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T. Jayaraman Profile picture
@tjayaraman
Sep 19, 2020 • 8 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
Unfortunately our doubting @ThomasASpencer is not done with misreading yet, since he is wont give up his evangelical conviction that we sinners are not embracing salvation. @KanitkarT @JMauskar @DrTongia @DrSimEvans @moefcc @Sandeeppaii. First, patenting.
We make clear our patenting remarks refer to technology in climate change mitigation technologies (CCMT), category identified by EPO. Based on PATSTAT online and OECD Stat for analysis. @ThomasASpencer talks about all patenting in all OECD. IRRELEVANT!
Just plotting the movement of prices does not show tech change is under way. Diffusion yes, but real innovation? We have to explain both the fall in prices and the fall in patenting. The first does not negate the other. What about RE subsidies and a regulatory helping hand?
On RE and manufacturing. Look at facts for Germany. TFC for industry 58 MTOE, with 25% from electricity (IEA). Total RE consumption is 32MTOE, with 32% for industry, that is about 10 MTOE for industry (IRENA), only 17% of TFC. All data 2017/2018.
We haven't even got to technology capacities, costs, etc., the grid management problems that Germany is facing and the loss incurred because of these grid management issues, soaring bills for consumers and the like.
e360.yale.edu/features/carbo…
This is Germany, the global leader. At the most charitable, they haven't even got it right yet, though they are trying. You think based on this India can bet our future in manufacturing will grow even if we stop all new coal, here and now?
Look up comparable figures for India and what do u think you will see?! To be fair and transparent, we should have clarified that India's coal dependence in industry is not only through elec. but also non-elec. consumption. I have the nos., but evangelists please check it out!!
Not my business to keep on answering those who do not read carefully, or provide an education what India's challenges are as a developing country, notwithstanding the hubris in Delhi.

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More from @tjayaraman

T. Jayaraman Profile picture
Aug 18
HOW "BEST AVAILABLE SCIENCE" MAKES IT ALONGSIDE YOUR MORNING COFFEE AS NEW CLIMATE POLICY..
A classic example of how climate-scenarios-based "science" leads to so-called "policy analysis" that feeds the global North narrative.
At lightning speed by 16th August @CarbonBrief has a comment out on a paper that has just been published on 12th August (see here for paper ).nature.com/articles/s4155…
Unsurprisingly this is from Nature Climate Change (NCC), and open access. The first means that the NCC editorial desk (the gatekeepers) has to accept the paper, before peer review even begins -- a favour certainly not given to all. Second a hefty open access fee has been paid -- £8890.00/$12290.00/€10290.00.
The article itself is written by very "influential" authors, representative of the mitigation scenarios community. It is unlikely that the NCC gatekeeper would turn it down. The paper clearly made it to print quite fast -- submitted 28 Feb. 2024, accepted 20 June, in print 12 Aug.
Read 14 tweets
T. Jayaraman Profile picture
Aug 16
@CSEINDIA makes a surprising turn towards cheer-leading for carbon markets in India, moving away from its well-known stance of caution on market-driven approaches. Here is a quick deconstruction of the most problematic aspects of this new turn....
Based on the report: .40552200_1723533649_the-indian-carbon-market-pathway-towards-an-effective-mechanism-report.pdf
and a press statement: 1/nhttp___cdn.cseindia.org
cseindia.org/cse-recommends…
Key recommendations and their issues:
1. Moving from the "perform, achieve, trade" (PAT) mode to "Indian carbon market" mode in hard-to-abate sectors.This has been mentioned in FM's budget speech 2024. But the CSE Report calls for a wholesale shift with "large coverage of emissions" (not merely hard-to-abate sectors) and basically a discontinuation of the PAT scheme. 2/n
The tricky part is how to move to emissions per production unit (or unit of production) accounting while not undermining India's NDC. India's NDC is not on an emissions reduction basis but only an emissions intensity basis. The CSE report while praising the virtues of emissions accounting pays no heed to what is the equitable level of emissions reduction that is to be targeted in these sectors that is aligned with India's NDC. 3/n
Read 17 tweets
T. Jayaraman Profile picture
Aug 10
Spoke about inequitable IPCC AR6 scenarios and our alternate framework for equitable futures in Delhi today. Curious reactions. Immediate pushback from a CSO/MI personality in the room pooh poohing the framework as not fitting the "real world" of negotiations.
Also dismissive of a distinguished African guest's impassioned plea to refocus on equity, development and well being of the populations of the global South.
Another person changed tack to arguing that it was India's (and presumably other global South countries) fault that the issue of equity could not be emphasized in the negotiations. Not a word about the fact that the e-word is anathema for the global North!!
Read 10 tweets
T. Jayaraman Profile picture
Jun 29
The climate crisis just got incredibly worse!! The leading superpower, that refuses to acknowledge its historical responsibility for global warming, refuses to accept binding emission reduction targets has just undone whatever little it has been doing so far!!
nytimes.com/2024/06/28/us/…
Let us see who will have the honesty to tell the superpower, when their spokespersons mouth the words "keeping 1.5 deg within reach", will bluntly tell them to cease their hypocrisy.
It is an article of faith for the US in promoting the Paris Agreement that it will be able to implement its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) by administrative actions and incentives to its businesses - meaning the massive trans-national corporations that dominate their economic life.
Read 11 tweets
T. Jayaraman Profile picture
Sep 9, 2023
THIS METHOD OF MEASURING THE SUCCESS OF ADAPTATION SHOULD BE REJECTED -- AND HERE IS WHY.
Three key reasons for such rejection: This criterion of success i) demands that no new "substantial" emissions take place in adaptation, ii) does not recognize any differentiation between developed and developing countries and iii) flies in the face of socio-economic realities.
Let us deconstruct this method of "gauging the success" of adaptation by examining this figure from the authors of this method. Image
Read 20 tweets
T. Jayaraman Profile picture
Jul 29, 2023
Congratulations to @JimSkeaIPCC on his election as Chair of @IPCC_CH. At COP27, @mssrf and @NIAS_India were privileged to have him on our panel discussion at the India Pavilion on Climate Equity, Carbon Budgets and IPCC AR6 Scenarios. @moefcc @byadavbjp @JRBhatt60 @KanitkarT
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My colleague @KanitkarT and I appreciated @JimSkeaIPCC willingness to listen and engage, though there was considerable distance between our views. We are encouraged by his post-election remarks, though the journey to achieving it will be a testing one in practice.
Image
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Congratulations too to the full Bureau elected to lead the IPCC through Seventh Assessment Cycle. . Includes good friend Prof. Raman Sukumar as Working Group II Vice-Chair and several others in the Bureau that we are privileged to know.ipcc.ch/2023/07/28/ipc…
Read 9 tweets

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