"Right now, we're in an absolute raging mania. We've got commentators encouraging companies to do stock splits. Companies then go up 50%, 30%, 40% on stock splits. That brings no value, but the stocks go up"
"I have no clue where the market is gonna go in the near term. I don't know whether it's going to go up 10%; I don't know whether it's going to go down 10%," Druckenmiller said. "But I would say the next three-to-five years are going to be very, very challenging"
"The merging of the Fed and the Treasury, which is effectively what's happening during Covid, sets a precedent that we've never seen since the Fed got its independence," Druckenmiller said. "It's obviously creating a massive, massive mania in financial assets."
Have always found Drunckenmiller comments extremely useful and enlightening. One such nugget here
SEBI in a consultation paper has proposed direct delisting of PSU companies where public shareholding is more than 90% and MPS norms are not being met (74% within 3yrs of listing) due to weak business model, loss making entities, outdated tech or just not enough float.
It has been proposed to delist them with a 15% premium to the floor price (60 days VWAMP or highest price paid by PACs in 26w/52w volume weighted average price)
The requirement of seeking two-third approval from the public shareholders can be removed.
Many stocks with hyper inflated prices due to low float can fall into this category (ITI, FACT, KIOCL, HMT etc) and can be delisted under new norms in HCY26. Once the value is realized, it may be easier to sell their assets or just merge them with other PSU/Private entities.
Markets had an extremely smooth run-time in last 5 months, much ahead of everyone's expectations.
Older and wiser investors are unduly cautious while newer and bold investors with YOLO approach wants more.
Time for some investment lessons learned from past cycles 🧵
(1) Define your investment objectives and goals clearly.
Success in investment depends largely on clarity in investment O&G. Factors like growth, yield, income, risk, are dynamic & will keep on changing every year.
Investors must periodically re-evaluate objectives.
(2) Forming a solid investment team is critical to successful investment strategy.
Carefully assess the honesty, competence, and objective of those giving you investment advice & services.
DIY investors need to make sure they have sufficient time and skill set to execute.
A thread of the 10 best podcast episodes (& series) I listened to this year #2022inreview
PS : I use @Spotify as my platform, so hyperlinks are from there. In the case of the series, I have shared a link to the first episode.
This is across genres. RT for wider benefit.
(1) For over ~4hrs, @amitvarma and @BShrayana discuss the complexities of being a woman in India. Context is the latter's wonderfully written - "Desperately Seeking Shah Rukh" which is a cleverly disguised economics book talking about movies.
(2) Summarizing gist of the business is a forte of @bizbreakdowns and this one chronicling GE's dominance and decline is a treat, specially inputs coming from Josh Aguilar, @MorningstarInc analyst who has tracked the company closely for many yrs.
Certain business channels allowing ONLY SEBI registered analysts & advisors to come on their shows from NOW ON after all this brouhaha is just hogwash.
This should have been done always in the past but that's not how money is made on channels.
Eventually all business channels need to survive which means more hits and clicks across various social media platforms. So called finfluencers provided that on a platter, regulation be damned.
So now following the RA (2016) or RIA (2013) regulations smells of hypocricy.
Every finfluencer has been blantantly disregarding RA/RIA regulations for years in the name of 'only for educational purposes'.
Regulations are clear, if you want to talk about stocks across ANY platform, get a license from SEBI. But this has been rarely practiced.
Quite a lot of investors are worried about the FPIs dumping Indian equities and concluding that this is the prime reason for the ongoing correction in stock prices.
A 🧵 to understand details about FPIs buying and selling in financial markets before jumping to conclusions
(1) FPIs are NOT a uniform class of investors.
Some examples:
Pension funds - very long term horizon (multi-decades)
Hedge funds & AIF - very short term horizon (3-6m)
EM funds - buy/sell as basket including India
ETFs - MSCI, iShare EM, iShare Asia, FTSE
(1a) All these investors differ in Investment:
- Horizon
- Objectives
- Strategies
They rarely act in unison as the universe of investible stocks is also different.
To assume that all FPIs are selling at the same time violating the mandate & exiting India is bit overdramatic.