Nicholas Drummond Profile picture
Sep 18, 2020 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
DETERRENCE THROUGH MILITARY MOBILITY (Thread)
Everyone gets the Navy.
Frigates. Destroyers. Aircraft carriers. Strategic missile submarines. Attack submarines.
People know what they do.
You have a problem? Send a ship. Job done. We used to call it gunboat diplomacy. Image
Everyone gets the Air Force too.
Typhoon. F-35 Lightning. P8 Poseidon. A400M. C-17A. Voyager. Chinook.
Air strikes. Delivering aid. Patrolling the skies. The RAF's role is easy to understand too. Image
But what about the Army?
It sat unused in Germany for 50 years with tanks that couldn't be moved anywhere quickly. Then it fought two wars that seemed to have little direct impact on UK security. So people rightly question what is the Army for? Image
Having the bulk of the Army based in Germany was justifiable when the Soviet Union was the only serious threat. But an Army stuck in Germany cannot easily be deployed elsewhere. Today, unfortunately, we face multiple threats, so the Army needs to be more deployable. Image
This is not to say that heavy armour is unimportant. We still need it if we are to counter well-equipped peer adversaries. We just don't need so much of it. Image
What we do need is a mobile force that can self-deploy under its own steam. This means more protected wheeled vehicles. The Strike Brigade concept was recognition of this evolved need. The Integrated Review will now build on this to create an Army that is much more usable. ImageImage
Deployability is not just about acquiring vehicles like MIV and MRVP, its also about building logistical and other support structures that sustain the Army in the field - something we have always been quite good at. Image
What we are moving towards is an agile army that deters by being able to react rapidly across multiple scenarios:
The Baltic States.
Mali.
The Middle East.
And most important situation of all...
The serious threat that jumps out of nowhere and requires an immediate response. Image
At its heart, the Integrated Review is about deterrence through military mobility. If it succeeds in modernising the Army so that it has the same degree of utility as the Navy and Air Force, it will be a resounding success. Image

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More from @nicholadrummond

Jun 11, 2023
The @GD_LandSystems M10 Booker is not a derivative of the ASCOD platform, but an all-new design. The hull has well-sloped armour, an 800 hp diesel driveline and @Horstman_Group hydro-pneumatic struts. The 105 mm gun based on the UK ROF L7 and is mounted in an Abrams-based turret. Image
As impressive as the vehicle itself is the acquisition approach. 12 prototypes from two companies were down-selected. These were tested extensively. A winner was chosen and awarded a LRIP contract for 26. Now that all issues are resolved a full production contract can be issued.
At each stage of the process, risk was managed. The onus was on @GD_LandSystems to resolve any issues in order to move the program to the next stage. Brigadier Glenn Dean, who has assumed overall responsibility for MPF deserves credit for doing a fantastic job.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 4, 2023
Over the last 15 months, @LockheedMartin's M270 & HIMARS rocket launchers have performed extremely well, obliterating Russian targets while reducing collateral damage at ranges of 70 km, which is beyond the enemy's capacity to return effective counter-battery fire. ImageImage
Ukraine's success with HIMARS confirms what we already believed, that precision-guided deep fires rockets and missiles enable smaller armies to deliver an effect that belies their size relative to larger, less capable adversaries. Image
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Read 10 tweets
May 27, 2023
The British Army's Protected Mobility Pipeline (PMP) programme will see 14 platforms merged into 5. Three PM platforms (light, medium, & heavy) will replace Foxhound, Mastiff, Ridgeback, Wolfhound, Husky, Foxhound, and Panther. This will streamline through-life support. Image
As good as Boxer is, only 4 infantry battalions will be equipped with it. So having a larger fleet of lower cost PMVs will be essential. Also, the way in which they're being used in Ukraine, as battlefield taxis that move infantry out-of-contact, points to a new way of operating. Image
For some roles, it makes sense to purchase an off-the-shelf solution from abroad (e.g., Oshkosh JLTV) where the price is lower than domestically produced vehicles can match. But for others, British industry is perfectly capable of producing a state-of-the-art 4x4 or 6x6 PMV. Image
Read 6 tweets
May 16, 2023
When it comes to properly regenerating NATO forces, a prevailing view is that the Russo-Ukrainian conflict will be long over before any new capabilities ordered today are delivered, so any uplift in defence spending is pointless. THIS VIEW IS TOTALLY WRONG. Here's why... Image
While the conflict has resulted in the comprehensive degradation of Russia’s land force capabilities, Russia is not yet a spent force. Vladimir Putin has not accepted defeat, nor has he relinquished his territorial ambitions. Image
Even if the conflict is resolved in the short-term, either through the voluntary withdrawal or forced eviction of Russian forces from Ukraine, Putin is likely to use any peace agreement as an opportunity regenerate his army. Image
Read 7 tweets
May 14, 2023
I've been analysing the British Army's overall structure in anticipation of the Defence Command Paper Refresh. It'll be interesting to see how it will be reorganised to accommodate the headcount reduction from 77,000 to 72,500.
Since many units are already operating below their permitted headcount, or are reliant on the Army Reserve to deploy, we could see much leaner units across the Army. Will 450 person infantry battalions be fit for purpose?
I am sure those responsible for reconfiguring he Army will be trying all kinds of models to make the new structure work. But I fear a bold correction may be necessary to ensure the combat units we do intend to field have sufficient potency and resilience in terms of headcount.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 24, 2023
THE BRITISH ARMY AND THE DEFENCE COMMAND PAPER REFRESH 2023. 🧵
British Army's 2021 Future Soldier strategy was seen more as a structure driven by costs than than a structure defined by strategy, even though it the Integrated Review got more things right than wrong.
(1 of 20)
This is the British Army of today. Three primary elements: the Allied Rapid Reaction Corps HQ, the Field Army and Home Command. Total headcount reduced to 72,500, the lowest it has been for 200 years. Three divisions, but only one of these is deployable.
(2 of 20) Image
The Field Army's three divisions yield eight combat brigades, but only four of these have Combat Support (CS) and Combat Service Support (CSS) enablers. So basically only half of the Army is actually usable. Which is a bummer.
(3 of 20) Image
Read 20 tweets

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