1/ Update of triage data of 999 / 111 calls & online. I did not get chance to update this yesterday. Went up 10k on Monday then down 8k
2/ These rises and falls are continuing from the 0-18 year old range.
3/ 19-69 year old range group increases as well but less so then the younger age group. The 7 day average on this is a very consistent line
4/ 70+ age group still very up and down two high days then two lower days. The 7 day average on this is not consistent unlike the other age groups.
5/ Most important in my opinion. 999 calls for 70+, although the daily numbers are up and down the 7 day average is pretty flat (the scale is low so does not look that way) but since 21 August it has been between 41-49.
6/ This is interesting the increase in 999 calls for the age group 0-18. This is the age group least likely to need hospital treatment. This could get messy when we get into Flu season, nigh on impossible to distinguish over the phone between the two.
7/ Full time period from when data was recorded.
8/ Last one! Seven day average by region

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More from @dontbetyet

25 Sep
1/ Incidence by ethnicity per 100k population of ethnicity - North West Image
2/ Yorkshire & Humber Image
3/ North East Image
Read 10 tweets
24 Sep
1 Regional breakdown of cases by specimen date. Reported date is total junk in my opinion. North West, the backlogs seem not to be as extensive today which is good. Has North West hit it's peak? Possibly when I look at the future data. Key day tomorrow to see where 20th goes Image
2/ East Midlands, up down up down up down. In a sense that is not bad and it is quite low levels so maybe at it's peak Image
3/ East of England very low numbers over the past 7 days. 7 day average increasing but not in a sharp way. Image
Read 9 tweets
23 Sep
Positive tests by region. North west still continuing on it's way up. In this thread are the regional breakdowns on their own scale. Data is by specimen date and up to the 19th due to data lag. Image
North West similar amounts of positives to the last couple of days so 7 day average up Image
East Midlands a slightly lower day but as higher then 7 day average that has increased. Image
Read 10 tweets
23 Sep
1/ As predicted the number of triages fell yesterday for "COVID-19" symptoms to 999 / 111 down to 19.8k. I would assume we see a further fall over the coming days then back up Sunday / Monday. It is as if COVID-19 gets people on a Sunday / Monday - Yes nonsense! Image
2/ Anyone with school age children knew these figures would go up at the start of the September. How come Boris didn't with the amount of kids he has? How did Hancock not see this coming he also has kids. 0-18 age group here Image
3/ 19-69 age group massive population within this group still tracking down on the 7 day average though. Image
Read 7 tweets
23 Sep
1/ @MichaelYeadon3 I was thinking this was improbable but the more I look at the data the more I worry. So the ARI data mentioned was from week 37 (07/09/2020) Min 228 "cases" in care homes it does not give the true figure. From the .Gov report in July on care homes Image
2/ they stated 80.9% were asymptomatic, is there any clarity between asymptomatic and a false positive or is this murky water?

Even with 81% being asymptomatic you would imagine because of the demographics of the people in care homes this would

gov.uk/government/pub…
3/ then be seen in hospital admissions from care homes. Statistically it has doubled but the numbers were very low to start with. So it has increased on a 7 day average from 3 on the 7th Sep to 6.6 on the 20th Sep. With that many outbreaks I would have expected more. Image
Read 4 tweets
21 Sep
1/ NHS England COVID-19 like symptom triage data. Fell from Tuesday last week and then increased yesterday and I would expect them to rise today and fall from tomorrow based on previous weeks. Image
2/ 0-18 rose yesterday as expected as this is school aged people. Image
3/ 19-69 A rise yesterday but 7 day average is now showing a decrease but may. Image
Read 7 tweets

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