THREAD: I know what I'm doing. Some reactions to this tweet -- which I thought was hilarious -- suggest I'm a hypocrite and my daughter selfish. I'm inclined to ignore but realize a lot of you have bought into binary notion of COVID-19 response that Trump is selling. Don't. 1/
So maybe it would be helpful to explain, again. We are all so impatient with each other. And the fact that I will do so does not minimize my utter rage that I have to do so (or the disruption that led my daughter to not go back to college).
2/
We are in the risk mitigation phase. Per Fauci, the risk will not be eliminated at best until end of 2021, if then. I feel my role here is to be brutally honest (must be) and advise how we move forward. We know much more now. There are safe things to do, unsafe things to do. 3/
The WH, wanting us to believe that there are only two options -- isolate or be free -- doesn't talk about risk mitigation. But I wouldn't be very good at my job if my only advice, even to my family, was essentially quarantine or party. 4/
I wrote this recently to prepare folks for 2021. We know a lot. Contain the virus, all else follows. As a society, we need to focus on critical needs such as schools; as individuals, we need to mitigate the potential for spread. 5/ @TheAtlantic theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Or, in wonky terms, this chart (I do love my charts). Again, it is not binary: we need to minimize contact intensity (if not eliminate, such as bars); manage number of contacts (no big events); and maximize mitigation (masking, WFH, "healthy" buildings, etc). 6/
We would be closer to "normal" if we followed this. This is what Fauci talks about when he says "public health tools" to get us through until vaccine. In some areas, this means things like opening schools; others, no. Most, it means a "now normal," a daily risk calculation. 7/
3 tested and masked girls in a car; 2 "healthy building" hotels checked out by the expert mom and my brother's Colorado house; stops at gas stations self-serve; markets masked; jealousy-inducing local diners chosen already for take out; 12 disposable extra masks I hid in case. 8/
Each day, different. You can't sustain either rage or total isolation. It may be until the end of 2021, so map it out. If we were led in any way, we either wouldn't be in this position or you'd know what to do. But we aren't and I don't waste time hoping Trump will change. 9/
I'm not happy in that joyful sense, but not miserable. Maybe this helps: today, I walked the dog masked; went to market, masked. I will go surfing later (its still summer) and I"ll wear a mask until in water. The boys will get on bikes. We'll have dinner at home. 10/
I have no plans for planes this fall or winter. Again, my default is risk minimization, and I have no pressing need to be on plane. I have gone to two restaurants, both outside, since March. I will finally see my sister and parents and meet by car (again, a road trip) in Oct. 11/
When my girlfriends call asking for advice, I simply walk them through the daily test: minimize contact intensity; manage number of contacts; and maximize personal mitigation. If they can't do that, then don't do it. 12/
Ideally we'd live in a nation where much of this is decided for us to protect us (no political rallies, tougher masking rules) and to also prioritize important societal needs (spend more time on school reopenings). That didn't happen. So we make a calculation everyday. 13/
I'm not defensive, but do apologize that my first tweet did not mention our pandemic planning. I guess I assume readers know I am WELL AWARE the need. But hopefully this is helpful as we extend the runway again. Rage, yes. Reduce the risk, yep. Then vote.
But now, surf. End
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Our disasater management system is not sustainable in this era. CalFire gets a lot of training in the wildland-urban interface, much more so than most federal wildland fire crews which focus on uninhabited national forests and public lands. The size and scale and proximity to populated areas is just too much. 1/
In my book THE DEVIL NEVER SLEEPS, I write of a response system that has not sufficiently modified or scaled for recurring disasters despite the fact that these disasters are knowable and predictable. But there are/were solutions. 2/
One to consider is this pilot started in San Diego just late last year. Insurance comes after the fact; we focus too much on it. CA needs to provide homeowners with incentives to purchase costly upgrades to fireproof their homes. It just started. 3/ fox5sandiego.com/news/local-new…
GETTING READY. I've been privileged to assist across this country as a subject matter expert in protecting the rights of ALL Americans to vote and so I have some transparency on what is being done. It might calm folks a bit. A thread on anticipating the sh--show ahead. 1/
Each security plan has essentially the same goals: 1)mitigate risks to personnel and property; 2)a system to identify risks, determine their veracity, and communicate internally and externally; 3)dedicated team members who are focused on threats only and can communicate/decide quickly; 4)keep focus on GOTV. 2/
There are prevention protocols you would expect (doors locked, lighting, videos) and outreach to law enforcement early and often to anticipate threats to offices, personnel, and polling locations all while allowing organizers to not get distracted and to focus on GOTC. 3/
This site is not our friend, on election day in particular. As I work with states and state party officials, I give them this advice: train your teams to focus. GOTV is going to be hit with disinformation, rumors, and the craziness with only one goal in mind: distraction. 1/
Violence is a law enforcement issue; legal shenanigans are for the courts. But GOTV is ripe for the same crap we saw during the hurricanes for the purpose of impacting how campaigns understand what is going on on the ground. My take @TheAtlantic 2/ theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Want to get a state party or campaign leader to lose focus? Throw into this and other platforms some rumors that take time and effort to quell, get staff worked up, and the presidential campaign headquarters bearing down. See @hadas_gold story @cnn 3/
As universities prepare for graduation, there are 3 guiding ("O") rules for safety planning:
1)Outlets: Provide outlets for student protests
2)Off-Ramps: Many on X/the Hill talk tough, but a good plan has various levels of de-escalation;
3)Outcomes: Then get to consequences; 1/
To start, I am embarrassed for commentators who know better wanting to silence all viewpoints with tough talk; for First Amendment advocates who loosely equate Palestinian protest as pro-Hamas or anti-semitic; for those who called Biden's comments his Charlottesville moment. 2/
I say embarrassed because I do not deny the anti-semitism (nor do I deny the Islamaphobia or Anti-Arab sentiment within Jewish movement). I condemn both. But if you think this is all just anti-semitism that must be quashed by force, you are missing the story. And you know it. 3/
A proposal; It is good Biden is talking about the threat to our democracy coming from the violence Trump promises. We have a whole department created to address terrorism. And it would be nice to hear a plan about protecting our homeland security. DOJ is not built for this. 1/
The WH cannot talk of a real threat and then sit back and hope the voters solve the problem. They may and still Trump was a menace. That was true in 2020. He didn't stop. 2/
What I'm proposing is a very transparent planning process that engages local and state governments who manage elections. This plan would provide transparency on threats, a crisis response capacity, recommended rules of deployment for public safety resources, 3/
PAY ATTENTION. I wait to talk to people I trust about how to interpret an event like Tropical Storm #Hilary . So .... reliable folks are now sounding alarms. There is simply nowhere for the water to go. Severe flooding in Vegas? Rain in Death Valley? "Impacts are unknown." 1/
The best to be said now is listen to local news, don't wade out in water, and set your emergency alerts on your phone (flash flood warnings) - if you don’t know how just download the fema app. There is a lot of crap out there now. Follow
AND 2/Ready.gov