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Dan Pfeiffer Profile picture
@danpfeiffer
Sep 17, 2020 • 4 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
New Poll: @crookedmedia/@ChangePolls polled new and infrequent voters in the battleground states. The poll offers some good news for @JoeBiden and some very specific guidance. Here are the best messages to turn out this critical group of voters: messagebox.substack.com/p/winning-the-…
Two key priorities to win these key voters:

1. Win the economic debate: Trump still has an advantage on the issue, but is very vulnerable.

2. Inform them about Biden: This hard to reach group wants more info on Biden's plans.

More on how to do that:

messagebox.substack.com/p/winning-the-…
For more information on the latest @crookedmedia / @ChangePolls PollerCoaster poll crooked.com/articles/polle…
Please consider subscribing to the Message Box for political analysis and actionable advice for this election and beyond. A portion of every subscription is being donated to @BlackVotersMtr - one of the most important orgs in politics today.
messagebox.substack.com/subscribe?utm_…

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More from @danpfeiffer

Dan Pfeiffer Profile picture
Feb 1
1. The results from the special election in Texas are even worse for Republicans than it looks.

Every Republican on the ballot should be scared shitless
2. It's not just the 31-point swing in Democrats' direction. It's the fact that this happened in a race where the GOP invested real time and money. Trump endorsed the incumbent, urged his supporters to vote for her, and the GOP well outspent the Democrats.
3. It's also where it happened. This is Tarrant County, a power center for Texas Republicans and a big part of what has driven their gains in recent years.
Read 6 tweets
Dan Pfeiffer Profile picture
Jan 24
1. I understand the political risk and the substantive challenges, but Democrats must do everything they can to block the ICE funding bill in Congress.

You can’t call out the fascism of ICE's actions one day and then vote to fund them the next.
2. To do so would be to reinforce every negative image voters have of Democrats. They think we are weak, full of shit, and unwilling to back up our warnings about Trump with action that is commensurate with the gravity of those warnings
3. Blocking the bill won't stop ICE, but at some point, Democrats have to draw the line and say what's happening in Minnesota and across the country is unacceptable
Read 4 tweets
Dan Pfeiffer Profile picture
Aug 13, 2025
1. Many Dems worry that Trump will "cancel" the elections to avoid getting his ass kicked in 2026, but he doesn't have the power to do that. Trump has a different plan to rig elections in 2026 and beyond.

And it's already underway.
2. It begins with the mid-decade redistricting in Texas and elsewhere. Republicans hope to net enough seats to keep the House, which gives them control of the process for seating the winner of the 2028 Presidential election.
3. Trump wants a new census that excludes the undocumented. A new census would allow Trump to manipulate the numbers and shift seats and electoral votes from blue states to red ones. Courts have resisted this in the past, but it's uncertain what they will do in the future.
Read 5 tweets
Dan Pfeiffer Profile picture
Jul 3, 2025
1. The GOP just passed the most unpopular piece of legislation in history. It could not only cost them the majority, but it might be a generational political error that could blow up the Trump coalition and reshape politics for the foreseeable future.
2. Everyone thinks Trump has remade the GOP in his image, but slashing health care and food stamps to pay for tax cuts for the rich is something Paul Ryan and Mitt Romney would have done a decade ago.

But while the policy is the same political context has changed.
3. Back in Paul Ryan's day, cuts to Medicaid and SNAP primarily hurt Democratic voters. But the political coalitions have shifted dramatically since then. Now GOP voters - espcially the ones who swung to Trump in 24 - that will bear the brunt of this bill.
Read 7 tweets
Dan Pfeiffer Profile picture
May 4, 2025
1. Trump is desperately trying to avoid blame for the downturn in the economy since he took office. Trying to blame Biden simply isn't going to work. Here's why:
2. On the campaign trail, Trump made outlandish and absurd promises about how he would end inflation on day one. This is why so many voters who were skeptical of Trump ultimately voted for him.
3. Voters have turned even more negative on the economy since Trump took office and specifically since Trump put his tariffs in place. Image
Read 5 tweets
Dan Pfeiffer Profile picture
Feb 21, 2025
We now have four new polls that show the same thing -- Donald Trump's approval rating sinking into the mid-40s. This would be one of the shortest honeymoons for a new president in recent history. The reasons for the dip are pretty clear.
1. people do not like his agenda. In the @washingtonpost poll, 43% oppose what Trump has done in his first month. Those who strongly oppose outnumber those who strongly support by 37 percent to 27 percent
2. Elon Musk is dragging down Trump. Only 34% approve of the job he is doing and majorities are concerned about him accessing their private info and shutting down agencies
Read 5 tweets

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