A thread containing a few thoughts on Tammy Abraham - the forgotten man among Chelsea's spending revolution.
The way football twitter rates Tammy Abraham is the biggest example of the way people put aesthetics/stereotype over efficiency.

Tammy Abraham doesn't "look" good to the untrained eye but he is among the best CFs in his age group.
Both Lautaro Martinez and Tammy are fantastic but let's compare how they are viewed.

Tags associated with Lautaro: next Aguero and so on.

Tags associated with Tammy: Mid-table level and such.

Fact: Lautaro loses the ball more than Tammy, scores less and is less efficient.
The same with Jovic and Dembele too. They're both very good young CFs but so is Tammy. Tammy is probably better too.

He's not rated highly because he "looks" bad. Well, aesthetics aren't that important. Efficiency is.
Erling Haaland, Timo Werner and Gabriel Jesus are most certainly better than Tammy Abraham, that goes without saying.

However, there are not many other young CFs who are significantly better than Tammy right now.

Things can change in the future though.
A look at Tammy's achievements so far:

- 78 career goals at 22
- 15 non-penalty league goals in his debut Chelsea season
- 0.73 non-penalty xG per 90 (via understat)
- Goals, and good performances, against big teams

Abraham is legitimately good. I can't emphasize that enough.
I want to take a second to emphasize his Chelsea goal-scoring record.

The only Chelsea strikers to score 15 non-penalty league goals in a single season are Hasselbaink, Drogba, Anelka and Costa. Plenty of big strikers have struggled to score at Chelsea. Tammy hasn't.
Another common criticism is how he's a "bad" finisher. Well, "bad" finishers don't score close to 80 goals at the age of 22. That just doesn't happen.

Furthermore, plenty of top strikers under-perform their xG. It's perfectly fine. Two major examples are Lewandowski and Cavani.
If you want a player of Tammy's achievements and upside in this market, you're looking at a very minimum of £60m. That's the best case, realistically you're looking at £75m or more.

Chelsea fans need to appreciate how lucky we are to have both Tammy and Werner in the same team.
I cannot wait to see Tammy dovetail with Werner, Pulisic, Havertz and Ziyech. The goal potential is enormous.

Tammy is far closer to becoming a superstar CF than people think. I hope Lampard doesn't sideline him the way he has sidelined others. He needs to be nurtured.
If given the right chances, Tammy Abraham can realistically score 20+ goals in all competitions for Chelsea, possibly score that much in the league alone.

His skillset suits Werner too. Will Lampard play them together? Will Lampard give Tammy a chance? Those are the questions.

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More from @ExpectedChelsea

8 Sep
Introducing Edouard Mendy – A thread on his strengths, weaknesses, areas to improve and fit at Chelsea.
The thread will mainly focus on three keepers – Alphonse Areola, Mike Maignan and Kepa Arrizabalaga - along with Edouard Mendy.

Data for Areola is from the 2018-19 season because he didn’t play enough in 19-20.

Data has been taken from the amazing people at @fbref.
While Mendy is a very solid shot-stopper, Alphonse Areola stands out as the best option in this regard. All 4 options play behind good defences and therefore face few shots.

Maignan is average and Kepa is bad at shot-stopping.
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Let’s take an in-depth look at Kai Havertz – his strengths, weaknesses and tactical fit at Chelsea.

Havertz’s progression since 2016-17, both in terms of actual and expected output, has been very promising. His creative metrics in particular have seen an improvement in the 2019-20 season.

He seems to be a naturally skilled finisher too, judging by his xG over-performance.
His performance metrics such as shots and dribbles have gradually improved with time too. Development isn’t linear and he has regressed in some metrics but that is how players grow.

His penalty box touches has increased over the seasons as he has moved closer to goal.
Read 18 tweets
12 Aug
Amidst all the hype for Werner and Havertz, let’s not forget how good Hakim Ziyech is. Chelsea are signing one of Europe’s best creators for just £35m.

Ziyech’s variety of passes and output is absurdly good, even accounting for the Dutch league. Bonkers.

Looking at the chart, one thing stands out – Ziyech is a master at the whipped pass from the right channel.

If Werner and Pulisic make the right runs, they will feast with Ziyech supplying them. Add in Reece James’ crossing from RB and it could be something special.
Besides his signature whipped pass, he is also excellent at taking set pieces. We’ve had some average (to put it kindly) set piece takers over the past few seasons, Ziyech is on a different level compared to the players we have had taking our free kicks and set pieces.
Read 14 tweets
27 Jul
The season is finally over and Chelsea have made top 4. Let’s chart our progress over the past 12 months and compare it to last season to see how much the team has improved. (THREAD)
First up, our basic numbers. Lampard lost Eden Hazard, one of the 5 best players on the planet when he left Chelsea, and replaced him with a bunch of under-21 players.

The result? Chelsea have somehow become even better going forward. 76.23 xG is an absolutely *elite* tally.
Chelsea’s xG of 76.23 was the third highest in the league behind usual suspects Liverpool and Man City.

This is the highest xG Chelsea have recorded in a single season since xG became available (in 2014-15) and the first time Chelsea have crossed 70 xG.

Source: understat
Read 15 tweets
21 Apr
Let's take a detailed, comprehensive look at under-24 strikers from the top 5 leagues. This study considers both conventional centre forwards as well as players who switch between the wings and the central "9" role.

Data thanks to the brilliant @fbref as always! (THREAD) Image
Output is fundamental for any young striker and the sustainability of a striker's output can be measured in xG and xA. The graph shows us that Haaland and Gabriel Jesus have superb movement while Werner is a considerable all-round threat. #BVB #MCFC #RBL Image
Does your favourite young striker like getting on the ball, and if so, where does he get the ball? Werner loves being involved in general play while strikers like Tammy and Lautaro prefer taking few touches, with most of them being in the box. #RBL #CFC #Inter Image
Read 25 tweets

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