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Tyler Dinucci! Profile picture
@TylerDinucci
Sep 20, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
There aren't a lot of countries that use First Past the Post for their legislative elections. Canada, the US, the UK, and India are quite alone on this, with few other democracies that think this is a good way to elect a representative government. Image
The US and the UK are comparatively old democracies, but an issue is they haven't really modernized their methods of representative as we've developed better tools for representation. And you can see where the UK has left its impact elsewhere, to the detriment of those nations.
Anyways still waiting for @CrystalMethyd to adopt me as her drag daughter so my drag name can be Dee Haunt Methyd.
read a book!! en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D%27Hondt…

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More from @TylerDinucci

Tyler Dinucci! Profile picture
Nov 18, 2022
We need a new special counsel for who’s in charge of the technical optimization at Game Freak………
may need to get Hagued
Honestly it’s so distracting I almost want to stop playing until there’s a patch but I know that GF is lazy and will never do one.
Read 4 tweets
Tyler Dinucci! Profile picture
Nov 16, 2022
In AZ AG, Mayes is up by 771 votes.
Remaining:
Apache: 4,534
Cochise: 936
Coconino: 489
Gila: 55
Maricopa: 12,277
Mohave: 700
Navajo: 310
Pima: 5,416
Pina: 1,408
Yavapai: 750
Yuma: 670

EV Needed to Process: 9,695
Provisionals: 5,315
Ballots ready to Process: 12,985
Total: 27,545
If every single one of those provisionals counts (unlike), Hamadeh would need 51.40% of the remaining vote to win.
Yes, if the Apache votes are from the Navajo Nation, the math becomes harder for Hamadeh. Hopefully we know today. Hamadeh, thus far, is the last election denier left standing in a swing state that was up for election this year.
Read 5 tweets
Tyler Dinucci! Profile picture
Nov 15, 2022
yikes tho not sure Baugh can keep that margin up
huh looks like OC in general had a very red ballot drop tonight
My guess is these are the EDay drop offs but no clue realistically how many of those there are
Read 5 tweets
Tyler Dinucci! Profile picture
Nov 13, 2022
Lake needed to win these by a 30% margin. These are actually bluer than the county’s current margin. Again, she’s missing her marks.
Lake continues to fall behind. She's running out of red county vote (only about 25k votes left there) and are still more votes left in the traditional D counties. Big question is what's to come from these last few Maricopa dumps. (fixed transposing error) Image
I think it's possible that Lake could get a 10% margin out of one or more of the remaining Maricopa batches. Where I'm skeptical is that she could somehow average that for the rest of what's left. Trump couldn't do that with a more R late ballot batch.
Read 5 tweets
Tyler Dinucci! Profile picture
Nov 13, 2022
Coconino hasn't posted to the AZ SoS site yet, but it was the same story -- Lake now needs every county's remaining ballots to be more than 15% to the right of what the county is currently reporting to win. That's tough, if not very unlikely.
In the last small Coconino update that hasn't posted to the SoS page, Lake actually hit that 20% shift to the right that she needed -- but it was a small drop of only 2000ish votes (I think) and she needs that to be replicated everywhere. It's an extremely high hill to climb.
Today should give us a better guess, but the remaining vote by LD in Maricopa seems red but not overwhelmingly so, not to mention that Hobbs will continue to get votes out of Pima. And there are only 29509 votes left in the very red counties that Lake is winning.
Read 4 tweets
Tyler Dinucci! Profile picture
Nov 12, 2022
We’re all going to become very familiar with the phrase “motion to vacate the chair” over the next two years.
Yes.
Yes.
Read 5 tweets

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