A thread containing a few thoughts on Tammy Abraham - the forgotten man among Chelsea's spending revolution.
The way football twitter rates Tammy Abraham is the biggest example of the way people put aesthetics/stereotype over efficiency.
Tammy Abraham doesn't "look" good to the untrained eye but he is among the best CFs in his age group.
Both Lautaro Martinez and Tammy are fantastic but let's compare how they are viewed.
Tags associated with Lautaro: next Aguero and so on.
Tags associated with Tammy: Mid-table level and such.
Fact: Lautaro loses the ball more than Tammy, scores less and is less efficient.
The same with Jovic and Dembele too. They're both very good young CFs but so is Tammy. Tammy is probably better too.
He's not rated highly because he "looks" bad. Well, aesthetics aren't that important. Efficiency is.
Erling Haaland, Timo Werner and Gabriel Jesus are most certainly better than Tammy Abraham, that goes without saying.
However, there are not many other young CFs who are significantly better than Tammy right now.
Things can change in the future though.
A look at Tammy's achievements so far:
- 78 career goals at 22
- 15 non-penalty league goals in his debut Chelsea season
- 0.73 non-penalty xG per 90 (via understat)
- Goals, and good performances, against big teams
Abraham is legitimately good. I can't emphasize that enough.
I want to take a second to emphasize his Chelsea goal-scoring record.
The only Chelsea strikers to score 15 non-penalty league goals in a single season are Hasselbaink, Drogba, Anelka and Costa. Plenty of big strikers have struggled to score at Chelsea. Tammy hasn't.
Another common criticism is how he's a "bad" finisher. Well, "bad" finishers don't score close to 80 goals at the age of 22. That just doesn't happen.
Furthermore, plenty of top strikers under-perform their xG. It's perfectly fine. Two major examples are Lewandowski and Cavani.
If you want a player of Tammy's achievements and upside in this market, you're looking at a very minimum of £60m. That's the best case, realistically you're looking at £75m or more.
Chelsea fans need to appreciate how lucky we are to have both Tammy and Werner in the same team.
I cannot wait to see Tammy dovetail with Werner, Pulisic, Havertz and Ziyech. The goal potential is enormous.
Tammy is far closer to becoming a superstar CF than people think. I hope Lampard doesn't sideline him the way he has sidelined others. He needs to be nurtured.
If given the right chances, Tammy Abraham can realistically score 20+ goals in all competitions for Chelsea, possibly score that much in the league alone.
His skillset suits Werner too. Will Lampard play them together? Will Lampard give Tammy a chance? Those are the questions.
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I’ve been thinking about the issues facing Chelsea and there is one simple answer that covers everything: CULTURE.
Culturally, the club is broken and needs to be urgently repaired. Let me tell you how in this long thread.
What is culture?
“It simply means how people are expected to behave within a particular environment. Research indicates that when done correctly, it can offer a significant competitive advantage.”
Chelsea are about to spend big money on Moises Caicedo, Romeo Lavia and Lesley Ugochukwu, beating a host of big clubs to secure the three midfield starlets.
Let’s take a look at what each player brings to the table and why their skillsets are in so much demand.
Stats are from @Eleven11Stats, whose tools I love and find immensely useful. I find their players attributes unique and having read about their methodology, find it sound.
First up, Moises Caicedo.
The Ecuadorian’s value stems from his exceptional defensive skills, be it in winning the ball or proactively preventing attacks through his reading of the game.
His defensive nous helps him dominate much bigger players.
League form is the real indicator of a team's quality, not cup runs. The fact is that we have not crossed 75 points even once since our title in 2016/17.
One freak cup run from Kante aside, we have made no mark on the PL/CL in the last 5 years. That's our recent "standards".
Fans think we're still the same Chelsea of 15 years ago but we are not. We are a team that has to huff-and-puff just to get top 4. And I'm sick of sweating it out every May just to see if we'll qualify for the CL.
I'm ready to take one step back if that means taking two forward.
2018/19 - We got top 4 because Arsenal bottled it.
2019/20 - We got top 4 because Leicester had a major meltdown.
2020/21 - We got top 4 because Gareth Bale scored two vs Leicester on the last day.
We've long been depending on others to make the CL. Are these your standards?
Potter seems overawed, especially in big games. A lot of over-tinkering and a shade of passiveness in every aspect. I can see what he wants to build but he's also over-complicating.
We can give him time because this season is a write-off but he has to show signs of improving.
I am sympathetic to him because he has inherited a mess, had very little training time and has seen players drop like flies. That's all mitigating factors.
At the same time, we should see real progress in the way we play and individual development by the end of the season.
My belief is, if you throw enough time and money at any manager, he'll eventually come good. It's impossible not to. But we can't have three seasons of misery just to be "good".
It's going to require a lot of real-time development - if not in trophies, then style and quality.
In this thread, I am going to look at why Potter to Chelsea makes a lot of sense and why he is the man we need.
First of all, this is NOT a new situation for Potter.
When Potter took over at Brighton, he replaced a popular manager who was sacked despite good results. Not much different to what’s happening here.
The owners sacked Hughton (despite good results) because they felt his conservative style of football limited their potential. They wanted to develop young players and have a positive football identity. Fans and media were both unhappy at this.