This article breaks down the obvious, Nigeria’s increasing poverty is due to lack of savings by its shrinking middle class occasioned by a lack of investment in public goods - Education and Health, that will otherwise save them this cost. A must read.
The obvious sector to start with has to be healthcare. There has to be a way to get quality healthcare to 30 million Nigerians in the middle class via a functional health insurance system that targets where they work and builds hospital system around where they get care.
The quantum of good JOBS a network of 100 urban medical centers cum teaching hospitals built on PPP basis to quickly train health professionals while offering quality care across the country can create plus the lives that can be saved plus the revenue to be generated is mad.
D & B reports that Cedarcrest in Abuja has 30 full time employees at $2.2 million revenue; for a typical hospital multiply that number by 5 to get the real employment in Locum, Part Timers, Casual Labour, Contractors - you’re looking at 200-300 working 24/7
Imagine having one in every Senatorial district. 109 of them. 32k jobs. Economic activity from patient care. Access for 30 million people in 5 million households that can live longer, be more productive for insurances as low as 100k per family of 4 in a year.
Question: how do we design for this? Healthcare has continued to defy all attempt at public investments in Nigeria. Why? How do you scale cheaper and more affordable health insurances that enhances access while maintaining quality of care?
This study concluded that (Nigeria’s) health care expenditure had no significant impact on economic growth..in fact was ZERO for 2019. For a population of 200 million that is extremely depressing.
Next step in this policy framework is a national legislation to ban crude oil exports within three years and ensuring every new OML renewal is tied to refining and petrochemical requirement. Nigeria has no business exporting crude. The lost value is too enormous
We need to stop short term thinking to manage an economy with escalating population. We had 120 million people last time we reach 1.8 million barrels, unless you double your export accordingly to match your 220 million population then any increase in production means zero impact
..on your reserves and revenues as your needs had gone up. Only processing and value addition can 5x and 10x value of exports of raw petroleum products. Export your premium products but definitely not crude- Petrochemicals and refined products.
I think at some point it needs to be pointed out that discriminately setting the amount citizens can withdraw from a bank upon demand is technically illegal as it is my money & the essence of currency is that I can ask for it as I demand. You can charge a fee but not refuse me.
If the @cenbank is so incompetent in providing new currencies it should say and do what other central banks do when swapping notes: progressive elaboration. It is possible to exchange notes unannounced the way other free economies do instead of inducing economic panic
If the primary goal of changing the currency is to reduce the cash we have in hand, this current policy is more likely to discourage Nigerians from banking as cash is suddenly supreme. The trauma of Emefielization will be less trust in banks, more cash & less financial inclusion
The Nigerian Police urgently needs to be devolved. The police council as it is constituted today can effectively do it under a transition arrangement without requiring a constitutional amendment. It should be LG based and community not state governor controlled. It is not working
Whether the video making rounds is true or not is mute. A unitary police system is a complete and utter failure. Only local police specific to the 774 LGAs of the nation, funded locally with additional block grants from FG and States can secure a diverse, federal union.
The easiest way to achieve this is for the Police Council made up of the 36 Governors, IG & President to set up community policing committees by gazette with stakeholder representation, & delegate the powers of police operational management & control to them- away from IGP.
In every regime since 1993, they were strategic actors or bystanders.
ING 1993 & Abacha Regime- Kingibe Faction was incorporated.
Obasanjo 1999 - 2003 - Atiku Faction was incorporated and beat the Kingibe faction to VP. MKO Faction went into AD and focused on regional base.
Obasanjo 2003- 2007- The Atiku faction was significantly weakened. Obasanjo sought to build power base. Kingibe faction watched. MKO faction became AC with Tinubu as leader.
Yaradua 2007-2010 - Kingibe Faction returned briefly as partner with new PDM. Weak partnership fails
The completion of the @OfficialAPCNg selection of its candidate @officialABAT to compete against @OfficialPDPNig candidate @atiku completes the generational transition of political leadership from the 1966 Class to the 1992 Class.
The common thread between the two flag-bearers today being their participation in the the Yaradua’s national consciousness movement first called the Peoples Front (PF) which later became the People Democratic Movement (PDM) in SDP in 1992. dailypost.ng/2012/09/09/201…
Indeed, this contest was 30 years in the making between the two business partners, political associates & friends that came from the singular tree that can be traced to the Katsina born General and former Number Two Man in Nigeria who was killed in prison by General Abacha.
Folks always delude themselves about delegates and their behavior. I always find external analyst views, especially journalists, interesting on these matters and they always seem to miss it. Because not all delegates, like all elections, are equal. #DelicateDelegateInsights
Not all elections are the same, and delegates are not given enough credit as to how savvy they’re about these things. Delegates are politicians, first and foremost - and want to win, which is the most important factor to them: not money, not godfather. #DelicateDelegateInsights
The method of voting also determine the behavior of delegates. Where absolute secret ballot is guaranteed, they can behave very independently, whereas if there is more close marking by their benefactors like serialized or coloured ballots- they toe line. #DelicateDelegateInsights