Ed O'Keefe Profile picture
13 Sep, 11 tweets, 7 min read
NEW THIS AM from @CBSNewsPoll: @JoeBiden leads @realDonaldTrump among *likely* voters in Arizona and Minnesota:
IN ARIZONA... The president still has solid support from Republicans. They think he headed off an even-worse outbreak; that his policies are helping the economy recover and that it can recover even if the virus isn't contained.
And in Arizona, the president is up overall among those who call the economy an important factor; he's narrowly up over Biden on handling the economy, generally, and manufacturing, specifically.
Just 18% of Arizona's voters feel confident about the country today; 26% say they’re optimistic; 10% say they feel "secure," and all of that looks like headwinds for an incumbent, even one with relatively good economic marks against his opponent.
How is @JoeBiden pulling ahead in Arizona? More White women have shifted his way since July. And Biden enjoys a double-digit advantage over Trump with White women with a college degree. 62% of Latinos are backing Biden, similar to the level of support @HillaryClinton got in 2016.
IN MINNESOTA... @JoeBiden has a 9-point lead, backed by improvement over 2016 with college-degree holding voters, particularly college-educated White women. He’s 13 points better than @HillaryClinton's was in 2016 and closer to what D’s got in the 2018 midterms.
Among White, non-college voters who helped Trump keep it close in ‘16, they think he'd be better on energy exploration, manufacturing, agriculture, farming. They believe Biden pays more attention to concerns of Black voters than to those of Whites.
3 months after death of George Floyd sparked protests, more than 1/2 of Minnesota voters say they agree with ideas expressed by the Black Lives Matters movement. That's similar to how voters feel nationwide.
Majorities say recent protests will be a major factor in their vote for president, but while most Minnesota voters think there need to be police reforms, just over 1/2 of R’s think the police and law enforcement should be used to punish protesters.
OVERALL, @JoeBiden maintains a leads in the Electoral College, according to @cbsnewspoll/@CBSPolitics forecast: cbsnews.com/2020-us-electi…
READ THE POLL & CROSSTABS FOR YOURSELF: Results of new @CBSNewsPoll Battleground Tracker surveys from Arizona and Minnesota: cbsnews.com/news/biden-tru…

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More from @edokeefe

9 Aug
JUST IN: New @CBSNewsPoll Battleground Tracker numbers from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin give @JoeBiden an edge over @realDonaldTrump in part because vast majority of voters in the two states say things in the U.S. are going badly.
Looking back now, relatively few voters in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin say the Trump presidency has been going as they expected; more say it's gone worse than gone better. Four years ago, late-deciding voters in these 2 states put Trump over the top.
Trump gets negative marks for handling the coronavirus outbreak in PA & WI, as in other battlegrounds we've polled so far. Biden leads on being seen as better able to handle the virus.
Read 12 tweets
22 Jun
President Trump’s comments at an Oklahoma campaign rally about slowing down testing for #Coronavirus were just “a passing observation” and not meant in jest, @VP Pence told governors on Monday, multiple people on the call tell @cbsnews.
@VP @CBSNews MORE: Pence also said that the Trump administration remains focused on rising cases in nine states, with the situation stable in the other 41 and that medical officials are seeing a growing trend of more people under age 45 testing positive for coronavirus.
@VP @CBSNews Pence clarified the president’s comments about testing under questioning by Nevada Democratic @GovSisolak, people on the call say. On Saturday night in Tulsa, Mr. Trump called increased testing for coronavirus “a double-edged sword.”
Read 4 tweets
1 Jun
JUST IN: President Trump unloads on the nation's governors on a call, calls on them to step up enforcement: "You have to dominate, if you don’t dominate you’re wasting your time. They’re going to run over you, you’re going to look like a bunch of jerks. You have to dominate."
In audio obtained by @CBSNEws, Trump tells governors: "Washington was under very good control, but we’re going to have it under much more control. We’re going to pull in thousands of people." (more)
@CBSNews MORE: Trump tells governors: "You’ve got to arrest people, you have to track people, you have to put them in jail for 10 years and you’ll never see this stuff again," per audio obtained by @CBSNews
Read 7 tweets
23 Apr
NEW @cbsnewspoll: Americans prioritize staying home and worry restrictions will lift too fast cbsnews.com/news/americans…
Only 13% say they would definitely return to public places over the next few weeks if restrictions lifted right now. 13% would be comfortable going to a sports or entertainment event; 15% getting on an airplane; 29% would be comfortable going to restaurants or bars.
Asked to directly prioritize 2 tough choices, health also wins by a roughly similar 2-to-1 margin. Many they think they can last at least a few more weeks financially. 41% think they can go on at least another few weeks; 17% don’t think they’ll be affected.
Read 15 tweets
16 Apr
JUST IN: A document entitled “Opening Up America” is being shared by President Trump with the nation’s governors right now that details a recommended three-phase plan to reopen states.
Obtained by @cbsnews: Here’s Phase 1, Phase 2, Phase 3. Document says recommendations are “Based on up-to-date data and readiness; mitigates risk of resurgence; protects the most vulnerable” and is “implementable on statewide or county-by-County basis at governors’ discretion.”
As one participant on the call tells me, these White House recommendations are “all guidelines no directives, what states are already doing and focused on. Trump is very much focused on the role of sports coming back as a means to show we are getting back to life.”
Read 6 tweets
24 Mar
NEW FROM ⁦@CBSNewsPoll⁩: Americans see a months-long pandemic fight ahead cbsnews.com/news/americans…
A majority of Americans give the president good marks for handling the #CoronavirusOutbreak
... but, a majority of Americans think the U.S. response to #CoronavirusOutbreak is going badly:
Read 7 tweets

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