Ryan Hass Profile picture
Sep 14, 2020 15 tweets 13 min read Read on X
1/ The Brookings #GlobalChina initiative is rolling out its latest round of research, this one on China’s efforts to adapt global governance to suit its aims. The following thread provides a brief summary of the research findings. brook.gs/2RfI5Gu
2/ Although China traditionally focused on the U.N.’s development activities, Beijing now flexes its muscles in the heart of the U.N. — its peace and security work. Reflections and analysis from Jeffrey Feltman via our #GlobalChina project: brook.gs/2GeFAC7 #UNGA75
3/ At times, Beijing has promoted women’s equality; at others, it has undermined civil society and human rights defenders, critical actors for advancing gender equality. @DariusLongarino explores the record: brook.gs/2Z27iIO #GlobalChina
4/ As China seeks to exert influence around the globe, Washington must invest in winning the competition of political systems, write @patrickwquirk, @DaveShullman, & @johannakao: brook.gs/3jxDVGa #GlobalChina
5/ The dangers of failing to revive climate cooperation between the U.S. and China are “unacceptably high,” writes @tsterndc via our latest #GlobalChina installment: brook.gs/3hVEZn3
6/ China is now the center of gravity for global energy markets. Will its demand continue to grow? How will China’s energy system respond to the challenges of climate change and local pollution? @samanthaenergy explains: brook.gs/3i3dveO #GlobalChina
7/ The trajectory of climate change depends on decisions about the infrastructure that Chinese entities fund abroad — decisions that result not from fiats in Beijing but from complex debates in China and beyond. New from @jeff_ball: brook.gs/2YGTuU6 #GlobalChina
8/ Much of Washington’s concern with China’s role in the global economy has to do with China’s only partial integration into global institutions, contends @davidrdollar via our #GlobalChina project. Learn what can be done: brook.gs/30WCquT
9/ Taking a page from America’s playbook, China is seeking to build a multilayered network of security institutions, partnerships, and cooperative activities that enhance its influence in Asia, writes @lindseywford: brook.gs/2DQj5me #GlobalChina
10/ Beijing is engaging more with international institutions. Is this a gain for the global human rights system? No, writes @SophieHRW in an analysis via our #GlobalChina project: brook.gs/3k5Lgx8
11/ @JimMillward & @dahlialpeterson outline heightened oppression in Xinjiang and what the U.S. and other actors can do to respond. brook.gs/2DZEbyL #GlobalChina
12/ While Beijing may dislike some aspects of U.N. peacekeeping, it appears to see greater strategic advantage in cooperating with the U.S. and other Western powers in this field, @RichardGowan1 argues. brook.gs/3mccXGr #GlobalChina
13/ China has emerged as a truly global actor, impacting every region and every major issue area. For an overview of the entire #GlobalChina project, check out: brook.gs/2l2vLNo
14/ Please tune in September 21 to join a great discussion on China’s approach to global governance and norms, featuring Jeffrey Feltman
@lindseywford
@SophieHRW
@DaveShullman
@patrickwquirk
brook.gs/3mfaURZ via @BrookingsInst
15/ Special thanks to the entire @Brookings team for producing and delivering this diverse, deeply researched content, especially @AnnaBNewby, @tedreinert, @RachelASlattery, Emilie Kimball, @rushdoshi, and @chhabrat. End.

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More from @ryanl_hass

Apr 12
1/ Following 10 days of travel in China, I feel China's plan for the US-China trade war is coming into focus around three central planks:
- Maintain composure and resolve;
- Avoid being isolated;
- Hit America where it hurts.

Beijing assumes no near-term resolution. (Short 🧵).
2/ Maintain composure and resolve:
- Present Chinese leadership as calm and confident;
- Condition Chinese public for economic turbulence;
- Divert frustration to US as source of problems;
- Stoke nationalism by invoking China's history of holding firm against external bullying.
3/ Avoid being isolated:
- Beijing expects US will seek to form global coalition to isolate and pressure China;
- To counter this approach, Beijing is working to find common cause with Asian and EU countries, as well as developing world, in insulating against US pressure.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 10
1/ Secretary Lutnick’s message is important for setting expectations. Chinese President Jiang Zemin sent a telegram of condolence to George W Bush on September 11, 2001, but beyond that, it is exceedingly rare for a PRC leader to initiate outreach to a US president. (🧵)
2/ I’ve been told repeatedly that no advisor to Xi would recommend that Xi initiate a call to Trump now. For PRC, leader-level talks are by definition successful. Extensive preparations are made to guard against surprise or failure. That option is not available to Beijing now.
3/ In the absence of a preparatory process to tee up a leader-level call, PRC officials are unsure what Trump might say. They don’t want to own responsibility for setting Xi up to be humiliated by Trump on world stage. PRC leaders do not typically wade into detailed negotiations.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 8
1/ Based on ongoing discussions in China, I am skeptical Beijing will blink on Pres. Trump’s recent tariff escalation threats. Chinese leaders understand holding firm will be economically costly. They’re preparing public to tolerate pain. Politics may drive decisions. (🧵).
2/ Beijing doesn’t expect any breakthroughs or negotiations with Trump administration on horizon. They are digging in. They do not have clarity on what Trump is trying to achieve and are filling the vacuum with their own assumption, i.e., Trump’s goal is to undermine PRC economy.
3/ PRC leaders are skeptical that capitulating to Trump’s latest demands would resolve underlying challenge from the United States, which they judge is to undermine PRC economic strength. From this vantage, they assume there is little incentive to make concessions now.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 5
1/ The past several days have been an interesting time to visit China for meetings with government officials, scholars, business leaders, etc. A few brief reflections: counterparts have emphasized China’s leaders will not countenance being seen as passive in response to US (🧵).
2/ Beijing’s response to US tariff announcement on April 2 was on more robust end of their menu. Beijing’s countermeasures included reciprocal tariff hike of 34%; tighter export controls, including on rare earths; etc. Beijing targeted Trump supporters and sensitive sectors.
3/ There appears to be a widely held view among China’s policy community that Trump’s announcement is designed to undermine China’s economic competitiveness, rather than as a source of leverage for negotiations to resolve specific trade irritants. This colored PRC response.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 1
1/ Friends in Taiwan can be forgiven for feeling discomforted by yesterday’s blowup between Trump and Zelensky. The incident laid bare Trump’s indifference to defending democracy and pushing back against aggressors. Even so, I would caution against succumbing to fatalism. (🧵🪡)
2/ Trump is under pressure to end conflict in Ukraine. He is changing the narrative. In Trump’s telling, Putin is not the villain, Russia is not the aggressor, and Ukraine is an obstacle to establishing a new concert of great powers to manage the international system.
3/ Trump’s rewriting of history is troubling. So, too, is the weak way in which previously principled US leaders caved to Trump’s narrative and condemned Zelensky. This calls into question whether US Congressional leaders would speak up for Taiwan if Trump chooses not to.
Read 6 tweets
Oct 27, 2024
1/ PRC diplomacy often is very active during periods when Beijing judges the US is distracted or consumed by its own issues. This current moment may offer another data point, while US confronts conflicts in Europe and Middle East amid an intense election period (short 🪡🧵).
2/ In reviewing recent PRC statecraft, a few themes stand out:
-> Active efforts to stabilize relations with Japan, South Korea, Australia, India, and the UK;
-> Stalled progress with EU;
-> Xi's involvement in diplomacy with Russia, Iran;
-> Premier Li Qiang's busy diplomacy.
3/ On US, Beijing has largely played for time as it awaits outcome of election. For example, the presidential phone call Jake Sullivan previewed during his trip to Beijing never materialized. PRC seems content to defer leader-level contact until after US election, perhaps G-20.
Read 8 tweets

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