Juliette Kayyem Profile picture
Sep 12, 2020 14 tweets 4 min read Read on X
THREAD: I know what I'm doing. Some reactions to this tweet -- which I thought was hilarious -- suggest I'm a hypocrite and my daughter selfish. I'm inclined to ignore but realize a lot of you have bought into binary notion of COVID-19 response that Trump is selling. Don't. 1/
So maybe it would be helpful to explain, again. We are all so impatient with each other. And the fact that I will do so does not minimize my utter rage that I have to do so (or the disruption that led my daughter to not go back to college).
2/
We are in the risk mitigation phase. Per Fauci, the risk will not be eliminated at best until end of 2021, if then. I feel my role here is to be brutally honest (must be) and advise how we move forward. We know much more now. There are safe things to do, unsafe things to do. 3/
The WH, wanting us to believe that there are only two options -- isolate or be free -- doesn't talk about risk mitigation. But I wouldn't be very good at my job if my only advice, even to my family, was essentially quarantine or party. 4/
I wrote this recently to prepare folks for 2021. We know a lot. Contain the virus, all else follows. As a society, we need to focus on critical needs such as schools; as individuals, we need to mitigate the potential for spread. 5/ @TheAtlantic
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Or, in wonky terms, this chart (I do love my charts). Again, it is not binary: we need to minimize contact intensity (if not eliminate, such as bars); manage number of contacts (no big events); and maximize mitigation (masking, WFH, "healthy" buildings, etc). 6/
We would be closer to "normal" if we followed this. This is what Fauci talks about when he says "public health tools" to get us through until vaccine. In some areas, this means things like opening schools; others, no. Most, it means a "now normal," a daily risk calculation. 7/
3 tested and masked girls in a car; 2 "healthy building" hotels checked out by the expert mom and my brother's Colorado house; stops at gas stations self-serve; markets masked; jealousy-inducing local diners chosen already for take out; 12 disposable extra masks I hid in case. 8/
Each day, different. You can't sustain either rage or total isolation. It may be until the end of 2021, so map it out. If we were led in any way, we either wouldn't be in this position or you'd know what to do. But we aren't and I don't waste time hoping Trump will change. 9/
I'm not happy in that joyful sense, but not miserable. Maybe this helps: today, I walked the dog masked; went to market, masked. I will go surfing later (its still summer) and I"ll wear a mask until in water. The boys will get on bikes. We'll have dinner at home. 10/
I have no plans for planes this fall or winter. Again, my default is risk minimization, and I have no pressing need to be on plane. I have gone to two restaurants, both outside, since March. I will finally see my sister and parents and meet by car (again, a road trip) in Oct. 11/
When my girlfriends call asking for advice, I simply walk them through the daily test: minimize contact intensity; manage number of contacts; and maximize personal mitigation. If they can't do that, then don't do it. 12/
Ideally we'd live in a nation where much of this is decided for us to protect us (no political rallies, tougher masking rules) and to also prioritize important societal needs (spend more time on school reopenings). That didn't happen. So we make a calculation everyday. 13/
I'm not defensive, but do apologize that my first tweet did not mention our pandemic planning. I guess I assume readers know I am WELL AWARE the need. But hopefully this is helpful as we extend the runway again. Rage, yes. Reduce the risk, yep. Then vote.
But now, surf. End

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More from @juliettekayyem

Apr 24
As universities prepare for graduation, there are 3 guiding ("O") rules for safety planning:
1)Outlets: Provide outlets for student protests
2)Off-Ramps: Many on X/the Hill talk tough, but a good plan has various levels of de-escalation;
3)Outcomes: Then get to consequences; 1/
To start, I am embarrassed for commentators who know better wanting to silence all viewpoints with tough talk; for First Amendment advocates who loosely equate Palestinian protest as pro-Hamas or anti-semitic; for those who called Biden's comments his Charlottesville moment. 2/
I say embarrassed because I do not deny the anti-semitism (nor do I deny the Islamaphobia or Anti-Arab sentiment within Jewish movement). I condemn both. But if you think this is all just anti-semitism that must be quashed by force, you are missing the story. And you know it. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Mar 17
A proposal; It is good Biden is talking about the threat to our democracy coming from the violence Trump promises. We have a whole department created to address terrorism. And it would be nice to hear a plan about protecting our homeland security. DOJ is not built for this. 1/
The WH cannot talk of a real threat and then sit back and hope the voters solve the problem. They may and still Trump was a menace. That was true in 2020. He didn't stop. 2/
What I'm proposing is a very transparent planning process that engages local and state governments who manage elections. This plan would provide transparency on threats, a crisis response capacity, recommended rules of deployment for public safety resources, 3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 19, 2023
PAY ATTENTION. I wait to talk to people I trust about how to interpret an event like Tropical Storm #Hilary . So .... reliable folks are now sounding alarms. There is simply nowhere for the water to go. Severe flooding in Vegas? Rain in Death Valley? "Impacts are unknown." 1/
The best to be said now is listen to local news, don't wade out in water, and set your emergency alerts on your phone (flash flood warnings) - if you don’t know how just download the fema app. There is a lot of crap out there now. Follow
AND 2/Ready.gov
LA City Alert. This feed is valid one: 3/

x.com/notifyla/statu…
Read 4 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
As faculty chair of a major initiative at Harvard's @Kennedy_School @BelferCenter, The Global Crisis and Resilience Forum, I am thrilled that four papers from the effort are now posted.
By David Hayes:
1/
belfercenter.org/publication/cl…
The Forum addresses the challenges and deficiencies of our disaster management system and how it might improve. We are meeting again this week in Cambridge.
By Bruggeman, Klein and Talmadge:
2/
belfercenter.org/publication/ev…
By Gaynor, Serino and Bruggeman
3/

belfercenter.org/publication/ev…
Read 5 tweets
Jun 12, 2023
A couple of things to consider/weigh for next few days that cut in a variety of ways: 1)the words are hot, the coordination is not. This is not January 6th. The more established right wing groups are disorganized, leaders are in jail, they've turned against each other. 1/
2)Trump is not in charge nor can he direct police or military assets; 3)Local, state and federal authorities have considerable notice to organize and now know that this is not a drill; 4)still, this is Florida, not NYC, and the pool of people likely to support Trump is bigger; 2/
5)Within MAGA land, there is a clear understanding that Trump did not bail the 1/6 defendants out and can not do so now; 6)It only takes one person, in Miami or elsewhere, and the guns are real so I think that concern of the one off is greater than some organized move; 3/
Read 5 tweets
Apr 29, 2023
A thread on divorce. Given its topic, book lectures for THE DEVIL NEVER SLEEPS have no expiration date. Admittedly, speaking to a gathering of divorce lawyers was unique. I don't like to just show up, so I do spend some time learning and asking about why they would want me. 1/
There are similarities: people and families in crisis, shock and sadness, difficulties in how to "measure success" (riding happily into the sunset is not an option.) The lawyers try to make things "less bad," a theme of my book. It made sense to me. 2/
But I can't get two things out of my head. I asked some of the organizers what has changed in the last decade. They said people have a misunderstanding of divorce. All are sad, but in the past very few resulted in wars. But things are not as they were. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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