Ryan Hass Profile picture
Sep 14, 2020 15 tweets 13 min read Read on X
1/ The Brookings #GlobalChina initiative is rolling out its latest round of research, this one on China’s efforts to adapt global governance to suit its aims. The following thread provides a brief summary of the research findings. brook.gs/2RfI5Gu
2/ Although China traditionally focused on the U.N.’s development activities, Beijing now flexes its muscles in the heart of the U.N. — its peace and security work. Reflections and analysis from Jeffrey Feltman via our #GlobalChina project: brook.gs/2GeFAC7 #UNGA75
3/ At times, Beijing has promoted women’s equality; at others, it has undermined civil society and human rights defenders, critical actors for advancing gender equality. @DariusLongarino explores the record: brook.gs/2Z27iIO #GlobalChina
4/ As China seeks to exert influence around the globe, Washington must invest in winning the competition of political systems, write @patrickwquirk, @DaveShullman, & @johannakao: brook.gs/3jxDVGa #GlobalChina
5/ The dangers of failing to revive climate cooperation between the U.S. and China are “unacceptably high,” writes @tsterndc via our latest #GlobalChina installment: brook.gs/3hVEZn3
6/ China is now the center of gravity for global energy markets. Will its demand continue to grow? How will China’s energy system respond to the challenges of climate change and local pollution? @samanthaenergy explains: brook.gs/3i3dveO #GlobalChina
7/ The trajectory of climate change depends on decisions about the infrastructure that Chinese entities fund abroad — decisions that result not from fiats in Beijing but from complex debates in China and beyond. New from @jeff_ball: brook.gs/2YGTuU6 #GlobalChina
8/ Much of Washington’s concern with China’s role in the global economy has to do with China’s only partial integration into global institutions, contends @davidrdollar via our #GlobalChina project. Learn what can be done: brook.gs/30WCquT
9/ Taking a page from America’s playbook, China is seeking to build a multilayered network of security institutions, partnerships, and cooperative activities that enhance its influence in Asia, writes @lindseywford: brook.gs/2DQj5me #GlobalChina
10/ Beijing is engaging more with international institutions. Is this a gain for the global human rights system? No, writes @SophieHRW in an analysis via our #GlobalChina project: brook.gs/3k5Lgx8
11/ @JimMillward & @dahlialpeterson outline heightened oppression in Xinjiang and what the U.S. and other actors can do to respond. brook.gs/2DZEbyL #GlobalChina
12/ While Beijing may dislike some aspects of U.N. peacekeeping, it appears to see greater strategic advantage in cooperating with the U.S. and other Western powers in this field, @RichardGowan1 argues. brook.gs/3mccXGr #GlobalChina
13/ China has emerged as a truly global actor, impacting every region and every major issue area. For an overview of the entire #GlobalChina project, check out: brook.gs/2l2vLNo
14/ Please tune in September 21 to join a great discussion on China’s approach to global governance and norms, featuring Jeffrey Feltman
@lindseywford
@SophieHRW
@DaveShullman
@patrickwquirk
brook.gs/3mfaURZ via @BrookingsInst
15/ Special thanks to the entire @Brookings team for producing and delivering this diverse, deeply researched content, especially @AnnaBNewby, @tedreinert, @RachelASlattery, Emilie Kimball, @rushdoshi, and @chhabrat. End.

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More from @ryanl_hass

Jun 16
1/ This is an interesting scoop by @dimi, @leahyjoseph. My experiences from being in meetings with Xi is that he rarely is casual with comments. They're usually calculated for effect. The desired effect often is open to interpretation. Here's how I read the comments (short 🧵).
2/ Xi's reported message seems to carry mix of threat + reassurance. On reassurance side, Xi seems to be signaling that he does not presently prefer to use force to achieve PRC goals on Taiwan. He blames the US for trying to draw him into a trap and suggests he won't fall for it.
3/ Blaming America for having a nefarious plot and vowing to resist it is a pretty safe way for China's leaders to inoculate themselves internally and justify why they will not take an action that some inside the system might be agitating for.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 15
1/ While many experts in Washington debate whether China's power is peaking, there appears to be a bit of a mirror conversation in Beijing about the United States. This is one of several gaps that have emerged in perceptions of each other in recent years. Short thread 🧵...
2/ During a recent trip to Beijing and exchanges in DC with visiting PRC officials and experts, I've been struck by repetition of discussions around "rise of the east and decline of the west." A former Chinese official said this framing is consensus view of PRC leaders.
3/ As always, there is more art than science involved in determining how much these efforts are designed to inform vs influence. I suspect there would be less effort made to stress "rise of the east and decline of the west" if it already was broadly accepted, including in China.
Read 10 tweets
May 24
1/ After having had an opportunity to privately compare notes with counterparts on both sides of Taiwan Strait in recent days on President Lai's inaugural address, I am struck by the scale of the disconnect that exists between both sides. A few brief observations (🧵)...
2/ PRC counterparts I have been in touch with acknowledged being surprised by the tone and content of Lai's speech. They indicated Beijing felt it needed to dial up its response to set down a marker with Taipei and Washington, including via sharp rhetoric and military exercises.
3/ Many Taiwan counterparts I have spoken with hoped Beijing would register Lai's goodwill gestures in his speech and not overreact. All Taiwan counterparts I have spoken with expected Beijing to react ("that's what the PRC does," one said), but hoped it wouldn't be too dramatic.
Read 6 tweets
May 20
1/ President Lai delivered his inaugural address on May 20. It's worth reading. A few highlights:

Taiwan's voters voted for preserving the status quo on cross-Strait issues. Lai's speech suggests he understands his mandate. (short thread 🧵)...

english.president.gov.tw/NEWS/6726
2/ On cross-Strait issues, Lai called for dialogue and exchange over confrontation and containment. He vowed neither to yield nor provoke and pledged to maintain the status quo. He invoked the ROC constitution. These gestures seemed intended to signal continuity in approach.
3/ Lai also leaned into democracy vs. autocracy as an organizing principle of his foreign policy. Interestingly, he was largely silent on relations with the U.S., making only one direct reference to recent U.S. Congressional legislation supporting Taiwan.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 15
1/ America's partners and adversaries are closely following the House of Representatives decision not to act on the $95 foreign aid bill, which includes $5B to support Taiwan. It must feel like Christmas came early this year for China's leaders. Here's why (short 🧵):
2/ Taiwan's voters just chose William Lai as president-elect. During the campaign, Lai argued that closer US-Taiwan relationship is essential for Taiwan's security. Beijing chafes at closer US-Taiwan ties and would prefer for Taiwan to refocus on its relationship with the PRC.
3/ Beijing would like to convince Taiwan's voters that they shouldn't place their trust in America to defend them. These views have a natural audience in Taiwan, where a portion of the public is skeptical that the US would come to Taiwan's defense in crisis.
Read 6 tweets
Sep 5, 2023
1/ Whether you are a Cold War historian or a casual observer of the news, I commend this written debate to you. In a series of crisp exchanges, four leading experts make their case for whether the US and China are in a cold war. (Short thread) brookings.edu/articles/shoul…
2/ @patricia_m_kim observes that China's growth and prosperity hangs on its continued engagement with the outside world. She challenges the notion that China's leaders view the US as an existential threat and urges greater precision in textual analysis of PRC leaders' speeches.
@patricia_m_kim 3/ Matt Turpin argues China's leaders perceive the US as an existential threat. He says the condition of a cold war already exists between the US and China. He urges US leaders to prepare the country for long-term rivalry with a goal of outlasting China and winning w/o fighting.
Read 8 tweets

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