukraine aid (air defense, etc) and the security agreements and compact are significant. NATO coordinating Ukraine aid less so (is the US doing a bad job???) but may insulate coordination in event of Trump. 2/
Second, actual purpose of this summit is highly technocratic; checking in regional plan implementation (not the sexiest deliverable because classified!). Apparently, going well, yay! (Though not quite sure how since no one has any ammo anymore.) 3/
Read 22 tweets
Max Bergmann Profile picture
Jun 11
My main take away from the European Parliamentary elections is that it is kinda hard to have a grand European take away. Lots of cross-cutting trends that makes me think the general direction of travel Europe is basically okay. Some misc thoughts/caveats. 1/
1. The big caveat is France and Germany. Europe's two most important countries are a political mess. Berlin's dysfunction has been a huge problem for the EU. Now Paris c/d be as well.
The EU is not just France and Germany but it can't work without them either. With all eyes in France now, it is also critical in Germany for either Greens or SDP to become viable CDU coalition partners before next election.
Read 9 tweets
Max Bergmann Profile picture
Oct 4, 2023
The chaos in the House leaves Ukraine in a dangerous limbo.

Let’s be clear, if the US congress does not pass a funding bill, Ukraine will be in deep trouble. A lot of Ukrainians will die and their ability to fight on will be severely compromised. Here’s why… 🧵
Without funding the US will not be able to rapidly supply Ukrainian forces. The US is currently doing this through “Presidential Drawdown Authority” which enables POTUS to take equipment from US military stocks and send to Ukraine. That enables rapid supply. 2/
Congress last fiscal year raised the ceiling on the amount POTUS can take from the US mil stocks from $100 Million to $14.5 BILLION. Huge! But when the FY23 ended on Oct 1st, drawdown authority went back to $100 million… which is basically nothing. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Max Bergmann Profile picture
Jul 26, 2023
Does any one have any sense of what is going on with the Ukraine supplemental??? I see @PunchbowlNews and @JakeSherman reporting we're now heading to a govt shutdown. This does not seem to bode well for Ukraine funding... which seems nowhere. 1/
punchbowl.news/archive/72623-…
To fund Ukraine McCarthy w/d have to bring a supplemental appropriation for Ukraine up for a floor vote. That will be difficult for him, as it will divide his caucus. Alternatively, congress c/d plus up reg State/DoD sec asst budgets. But this c/d run up vs. debt ceiling deal. 2/
But where's the White House supplemental request? Money for Ukraine is likely close to running out. In May, @reporterjoe and others @politico reported there was only $6bn left. 3/ politico.com/news/2023/05/1…
Read 10 tweets
Max Bergmann Profile picture
Sep 16, 2022
A quick thread on European arms shipments to Ukraine. It’s both impressive and disappointing. What folks are missing is this is all about money. The US has allocated funds, the EU has not (it’s now out of EU funding). This means US arms flow, while European arms don’t 1/
For ex, this announcement is possible b/c Congress passed bills allocating $50+bn to support Ukraine. This $600m is thee admin just drawing down from that funding and implementing the bill. The funding is what enables the US to give away equipment. Europe doesn’t have that. 2/
You might say - you don’t need funding to give away equipment! That’s true! But what happens is that the defense bureaucracy is instinctively (and often vigorously) against giving stuff away. Why? Because how do they replace it, from what pot of money, from which supplier. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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