Holger Hestermeyer Profile picture
Sep 18, 2020 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Allow me to call bullshit on this one.
Why?
Because this is not how the process works. In short: this is fiction.
How does it work (a thread)
The WTO describes the process in its document WT/L/509. Available here (the WTO links it) wto.org/english/thewto…
The customary decision-making procedure of the WTO is: consensus. In short: nobody says no. So if China and the EU are against a candidate - fully against - that candidate won’t become DG. End of story.
How then does the WTO go through this consensus-building exercise? The description is here
An iterative consultation process eliminating candidates unable to attract consensus. So what happens if in the end the only candidates left standing ... don’t attract a consensus?
At that point, members “shall consider” the possibility of voting. Voting, though, goes against an engrained consensus culture at the WTO. And when I say goes against: articles have been written about how unrealistic a vote would be on certain matters.
It is, for most watchers, a complete surprise that Seade - a Mexican with tons of experience in the field - is out, Fox is still in. But the reason is certainly not that the EU and China wanted him out at all cost. The reason is that they did NOT want him out at all cost.
What that means and why that is - hard to tell. Tactics, or simply not as hard opposition, who knows.

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More from @hhesterm

Apr 3
I know some will brush off @RishiSunak 's comments on the ECtHR and the ECHR as irrelevant given that his days in office are almost over. They are not. They are dangerous for the UK and show some politicians have not learned a thing. Why? /1
First: Once again a UK leader makes a commitment to leave an international system to limit immigration without any regard to the impact of leaving. That impact? /2
The UK was instrumental in drafting the ECHR. The agreement is at the core of the Council of Europe, underlies the good Friday agreement and the TCA. Leaving it means the UK leaves the CoE, destroys the Belfast Agreement and ultimately terminates significant chunks of the TCA. /3
Read 7 tweets
Jan 27
Sorry to emphasize this again, but please note the "direct and public incitement to commit genocide" aspect of the case, which weirdly is often left out of commentary on the ICJ case. It is incredibly important. /1
South Africa submitted numerous statements that show that a cavalier attitude has developed to say truly horrendous things. Now that does not equal showing a state policy of genocide. But it is deeply troubling. And the court decided to remind Israel of what needs to be done /2
And the order of the Court in this regard is all the more stronger by who voted for it: Also Israel's ad hoc judge Barak, the former President of Israel's Supreme Court. /3 Image
Read 4 tweets
Dec 31, 2023
Some thoughts on the South Africa-Israel case before the ICJ, as I am unhappy with some comments. I’ll try to keep this untechnical. /1
1) South Africa files the case as a state party to the genocide convention against Israel as another state party alleging violations of the convention. This is permissible, as every state party is held to have an interest in upholding the convention.
2) This is not the first time that this has happened. The Gambia has filed a case concerning genocide against Myanmar. If you are interested… icj-cij.org/case/178
Read 28 tweets
Dec 17, 2023
Ofcom has published a list of swearwords by degree of offensiveness, which really is a f****** great service for non-native speakers. So here it is (thread) Image
Part 2


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Part 3


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Read 7 tweets
Apr 4, 2023
The Trump indictment: 34 counts of Falsifying Business Records in the First Degree (if I'm not mistaken) manhattanda.org/wp-content/upl…
This is the offense at issue: NY Penal Law $ 175.10 Falsifying Business Records in the First Degree, a class E felony
Art. 70 of the Penal Law gives details on sentencing. Here's a chart from ypdcrime.com/penal.law/felo…
Read 5 tweets

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