Tweet

@BrookingsInst

@RichardGowan1

@tsterndc

@AnnaBNewby

@ChhabraT

More from @RushDoshi

Rush Doshi

@RushDoshi

30 Jul

@SenateCommerce

Extraordinarily grateful to have had the opportunity to testify on the China challenge before the @SenateCommerce Subcommittee on Security this morning.

My written submission was on "The US, China, & the Fourth Industrial Revolution" - bit.ly/339LRIX

A few points: 1/

1. GLOBAL TECH LEADERSHIP: It's increasingly understood that Beijing is pursuing a robust, state-backed effort to displace the US from global technology leadership not only for commercial and developmental reasons but - just as importantly - for *geopolitical* ones too.

2. AMBITION: Semi-authoritative PRC commentaries talk about the "Fourth Industrial Revolution" as the "main battlefield" of US-China competition - and the stakes are seen as geopolitical.

This is a materialist view of great power transition.

It reveals *global* ambition too.

Read 19 tweets

Rush Doshi

@RushDoshi

27 May

@martinwolf_

Excited to have our paper "Beijing's Bismarckian Ghosts" generously referenced in @martinwolf_'s column!

We argued that the Anglo-German great power economic rivalry a century ago holds eerie parallels to today’s US-China contest.

Some takeaways:

ft.com/content/5887ec…

1) ON PARALLELS: My coauthors, historian Harold James and economist Markus Brunnermeier, and I recognize that no historical analogy is perfect.

But we believed the Anglo-German rivalry is clearly a useful reference point for US-China economic rivalry.

2) SIMILARITIES: Both rivalries take place amidst economic interdependence and explosive innovation.

Both feature an autocratic rising power seen as protectionist challenging an established democracy with a free-market economic system.

And both go way beyond tariffs.

Read 12 tweets

Rush Doshi

@RushDoshi

24 Apr

This piece by Zhou Bo reads like propaganda intended to depress Western morale, split the EU and US, and herald China unceasing rise.

Many of these themes occur in China’s domestic discourse, suggesting there’s also a domestic propaganda purpose too. scmp.com/comment/opinio…

To what degree do Party elites share this worldview?

Is this the “we will bury you” confidence of Khrushchev, and are some elites just getting high on their own supply of propaganda?

Or is this a considered view and Party judgment? If so, it could be consequential.

This paragraph is illustrative:

“China and Europe will inevitably get closer. A divided Europe, further dismayed by the worsening transatlantic relationship, will naturally look east.”

Read 5 tweets

Rush Doshi

@RushDoshi

21 Mar

@ForeignAffairs

Grateful that the Director of National Intelligence engaged with the piece Kurt and I wrote for @ForeignAffairs

I agree - but whether China "should" be allowed to turn the narrative (it shouldn't!) is different from whether it *will* be able to do.

That should concern us.

1/

https://twitter.com/RichardGrenell/status/1241116539501371393

https://twitter.com/RichardGrenell/status/1241117597359317007?s=20

I appreciate the DNI's perspective here, but respectfully, if China is seen as leading - and the US is seen as incompetent at home and absent abroad - I'm concerned it'll have major geopolitical implications.

And they're making progress as we falter.

2/

https://twitter.com/RichardGrenell/status/1241117597359317007?s=20

It's clear China (a) covered up the crisis, (b) delayed the intl response, (c) spreads conspiracy theories, and (d) is expelling large numbers of journalists.

That's not top-tier leader behavior. So China's leadership push is an act of chutzpah.

And yet, it could succeed.

3/

Read 6 tweets

Rush Doshi

@RushDoshi

18 Mar

@ForeignAffairs

Excited to share a new piece with Kurt Campbell in @ForeignAffairs!

It argues that China is racing to be seen as the global leader of the coronavirus response as the US falters.

China knows that orders can change gradually at first, then all at once.

foreignaffairs.com/articles/2020-…

1. HEALTH FIRST: The virus's geopolitical implications should be considered secondary to matters of health and safety, but they are not being forgotten in Beijing nor should they be ignored in Washington - and they have implications for the US position.

2. SUEZ MOMENT: In 1956, a botched intervention in the Suez laid bare the decay in British power and marked the end of its time as a global power.

Today, if the US does not rise to meet the moment, the coronavirus pandemic could mark another “Suez moment.”

Read 19 tweets

Rush Doshi

@RushDoshi

16 Mar

Serbian President: "The only country that can help us is China."

“By now, you all understood that European solidarity does not exist. That was a fairy tale on paper. I believe in my brother and friend Xi Jinping, and I believe in Chinese help."

1/