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Ulrich Speck Profile picture
@ulrichspeck
Sep 8, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Both Russia and Belarus have now opposition leaders in exile.
The fight of the ruling classes against dissent and democracy has reached a new stage.
In Belarus the reason is obvious, but it seems as if the Kremlin also sees the protest as a glimpse into a potential future and is hardening its attitude towards dissent.
As a consequence, the empire is likely to become more fragile.

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More from @ulrichspeck

Ulrich Speck Profile picture
Feb 24
Russia's war against Ukraine could have been the moment at which the Europeans would have gotten together and proved that their talk about "sovereignty", "learning the language of geopolitics", "Europe as a power" is a true ambition, backed up by deeds.
Yet that didn't happen. Only the North and the Northeast delivered. Most European countries failed to rise to the occasion. They were happy to be led by Biden. Only under the shield of the US were they ready to deliver weapons to Ukraine. And they always just did the minimum.
The fact that the US is leading the negotiation with Russia is not an accident; it is a logical consequence, a reaction to the non-existence of Europe as a serious, homogenous power willing to push back against Russia seriously.
Read 5 tweets
Ulrich Speck Profile picture
Oct 13, 2025
Why Hamas agreed to the hostage deal:
wsj.com/world/middle-e…Image
Image
Image
Read 5 tweets
Ulrich Speck Profile picture
Aug 17, 2025
My quick take on tomorrow's meetings in Washington.

The problem: After having failed to convince Putin, Trump has lost interest in Ukraine.

The risk is that he a) blames Zelenskyy for the failure, and b) entirely stops supporting Ukraine.
Europeans join Zelensky to prevent that he gets ambushed by Trump -- that Trump tells him what he has agreed with Putin and that he must pursue on that path.

Putin has skillfully laid that trap.
What Europeans want to achieve is a) that Trump doesn't look at Ukraine from Putin's perspective (after the meeting with him), and b) doesn't entirely turn against Ukraine, stopping all support, even weapons that Europeans can buy from the US.
Read 7 tweets
Ulrich Speck Profile picture
Jun 29, 2025
The weaker Iran is, the better the chances for a new, peaceful Middle East shaped by US allies and partners: Israel, Saudi-Arabia and Turkey.
Iran has built his bet to dominate the region as the new hegemon in a "post-American world" on its ally-proxies (Hamas, Hisbollah, Houthis, militias in Syria and Irak), on its missiles and its nuclear program.
After the attack by Iran's ally-proxy Hamas in October 2023, Israel has decided that it has to act to stop Iran's aggressive expansion -- and diminished all three pillars of Iranian power.
Read 11 tweets
Ulrich Speck Profile picture
Mar 8, 2025
Deutschland ist bereit für eine entschlossene Verteidigungspolitik. Neue Umfrage:
Russland ist eine akute Bedrohung: Image
Amerika wird uns nicht schützen: Image
Read 6 tweets
Ulrich Speck Profile picture
Feb 23, 2025
Deutschland kann recht leicht zurück auf den Erfolgskurs gebracht werden. Das Potenzial des Landes ist immens. Es müssen nur ein paar Dinge getan werden:
1) Die Migrationsfrage muss der radikalen Rechten entwunden werden, um diese wieder auf Normalmaß zu stutzen. Wichtig ist, dass sich die AfD nicht als Milieu großflächig etabliert, damit vernünftiges Regieren möglich bleibt.
2) Deutschland muss erheblich mehr in Verteidigung investieren. Hauptaufgabe ist die Verteidigung unserer Partner von Baltikum bis Rumänien. Deutschland muss dafür seine industriellen Kapazitäten endlich anwerfen. Nur dann gibt es Frieden und Stabilität in Europa.
Read 8 tweets

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