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Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
@TimInHonolulu
Sep 19, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
1. Motivations. Trump is transactional and though he has succeeded in being elected once he shows no evidence of becoming more attuned to how politics works. He will want to make a pick and get the seat filled to show daddy what an evil little boy he is. @MaryLTrump
2. McConnell is strategic. He will want to have the issue of the pick on the ballot. It will energize both @TheDemocrats and the Fascists but he will likely conclude that that the Democrats are already enthused, and he needs to prop-up at least five Senate races.
3. The Democrats will do what we do best: Freak out & run screaming in every direction claiming the sky is falling. When we awoke yesterday the goal was winning the White House, Senate and hold the House. Nothing has changed but the urgency. Mourn the loss of a great human being.
4. Then saddle up for the home stretch. #EyesOnThePrize. @JoeBiden @KamalaHarris @SpeakerPelosi @SenSchumer

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Dec 2
HTS knows that their leader has a drone strike target pined to his tunic. His complicity with Turkey is apparent. The board is being reset. Military aircraft do no appear to be moving but yesterday and today show a large number of executive jets in the region that tells me
the players are talking but don't trust the phone. That could mean that what they are planning bad for the west. After Israel's brutal treatment of Palestinian civilians it was only a matter of time for the retaliatory blood letting to begin.
The Kurds, Christians and Yazidis appear to be the targets. I still don't have trustworthy data on SNA and HTS force size and capability. With all the noise on social media I find it shocking that there is nothing on this critical data.
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Nov 28
I spotted the Kremlin sock puppets during the 2016 campaign because I'd seen them while covering Ukraine. What I have seen recently on Twitter aka X is that Generative AI is being used to steer the tariff discussion. I don't have time or the will to engage so I
simply block the accounts once I am relatively sure of their origin. My suspicion is that the tariff absurdity is straight out of the SVR and Trump adopted it as a condition of Elmo being the Kremlin source of cash to win the election. I think Trump is backing away from Elmo
not just because he doesn't like sharing the spotlight but also because he may be getting warnings, similar to what he got after he was sworn, about Flynn that were the result of nitwits like Flynn and now Musk not knowing how FISA works.
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Nov 3
1. I have supported a two-state solution to the conflict in #Palestine for my entire life. I agree that #Netanyahu's conduct of the war in #Gaza violated the the law of armed conduct and could support charges of #genocide. I don't believe that #Arab and
2. other #Muslim Americans' lives will be somehow improved if #Trump is elected.
Political power comes from coalitions. Working on campaigns, being reliable partners when the call comes is how my #Irish ancestors gained political power.
3. Using threats to not vote as leverage against the only party that protects you only serves to isolate your vital growing part of the electorate from becoming a powerful voice in American politics. We support you. It's now time for you to support the cause.
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Nov 2
1. It’s been eight years since Comey dropped his October surprise. When I witnessed what he did, I knew Hillary was going to lose. Her historic negatives, closeness to election day and a massive Kremlin-run sock-puppet army combined with the fact that it dropped
2. too close to the election for Hillary to have time to recover. I began working on life under the fascist creature before the election day in 2016 and I’m still working. It's 100 hours to D-Day and this time, in sharp contrast to 2016, I have zero anxiety.
3. I’ve looked at the fundamentals, the closing arguments and the nature of the electorate engagement and I don't see any signs Trump is actually going to win. When a candidate threatens to arrest and shoot their detractors it generally makes polls unreliable.
Read 9 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Oct 28
1. What's Trump's long game where he appears to have given up trying to win? Moving further to extreme right is insanity in this close race. Why would he do that? I think the facts we currently have strongly suggest he's being bribed most likely by Putin with Musk as an agent.
2. His mission is to destroy America. He showed us today what it will look like. He's preparing his brown shirts to once again take to violence. Damaged people like Mike Johnson who looks like an a Kompromat victim is going to help. But this isn't 2021.
3. Trump no longer controls any levers of the executive branch that gave him the means to attempt a coup. Trump is on felony post-conviction release in NY and under terms of release in DC. Criminal conduct after the election exposes him to loss of liberty. So what's his plan?
Read 7 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Oct 19
What Trump and his big money supporters don't get is, if there's a plan to commit crimes to overturn this election & funders & others know of the illegal purpose & agree to it, all it takes is one overt act by one conspirator to trigger criminal conspiracy liability for all.
Their criminal exposure doesn't await the outcome of the election and the execution of the plan. Their crimes were already committed when they agreed. It's obvious what Trump is planning. Imagine he's a bank robber who is awaiting trial for robbing a certain bank.
While on pretrial release he makes clear he's going to rob the same bank again. What do you think the police are going to do? Now add that the biggest funder is building rockets that Putin and the Russian military fear. Luring him into a crime that destroys him and his rocket
Read 5 tweets

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