With peace breaking out across the Middle East, I figured it would be a good time to revisit all of the people who told us confidently that @realDonaldTrump was leading us to disaster.

I think some apologies are in order. What say you, @SamanthaJPower?
You see, there were many, many Democratic politicians who assured us the world would be ending before our eyes, and that it would be @realDonaldTrump’s fault.

That includes presidential nominee @JoeBiden and his functional head of policy, @ewarren.
They weren’t alone. I wonder if we’ll be getting any follow up to this one from @SenSchumer?
Or perhaps @BernieSanders would like to follow up on this?
Maybe we can get some sort of comment from @repmarkpocan?
Their friends across the pond didn’t fair much better. You all surely remember @jeremycorbyn?
And, well, yeah. @khamenei_ir, not so much on this one. Credit for @Reuters for getting his perspective though.

They also managed to hear what Hezbollah had to say about American foreign policy.
The rest of the media wasn’t far behind. My two favorite come from the alchemic field of “media analysis” at @CNN.

Also, heaven forbid that third frame should happen!
@NewYorker really went in on this one.
Tough couple of weeks for @TheAtlantic.
I’ll pause here to note that I did a whole separate thread specific to the Jerusalem embassy move.

Many of the same voices (go figure) but also a special shout out to @JohnKerry.
Anyway, back to the media. Here we’ve got @AP.
The condescending smart people magazines got in on the mix too.

Here’s @ForeignPolicy and @EconUS.
@guardian went in really hard on this one.
So too did...@VanityFair?

Yeah, I’m as confused as you are.
Running low on patience, space, and mental well-being, so to close out the media - and get to the REAL stars of the show - we have:

@lawfareblog (?)
@SkyNews (wtf?)
But the real winners here are the bluechecks. Perhaps no one has been as consistently wrong as our cadre of Middle East “experts” in recent memory.

Here’s an illustrative example from @aarondmiller2.
You had to know that Obama’s favorite MFA @brhodes was gonna have some bad takes on this one.

He didn’t disappoint.
And speaking of Obama bros with bad opinions, here’s @TVietor08 with a commendable four-box entry of his own.
Speaking of four box entries, here’s your obligatory @sethabramson mention.
Just VINTAGE @JRubinBlogger here.
“Doomed” was apparently the world of the day on this one. In retrospect, that isn’t exactly looking spot on.

Here we have:
Oh and pity the think tanks, they’ve had a tough go on this one. Here are @amprog, @BrookingsInst, and @IPS_DC.
You couldn’t have thought that @MaxBoot, who’s never seen a Middle Eastern war he isn’t interested in, wouldn’t find a way onto this list.

But did you expect the entire @washingtonpost editorial board to make it? Oh, you did?
I’ve said it before and I’m sure I’ll have to say it again. All of these people have gotten an enormous number of calls & predictions wrong, time and again, for generations.

Maybe it’s time we stopped to think about what that should mean for our trust in their future ideas?

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More from @DrewHolden360

19 Sep

You had to know this was a coming. Four short years ago, countless Dems, media folks & bluechecks were telling you #WeNeedNine on the Supreme Court.

Yet now, as we head into an election that’ll surely be contested their convictions have evaporated.

It’s a long list.
To kick it off, we’ll start with none other than the man who led the #WeNeedNine push, @BarackObama.

Is it no longer “irresponsible” to not consider a SCOTUS nominee before one is even announced, Mr. President? ImageImage
And what say you, @HillaryClinton? If @realDonaldTrump announces his nominee, will you agree that he has “met his responsibility” as well? And that the Senate should do the same? ImageImage
Read 19 tweets
16 Sep

We need fact checks. But it’s a problem when wrong or unverified claims aren’t checked from one side of the aisle.

Case in point: the “Russian bounties” theory that was recently dashed. MANY people were pushing this allegation.

So will we get a followup @MaddowBlog?
For those not familiar, @nytimes broke a story a few months back about Russia paying bounties to the Taliban to kill US troops, with Trump turning a blind eye.

That would be an an enormous, awful story, worthy of outrage.

Problem is, there’s no evidence to support it. @NBCNews
It’s hard to overstate how widely circulated this original story from @nytimes was, or how frequently the Times doubled down on it.

2 months of investigation from the military, who vowed to get to the bottom of up, turned up empty.

Not a word of followup.
Read 27 tweets
15 Sep
“You’d have an explosion...an absolute explosion in the region.” - John Kerry, regarding the Middle East in response to @realDonaldTrump moving the US embassy to Jerusalem.

That take has aged...poorly.
John Kerry fits the tried and true model of American foreign policy “expert” who is both highly confident and woefully wrong.
Read 4 tweets
14 Sep

We’re seeing a narrative evolve in real time in Lancaster, PA that omits the fact that the man who was shot & killed by police was actively trying to kill a police officer, even w/ bodycam evidence.

Enormously irresponsible, especially given the current climate.
We’ll start with @AP. They just so happened to leave out the reason why the officer was running away - a direct threat against his life - but managed to get the suspects race involved.
Reporting from @AP got picked up all over, as it does, and recycled through the same lens.

Here’s @usnews, who manage to scrub the knife detail and focus instead on the trendy topics: police shootings and protests.
Read 18 tweets
12 Sep
This man has been PRESIDENT for FOUR YEARS. He had a united republican government. For all his faults, he didn’t turn into a dictator.

This kind of fearmongering bullshit from the Dems will be more effective at re-electing Trump than anything the GOP could do.
Oh God. Pray for me. We’re doing a thread. There are 12 reasons. Here are 12 responses:

1. Power of the military to supremacists riots: federalism aside, he’s overseen the most contentious riots since the 60s, led by his political opponents, and hasn’t turned into a dictator.
2. Voter fraud: not even something within his control. Voter fraud is handled across all 50 states and, should it come to it, at the Supreme Court. He has no power here.
Read 16 tweets
12 Sep
I think a libertarian world would be enormously comfortable with parents pimping out their children insofar as they can find a way to stay within the letter of the law.
Which, as we’ve seen, Cuties does.
Read 11 tweets

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