@Gabriel_Pogrund That doesn’t include the 5 MILLION + tests that cannot be accounted for (the gap between tests made available and tests processed). First, when the gap got embarrassingly big they dropped “people tested from the daily dashboard.

Then “tests made available”
See data💥⬇️
@Gabriel_Pogrund 2/. See thread above from 9/8/20.

So on 4/7/20 the gap was 2.4 million. By 9/820 it was over 5 million and nearly all were pillar 2 community tests.

They just change the reporting criteria and hope we (and journalists) will just forget.
@Gabriel_Pogrund This story from @EdConwaySky and @rowlsmanthorpe gives some of the background.

Where was the Serious Untoward Incident report? The Root Cause analysis? The lessons learned and implementation plan?

This would be normal and expected in these circumstances.

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More from @fascinatorfun

20 Sep
No 10’s Superforecasting:

“The expression on the face of Number 10 is that of a man who never looks where he is going and is then constantly surprised to find that he has stepped in dog excrement.”

👏👏 ⁦@andrewrawnsleytheguardian.com/commentisfree/…
“The worst forecasters were those with great self-confidence who stuck to their big ideas,” wrote Mr Cummings himself. They are lousy at understanding the world and coming to good judgments about it.”

Sounds awfully familiar
“The more successful were those who were cautious, humble, numerate, actively open-minded, looked at many points of view.”

That sounds a lot less familiar.
Read 5 tweets
20 Sep
ITALY data.

NB: Italy’s criteria for test eligibility is broader than in the UK.

In addition high risk (ie close) contacts if a test positive person eligible for a test even if no symptoms

So their case positive data likely more sensitive than the UK

They admit more readily
And here are the contact criteria for a test.

Not offered in the U.K. unless symptomatic.
Read 4 tweets
20 Sep
11/12 Sept 2020 - early morning 14 Sept 2020
He’s hating his job. Finding it difficult to make ends meet on his PM’s salary.

Who else to turn to but the same mate he turned to numerous times when he was mayor For Sec, making several visits to Evgeny Lebedev’s castle in Perugia?
Whilst No 10 deny it, official statement from the International airport at Perugia says it is true.

And that Tony Blair also passed through between 8-11 September.

Has Johnson got himself into such hot water he doesn’t know how to extract himself?
Read 7 tweets
20 Sep
FinCEN Files: Finally. England really is “world beating”

“The UK is called a "higher risk jurisdiction" like Cyprus, according to the intelligence Division of FinCEN. That's because of the number of UK registered companies that appear in the SARs.”
Over 3,000 UK companies are named in the FinCEN files - more than any other country.

My. Johnson, Sunak (yes this IS his arena in the Teasury) and Patel (financial crime also her arena) - must be so proud.
HSBC - even after it knew the money movement was part of a scam
JP Morgan - London Account
Barclays -Putin’s mate Rogdulin
UAE Bank
Deutsche Bank (of course) - money laundering, terrorism/dirty/drug money
Standard Chartered - supporting an account funding terrorism Image
Read 4 tweets
20 Sep
3899 cases but no data on capacity for yesterday.

18 deaths (28 day), 29 (60 day with Covid on death cert following a positive test). h/T @LawrenceGilder

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 has not reported through the dashboard key hospital data for a week, but England shows the trend is continuing upward
The last capacity data was for 18/9/20 ImageImage
Hospital admissions over the last couple of weeks.

In England it was 205 yesterday.

69 - 16 days ago. Not far off 3 times as many today. ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
20 Sep
It really is a corker from @NickCohen4 from the first paragraph.
“Who knew that children go to school in September? Who guessed that hundreds of thousands of students head to universities where they – and easily shocked readers should look away – strive with every fibre of their being to mingle with each other as vigorously as they can?”
“What clairvoyant might have predicted that, when the government offered the public cut-price restaurant meals at the taxpayers’ expense, the public would gobble them up?”
Read 8 tweets

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