Simon Sarris Profile picture
Sep 19, 2020 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
This is close to the opposite of the advice I'd give smart people (but it's almost certainly a mistake to write that advice down)

Really good advice is often a dangerous gift, for both parties.
What's wrong: Early on one must cultivate sense, experience, and money, this advice attempts to gain the third at the expense of the first two. It's 💯% defensive advice and assumes no upside to risk, so following it means you forgo all asymmetric upsides

Maxing out 401Ks and IRAs supposes you have no idea what else to do with the money (which may be true) but step 1 is to look for what else your money could be doing.
Index funds are 'safe' and guarantee you will learn nothing. Many of them are pseudo actively managed (eg if you own an S&P index fund you now own ETSY because some people decided it should be in the S&P a few days ago). Someone *is* picking stocks, just not you!
"The person on the other side of the table knows more than you" is not itself a reason why you should not buy individual securities, after all when you buy an index fund there's someone else on the other side of the table too. Their reasoning is poorly articulated.
"Pay attention to fees" and then talks about having a financial advisor. The people this kind of advice applies to definitely do not need to be paying a financial advisor.
(this is just what I think is wrong with the card's framing, not trying to offer my own advice here, but broadly speaking more people should take more financial risks for both possible financial or experience gain while young, and this thinking goes in the opposite direction)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Simon Sarris

Simon Sarris Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @simonsarris

Nov 11
I thought it strange - my parents never really gave me advice growing up. Nothing about career, finance, romance, even small things like what to read or how to dress. It was as if they felt it was not their place.

What I learned since is that this is absurdly common
I was an extremely quiet child that went to a very small (8th grade graduating class: 21 people) catholic school. I stayed mostly mute until I went off to college. I grew up, in a way, on the internet. This world was closed to my non-technical parents.
My father had no father, and grew up very poor. He became a breadwinner as an early teen. I think he found it difficult to be a father, how to relate to adolescents anyway. I don't really blame him.

I have written about that slightly before, long ago:

map.simonsarris.com/p/quiet-listen…
Read 6 tweets
Nov 6
It's actually mysterious how many smart single people there are that cannot find a partner.

So many people want a well-defined thing, and that thing exists in droves, and they cannot find it. Also it's each-other.
On paper it seems like smart people should have the easiest time of all with (social) assortative mating.

The numbers are low, but you have the most signals and avenues to find each-other, the most resources, ostensibly the best coordination mechanisms etc etc etc

and yet
of course I'm making it sound more easy than it is, I'm not trying to be glib "just go to the husband/wife store".

But I feel like something is *off*, given the stakes. Some dating dark matter that's just way off. Hence mysterious.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 1
"only net taxpayers voting" is how nearly all democracy was originally conceived

people have a hard time because philosophically there is an enormous gulf between "voting is a reasonable way to achieve good governance" and "voting is about fairness"
yet we switched from "good governance" to "fairness"

reminder: Senators used to be appointed. We stopped doing this and switched to popular election (1913) not bc we wanted super extra more fairness but bc ostensibly appointments caused more cronyism than good governance.
even that was controversial, it was basically the publishing magnate Hearst using the power he had to agitate for it with what could kindly be called fanfiction about how bad things were. nonetheless it was enough to really get the ball rolling Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 2
The zero-interest-rate era is going to become lost history because people want to make up a narrative around AI. The white collar bloodbath didn't happen because of a chat app release, it happened because of the end of ZIRP which occurred rapidly in 2022. Image
the extreme over-hiring and then bloodbath is visible from space. Also visible from indeed dot com data, indexed to 100 pre-covid.

The AI post-hoc story is doggedly self insistent but its completely false. Image
People a decade from now will think Elon slashed Twitter's employees by 90% because of some AI initiative, and not because he just thought he could run a lot leaner.

We're on year 3-4 of other companies wondering the same thing.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 11
I think the obsession with randomized controlled trials as the default of "doing science" has probably set us back a few decades
consider for an obvious example how h. pylori was discovered as the cause of peptic ulcers

RCTs might be used to develop new drugs to treat ulcers, but that's obviously inferior to discovering the cause. One is more scientifically important (the one that won the nobel prize)
Read 6 tweets
Aug 25
Why *did* so many western nations seem to decide on a policy of infinity migration so suddenly, with seemingly no fanfare or public debate or even mention about it prior to backlash?
for example the change in Canada here from 2015-2019 looks genuinely crazy. Huge change to a previously conservative system, more than doubled. Possibly it made local news but not in the US.

But then the post 2020 change blows *that* out of the water Image
2022/2023 more than doubled the 2015-2019 averages in a lot of countries. And some of those 2015-2019 averages were already high, as we see with Canada, which makes these bars look less weird than they really are.

from
which has many more graphs gov.uk/government/pub…Image
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(