Funny how glorified poll readers attack @Rasmussen_Poll for a 1-point lead for @realDonaldTrump after weeks of tracking.

They have no objection and entertain wholly unrealistic results from "gold standard" pollsters who failed miserably in 2016 and 2018.

It's a total scam.
Any poll showing a competitive race these know-nothings take as evidence of wrongdoing. But unrealistic leads for their preferred candidates cannot possibly be related to known challenges in the industry, even when track-records support them.

Freakin' hucksters. The lot of them.
Reuters, YouGov, Morning Consult, Harvard/Harris and many more, all use online collection.

DIFFERENT GROUPS respond to DIFFERENT MODES at DIFFERENT RATES.

Each collection mode has their own benefits and drawbacks.

The live-caller to cellphone skews badly female and metro.
Again, this is not a secret in the industry and is only taken as gospel by the media pundits who help prop up narratives and the status quo in the industry.

Yes, IVR has downsides, which we've all heard about. But point being, we only hear about the downsides of certain modes.
I understand harping on the 2018 generic ballot is very helpful to cover for media/university polling failures at the state level. But it's dishonest.

Given the split decision, it's very plausible ambiguous wording was at play. Wording matters a lot.
peoplespunditdaily.com/polls/2019/04/…
In Apr 19, I wrote "it’s becoming clear big media polling critics and analysts have taken few lesson to heart. Instead, they are overstating the performance of their outlets, ignoring significant failures, and attacking those who won’t run with the herd." peoplespunditdaily.com/polls/2019/04/…

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More from @Peoples_Pundit

9 Sep
Very last question you heard from a male reporter shouting at @PressSec @kayleighmcenany as she left the stage, is a Biden Campaign talking point rated as "False" by Snopes.

Q: "Why did the president call it a hoax?"

A straight fake news question.
snopes.com/fact-check/tru…
Point being, we can't entertain the notion we have an objective press when they pepper the White House @PressSec with debunked Biden Campaign talking points.

Snopes rated the claim Trump called COVID a hoax False. The Washington Post gave it 4 Pinocchios.
washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/…
Factcheck dot org also rated the claim Trump called the coronavirus a hoax as False.

Again, a reporter in the WH press actually shouted this fake news question at the @PressSec as she was walking off stage.

Current tally: Snopes. WaPo. Factcheck dot org.
factcheck.org/2020/03/trump-…
Read 5 tweets
9 Sep
This is an incredibly stupid line of criticism.

He didn't want to panic the country, as he states. Maybe if we didn't panic we wouldn't have committed economic suicide for nothing before waiting for empirical evidence that now proves the panic unfounded.

Again, dumb. Very dumb.
The job of a leader is NOT to create panic, to keep everyone calm and rational in the face of fear porn and ignorance.

Big media just won't admit they were wrong about the pandemic. The "experts" they all bow to and before, were wrong.
That being said, Donald Trump's desire to want to be liked by a class of low character elites in media and politics, makes him his own worst enemy.

It's strikingly similar to Richard Nixon.

He talks to these slimy people because they used to kiss his ass. Their smear is on him.
Read 4 tweets
9 Sep
Higher COVID-19 caseloads were associated w/ countries w/ higher obesity, median population age and longer time to border closures from the first reported case.

The evidence lockdowns and wide-spread testing had no impact is overwhelming at this point.
thelancet.com/journals/eclin…
TrendMacro analyzed data aggregated by the Covid Tracking Project and compared with timing and intensity of the lockdowns, tabulated by the University of Maryland’s “Social Distancing Index.”

Lockdowns not only failed, but made the spread worse.
wsj.com/articles/the-f…
Lockdowns correlated with a greater spread of the virus. States with longer, stricter lockdowns had larger outbreaks. The five with the harshest lockdowns—DC, New York, Michigan, New Jersey and Massachusetts—had the heaviest caseloads. wsj.com/articles/the-f…
Read 6 tweets
5 Sep
This kind of smearing — which I can't stand — does not happen in survey research outside of media space.

Marist is one of Nate's most "highly-rated" pollsters.

In 2018, they had McCaskill, Donnelly, Nelson, all holding their seats and they did NOT.

Results were not even close.
Gillum and Cordray are NOT the governors of FL and OH. Those "highly rated" pollsters were not even close there, either.

Contrary to his "model" and "highly rated" pollsters, McCaskill, Donnelly and Nelson are no longer U.S. Senators.

Hiding behind broken clock generic ballots.
These ratings are attacks on someone's character and professionalism posing as some mathematical equation, one that is easily debunked.

And it's all done by those who know nothing about the art/science.

That's not how men or any gender of character behave.
Read 5 tweets
28 Aug
Trump on Hurricane Laura: “We are one national family and we will always love, protect and care for one another.”
.@realDonaldTrump: “I know my brother Robert is looking down on us from Heaven.”
.@realDonaldTrump: “The Republican Party, the party of Abraham Lincoln, goes forward united, determined, and ready to welcome millions of Democrats, Independents, and anyone who believes in the greatness of America and the righteous heart of the American People.”
Read 57 tweets
28 Aug
Alice Johnson: “I was once told that the only way I would ever be reunited with my family would be as a corpse. But by the grace of God and the compassion of President Donald John Trump, I stand before you tonight and I assure you, I am not a ghost.”
Alice Johnson: “When President Trump heard about me -- about the injustice of my story -- he saw me as a person. He had compassion. And he acted.
Free in body thanks to President Trump. But free in mind thanks to the almighty God.”
Alice Johnson: “I couldn’t believe it. I always remembered that God knew my name, even in my darkest hour. But I never thought a President would.”
Read 5 tweets

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