The decision is hardly surprising, but there are two interesting points in the panel report: 1. Whether the Phase 1 deal constitutes a mutually agreed solution; 2. whether the US tariffs could be justified under the public morals exception.
The first one was easy, while the second one is more tricky, as the US measures were allegedly taken against IP theft, misappropriation and unfair competition by China. The Panel ruled against the US, not because the US couldn't do so, but due to the lack of nexus and necessity.
I'm most amused by the argument by China that the criminalization of a conduct under domestic law doesn't really provide sufficient justification for invoking public morals exception. I wonder if its lawyers ever realized that this argu could be used against China in another case
But I guess China is not alone in that regard, as the other WTO Members, who joined as 3rd Parties, also seemed to be confused, at least judged from their submissions in the case.
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A close reading of MOFCOM’s press conference today revealed more than the ministry likely intended to admit.
In response to a @Reuters question, the spokesperson stated:
“After the Madrid Talks, despite China’s repeated dissuasion, in just over 20 days the US intensively
introduced 20 repressive measures against China, seriously damaging China’s interests and undermining the atmosphere of the talks. In particular, at the end of September, the US issued a ‘penetrating rule’ for the export control entity list, effectively expanding it to thousands
of Chinese enterprises. At the same time, despite China’s sincere consultations, the US insisted on launching the Section 301 investigation on port fees related to China Shipbuilding on October 14, causing serious harm to China’s interests. The negative impact is extremely bad.”
I’m tired of people claiming that China and US reached an agreement in Madrid last month to refrain from introducing new restrictions.
That is simply not true — even by China’s own account.
1. People’s Daily editorial published the day after the talks quoted He Lifeng saying
“China HOPES US and China would go hand in hand, cancel the relevant restrictions on China as soon as possible, jointly safeguard the hard-won results of the talks with practical actions, and continue to create a good atmosphere for stability of economic and trade relations.”
2. The next day, another People’s Daily editorial made it even clearer:
“It must be pointed out that after a series of economic and trade consultations, the wrong practice of the US to unilaterally impose economic and trade restrictions on China has not stopped. The US has
Why the sudden wave of retaliations and escalations from Beijing?
The answer lies in the eight editorials published in the People’s Daily over the past few days.
Written under the pen name 钟才文, these pieces are widely understood to represent the views of the Office of the
Central Financial and Economic Commission, headed by He Lifeng — China’s economic tsar.
The Oct 4 editorial proclaimed that China has become “the main contributor to global economic growth and an anchor of stability,” attributing this to the “certainty” of China’s development
strategy - a pointed contrast to the “back-and-forth” policies of “some Western countries.” It went on to mock US inconsistencies: “In the past, they championed globalization; now they turn inward. In the past, they vowed to fight climate change; now they withdraw from Paris Agr”
Xi’s Feb speech to private firms is finally published—and it confirms everything I predicted before the meeting:
Private firms must fully align with China’s strategic competition vs the US.
Xi says private firms’ problems stem from external shocks (tech revolutions, trade restrictions) or internal missteps (over-diversification).
To Xi, the Party is not the problem, it is the solution.
Thus, firms must “unify their thoughts and actions with the Central Committee.”
Xi was even more explicit on measures to boost private firms: they should lead national science & tech projects, access major research infrastructure, and join state-led initiatives.
Exactly what I predicted 3 years ago in my @CIGI essay: private firms must be integrated into
What’s the biggest threat to China’s economy in the 2nd half of 2025?
It’s not the trade war, nor any new government policy. It’s a judicial interpretation from the Supreme Court.
On July 31, the Court issued Interpretation on Applicable Law in Trying Labour Dispute Cases (II).
Article 19 states:
“If the employer agrees with the employee, or the employee promises the employer, that there is no need to pay social security premiums, the people’s court shall find the agreement or promise invalid. If the employer fails to pay social security premiums in
accordance with the law, and the employee requests the termination of the labour contract in accordance with the third paragraph of Article 38 of the Labour Contract Law and demands economic compensation, the people’s court shall support the claim.”