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Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
@TimInHonolulu
Sep 19, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
1. Motivations. Trump is transactional and though he has succeeded in being elected once he shows no evidence of becoming more attuned to how politics works. He will want to make a pick and get the seat filled to show daddy what an evil little boy he is. @MaryLTrump
2. McConnell is strategic. He will want to have the issue of the pick on the ballot. It will energize both @TheDemocrats and the Fascists but he will likely conclude that that the Democrats are already enthused, and he needs to prop-up at least five Senate races.
3. The Democrats will do what we do best: Freak out & run screaming in every direction claiming the sky is falling. When we awoke yesterday the goal was winning the White House, Senate and hold the House. Nothing has changed but the urgency. Mourn the loss of a great human being.
4. Then saddle up for the home stretch. #EyesOnThePrize. @JoeBiden @KamalaHarris @SpeakerPelosi @SenSchumer

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
May 4
Most of the world is making a very big and dangerous mistake about Julani and the HTS regime controlling Syria. He is a Jihadist. An ideologue who has apparently convinced several intelligence services that he will play ball. Perhaps the time he was in Iraq
involved some attempt to recruit him. It just doesn't work that way. He's al-Qaeda and he will never change.
I have for decades believed Hamas was victimizing Palestinians to advance Iran's and other malign actors' goals of maintaining constant conflict with Israel and the US.
I also believe that the manner in which Netanyahu has conducted the war in Gaza constitutes aggressive war and genocide both chargeable under the UN Genocide Convention. The criminal mishandling of the war in Gaza notwithstanding, Israel has a right to eliminate HTS from Syria.
Read 8 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 27
If Trump abandons our Ukrainian allies and instead takes the side of a monster charged with crimes against humanity he risks being charged. His break with our allies means he can't rely on Rome Statute signatories violating their obligation to honor an ICC warrant if he travels.
If Trump finally woke up to the risks that he faces that John Robert's absurd immunity decision can't remedy, he will wisely leave Putin to his fate. With Trump hemorrhaging support within his base, he can't afford to look like a traitor, especially while he allows a drunken
popinjay to destroy our DOD and leak our secrets. Xi is calling out Trump's lies about talks demanding Trump face humiliation by terminating his China tariffs as a condition to talks. Ship sailings from China are down 60% meaning in just weeks US store shelves will be empty.
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Apr 22
El Salvadore is a signatory of the Rome Treaty. Is Bukele conspiring with a non-member to violate Rome Statute? Could that be jurisdictional hook to permit @ICC to charge, Bukele, Trump, Vance, Noem, Steven Miller, Pam Bondi, @PressSec, Musk and creepy ICE guy?
SCOTUS 9-0 says Trump is breaking the law and the Constitution. But they don't have the power to force him to stop. If Trump and every Cabinet head involved gets an international arrest warrant if they don't resign, that might shut Trump down. Rome Statute: Image
Definitions in the Rome Statute Image
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Mar 16
The Kremlin continues to push a false narrative about Ukrainian forces remaining in the Kursk region when Ukraine fully withdrew over two weeks ago. It's possible a few reconisance units remain but even that is unlikely. So why the big lie?
My initial thought was Putin was trying to keep the Russian population engaged in his patriotic war to defend the Motherland, but I'm moving away from this propaganda motive to one of greater concern.
If the Project Owl data is accurate (and I believe it is) Putin may be preparing a spring offensive and the objective is Kyiv. Here is the current map showing all Ukrainian forces have withdrawn and have also left the border thinly defended Image
Read 11 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Feb 28
I've seen some recent posts that claim that Musk has used his Tesla shares as collateral in large loans to finance his other operations. If that is true, it's possible that Tesla share's slide has put him at risk of a default that could mean he loses everything in an instant.
I think Tesla is now domiciled in Texas and if that is so the lenders would likely have control agreements in place with Tesla that requires them to follow the lenders' instructions in the event of a default, What we need to know is, what are the loan covenants?
If there is a price floor that the lenders can call the loan or require additional collateral then, as Musk continues destroy the Tesla brand, that he has rebranded as a Nazi front, the price will slide to a point that shareholders begin to panic and sell to keep from being
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Feb 16
The @GOP will collapse on itself when Trump reveals he's precisely who we thought he was: Putin's stooge and the enemy of democracy. Shun those who would cede US power and moral authority to a defeated degenerate Russian mass murderer.
First, everyone must cut the cord and destroy @FoxNews and the other propaganda organs the cable industry forces us to subsidize. Listen to @MSNBC on @tunein until the network is free from the burden of subsidizing the corporate enemies of democracy. Prepare to cut the cord.
@FoxNews @MSNBC @tunein A cheap antena gets most local stations. With their revenue in peril the cable industry will be forced to terminate Fox's and other propagandist subsidies we're forced to pay. If we don't have the will to perform these small acts of resistance, then we are already defeated.
Read 5 tweets

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