Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Sep 17, 2020 14 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Thread: I blocked two people last evening because I saw them discussing whether Palestinians should pursue "armed struggle"...I felt bad, but they aren't Palestinian, and I find it macabre for people to discuss others engaging in war that can harm civilians so cavalierly
One of the entitled notions of discussing the "conflict" in the West has tended to empower people to feel that they can discuss the lives of people in the Middle East using what seem like sterile terms such as "armed struggle" without admitting what they are discussing.
The people discussing the "armed struggle" don't pay any of the consequences, so for instance they won't live under curfew or rocket fire or sirens or tanks in the street. That feels to me like colonialism. Colonizing someone else's "conflict" to encourage suffering
If Palestinians want to discuss what approaches they should have towards Israel or the region, great. But when people relaxing in NY or London want to discuss how there should be "one state" or "armed struggle" without listening to people in Ramallah or Jerusalem, it's colonial
The only people who can decide if they want one state are the people living in Israel, Gaza and the West Bank. They are the ones who must take responsibility and face consequences for such a decision. No one else gets to decide that for them.
Almost everyone in the West who talks about one state (and I've heard this since University in 1998) never listens to anyone from Gaza or Ramallah, Jerusalem of Tel Aviv, Yatta or Kiryat Gat. They never listen, they just tell others about a state. That's colonial.
People of course can take an interest in the Israel-Palestinian conflict and learn about it, and discuss it. But doing so without ever including voices from the region and discussing what people should do is arrogant and misplaced. Certainly mentioning "armed struggle" is gross
If you want to be honest about "armed struggle" call it "war" because it is war. And then admit that what you're talking about is rocket fire on civilians, bus bombings, checkpoints, tanks in the streets, drone strikes, and suffering for everyone involved.
I believe I have some knowledge of the conflict because I have lived in Jerusalem for 16 years and taught at a Palestinian university for five years and covered three Gaza wars and other incidents. But still I have a lot to learn and know. If I have a lot to learn, imagine others
You never see any recognition by those sitting abroad that "we should listen to Palestinians and Israelis," you just hear total arrogance of "Palestinians will have to do X"...just like John Kerry always predicting an "explosion" of violence, without listening to anyone.
For too long the Israel-Palestinian conflict was a plaything, which catered to neo-colonial tendencies. It was this inviting "instant expertise" in the "conflict" that enabled generations of people to say "what is best" for people in Jerusalem and Ramallah, without listening
That's why you have panels where three non-Palestinians will discuss a "one state"...and no one raises their hand and says "umm, how come there are no Israelis or Palestinians on your panel." Colonial.
I guess I'm a bit sensitive because I spent almost 10 years covering war and refugees and I think one needs to have a bit of respect for locals before talking about them being plunged into another conflict that most of them don't want. And I rarely hear that respect.
I remember that one formative experience for me was the 2014 Laylat al-Qadr ( لیلة القدر) clashes at Qalandiah, so when people relax and talk about "armed struggle", they need to listen to those who saw it first hand
sethfrantzman.com/2014/07/26/lay…

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More from @sfrantzman

Sep 10
What is the end game of Israel's current multi-front war? This is worth considering in the wake of the strike on Hamas in Doha on September 9 and a new round of airstrikes on the Houthis in Yemen. In addition Israel continues to operate in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria. This is unprecedented in Israel's history to be fighting in so many places for so long.
There is no doubt that when it comes to tactical precision strikes and intelligence gathering that Israel has excellent capabilities. After the massive failure of October 7 Israel has clawed back this perception of being able to operate on multiple fronts at a high tempo.
However, the continues to be an elephant in the room in terms of end game and strategy. The war with Hezbollah was a trickle in 2023-2024 until Israel escalated in Sept-Nov and got a ceasefire. Since then Israel has struck Hezbollah but Hezbollah does not strike Israel. Will that be a "norm" for years?
Read 17 tweets
Sep 9
It always surprised me that Doha didn't re-think its Hamas hosting strategy on October 7. It should have seen that Hamas was a destructive sunk cost. Doha had sent large sums to Gaza and Hamas was risking everything through its attack and massacre.
Doha could have used that as an opportunity to pivot, to get Hamas leaders in Doha to distance themselves from the disaster that Sinwar had unleashed. Doha could have leveraged its influence and probably got something out of this. It could have leaked that Hamas leaders in Doha were shocked and that they wanted the movement to go in a different direction. Hamas in Gaza could have been isolated and removed and Doha could have swept in with the "good cop" Hamas leaders from Doha and tried to get a coalition government with Abbas, something Hamas could try to control behind the scenes.
There was an opportunity on October 8 to re-think decades of failed Gaza strategy. For instance, after Oct. 7 Hamas released two American women, and also two elderly women. Clearly someone was advising Hamas abroad, likely via Doha, that holding Americans, women, the elderly, was not a good look.
Read 9 tweets
Aug 30
The pro-Houthi griftersphere is fascinating. It’s solely made up of people who had never heard of the Houthis before October 7, 2023. They were then operationalized, or self-operationalized to suddenly back a group they knew nothing about in a country they never heard about and couldn’t locate on a map; solely because the group claimed to be fighting Israel in the name of Gaza. They adopted the cause of the Houthis, who they often confusingly claim is the government of Yemen (the Houthis are not the government); and now they are all aping eachother like leap frog to one-up how much they back “Yemen” and its “Prime Minister” after Israel targeted the Iran-backed Houthi government.

There isn’t a lone voice among these folk who cared about the Yemen civil war before 2023. It’s just people that adopted this cause and then accept any Houthi slop they are fed.

You could make up a group and claim it is fighting Israel “for Gaza” and these grifters would back it. “The Abjababians are fighting Israel to stop the Gaza war” and the next day you’d have 100 “influencers” very passionate about the Abjababians and their leader General Landocjabr…any random thing you could completely make up…put some AI slop on it and they’d consume it
I don’t know if griftersphere is a word, but I’m happy to coin it and will use it more often. It is the most appropriate word for the phenomenon of these folk.
The pro-Houthi griftersphere should be mapped and studied. It’s so obviously not authentic and so ridiculous.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 24
I found this CNN article about Gaza city interesting because of the elephant in the room. It tells the tale of a city that was once thriving and is now a chaos of war and tragedy.

But what seems to be missing in the larger discussion is why Hamas purposely risked all this to commit the genocidal Oct. 7 attack; Hamas would have known that murdering 1,000 people and taking 250 hostage would result in a long war of destruction. They purposely set out to destroy Gaza city.Image
"you could still get a matcha latte on the way to a yoga studio, or relax in a park."

So shouldn't someone hold Hamas to account for having destroyed all this? Image
The report says "institutions set up by the militants, with help from regional governments like Qatar and a robust United Nations aid system, gave some structure to the strip’s exhausted population."

So why haven't those organizations and countries that funded Hamas-run Gaza condemned Hamas for unleashing this terrible war.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 22
I'm fascinated and saddened every time I see a news story about Hamas in Gaza, such as the recent statements about EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas speaking with her Israelis counterpart and discussing Hamas in Gaza. It always shocks me that after 655 days of war that Hamas continues to control part of Gaza and negotiate to return to control most of it. The existence of Hamas in Gaza shouldn't even be a discussion today. It shouldn't be there. But it is. It is unclear if Hamas will be removed from Gaza. If it is to be removed there doesn't appear to be a clear roadmap for doing so. This lack of a process is part of the wider series of missteps and challenges that plagued the war for 21 months.
It's fascinating that despite murdering more than 1,000 people on October 7 and kidnapping 250; that decisions were made in the early months of the war that would result in keeping Hamas in power. Instead of being laser focused on removing Hamas, so Israelis wouldn't be kidnapped again, so they wouldn't be massacred again; the war was treated as another round in Gaza, another 2006, 2009, 2014. In fact, the plans for the offensive in Gaza were almost identical to past raids. The concept: Go into part of Gaza city or Khan Younis, uproot some tunnels; and then leave. Go into the Philadelphi corridor, clear it out and then negotiate over leaving it.
One of the early examples of a decision that was obviously made to result in Hamas staying in power, was the decision to move civilians in Gaza to be under Hamas rule. The IDF or other officials made decisions early on that under no circumstances would Israel deal with the civilians, and under no circumstances would an alternate authority be created to administer their lives in a non-Hamas zone. As such the result was to move 2 million people to remain under Hamas rule.
Read 13 tweets
Jul 6
There is a lot of talk today about sheikhs in Hebron who want to for an "emirate" of Hebron. This is being greeted by some as a positive initiative. Let's take a look at the claims and also what the results could be. Image
First, the context. Israel is engaged in a 637 day war in Gaza against Hamas. Hamas still controls around 40 percent of Gaza. In Gaza, Israel has backed an initiative to have armed militias involved in some activities in the rest of Gaza. There is one named commander, Abu Shabab (not his real name obviously) and there are rumored to be others.

Some see this as a wise decision to have multiple armed gangs and militias run a post-war Gaza. Israel's current government opposes having the PA run Gaza, so the theory is that armed militias fighting eachother and Hamas is a good future.
In the West Bank the PA has been relatively successful at ruling Palestinian cities and towns for thirty years. However, Israel's current government includes parties that oppose the PA. The PA leader Mahmoud Abbas is aging and there is talk of what comes next.
Read 25 tweets

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