IN ARIZONA... The president still has solid support from Republicans. They think he headed off an even-worse outbreak; that his policies are helping the economy recover and that it can recover even if the virus isn't contained.
And in Arizona, the president is up overall among those who call the economy an important factor; he's narrowly up over Biden on handling the economy, generally, and manufacturing, specifically.
Just 18% of Arizona's voters feel confident about the country today; 26% say they’re optimistic; 10% say they feel "secure," and all of that looks like headwinds for an incumbent, even one with relatively good economic marks against his opponent.
How is @JoeBiden pulling ahead in Arizona? More White women have shifted his way since July. And Biden enjoys a double-digit advantage over Trump with White women with a college degree. 62% of Latinos are backing Biden, similar to the level of support @HillaryClinton got in 2016.
IN MINNESOTA... @JoeBiden has a 9-point lead, backed by improvement over 2016 with college-degree holding voters, particularly college-educated White women. He’s 13 points better than @HillaryClinton's was in 2016 and closer to what D’s got in the 2018 midterms.
Among White, non-college voters who helped Trump keep it close in ‘16, they think he'd be better on energy exploration, manufacturing, agriculture, farming. They believe Biden pays more attention to concerns of Black voters than to those of Whites.
3 months after death of George Floyd sparked protests, more than 1/2 of Minnesota voters say they agree with ideas expressed by the Black Lives Matters movement. That's similar to how voters feel nationwide.
Majorities say recent protests will be a major factor in their vote for president, but while most Minnesota voters think there need to be police reforms, just over 1/2 of R’s think the police and law enforcement should be used to punish protesters.
FROM NEW @CBSNewsPoll: an increased number of voters, including many Democrats, don't think @JoeBiden should be running for president at all. Nearly half his party doesn't think he should now be the nominee. cbsnews.com/news/poll-deba…
Look how the number changed in a month and a half…
Notably, @realDonaldTrump’s cognitive health also doubted by about half the country…
NEW FROM @cbsnewspoll: The economy's long, hot, and uncertain summer … and tough news for @POTUS Biden on how he’s handling it https://t.co/HHWdbrIT90cbsnews.com/news/economy-o…
Have you heard about “Bidenomics?” Not many have, and if they have, it’s not necessarily for reasons the White House would want: “Higher Inflation” “Tax Increases” lead infrastructure and job creation.
BIDEN APPROVAL: @POTUS slips to 40% overall, his worst from @CBSNewsPoll. On the economy, barely a third approve of his handling.
What do Americans want to hear about? The economy and inflation. Lowering the latter is a high priority for so many. Immigration is especially important to Republicans who plan to watch, Democrats are more interested in hearing about addressing racism and climate change.
Democrats are far more likely to say they'll watch the #StateOfTheUnionAddress. Most who say they're very likely to watch already approve of his job performance.
JUST IN: The private home of the President of the United States was searched by the Justice Department on Friday, according to @POTUS Biden’s personal attorney. DOJ“took possession of materials it deemed within the scope of its inquiry.”
Here’s the full statement from Bob Bauer, noting that DOJ “took possession of materials it deemed within the scope of its inquiry, including six items consisting of documents with classification markings and surrounding materials.”
A separate statement from the White House Counsel’s Office notes “Neither the President nor the First Lady were present during the search. The President’s lawyers and White House Counsel’s Office will continue to cooperate with DOJ and the Special Counsel…”
NEW: The consumer price index climbed 0.4% for the month. For the year, inflation was up 8.2% in September, down from the June peak of 9% but still on par with high peaks not seen since the 1980s.
ALSO NEW: Amid increasing prices, @SocialSecurity announces an 8.7% increase in benefits payments next year. That's expected to increase monthly checks by an average of about $150 per month. Notable: Biggest increase ever experienced by baby boomer seniors.
WATCH: @SocialSecurity payments jumping big time next year amid ongoing inflation.
Kelly enjoys wide lead among voters who say abortion very important, but that advantage countered somewhat by voters who emphasize immigration. Immigration is 3rd “very important” issue. Among voters saying immigration very important, Masters leads big, helping keep race close.
In the wake of a judge reinstating a law that bans virtually all abortons in AZ, most voters would have abortion be legal in all or most cases; majorities would not criminalize it.
Women, more so than men, say an illegal abortion should not result in a criminal penalty.