In the summer of '16 and again this summer, Pew asked what issues voters consider "very important," with SCOTUS importance rising 4 points among Dem voters and falling 9 w/ Trump voters:
2016
Clinton voters 62%
Trump voters 70%
2020
Biden voters 66%
Trump voters 61%
2016
Clinton voters 62%
Trump voters 70%
2020
Biden voters 66%
Trump voters 61%
While the court was more central to Trump voters in '16, Trump also fared poorly in '16 polls on broad SCOTUS questions. The Oct. '16 NBC/WSJ poll asked which candidate would be better when it came to making SCOTUS appointments:
Clinton 48%
Trump 38%
Clinton 48%
Trump 38%
Like everyone, I'm curious if this new fight will scramble the numbers - if R's calling this very important will spike, if the Dem number will ratchet up too, if there will end being a disparity between the parties, etc. But I also wonder what all of this is really measuring.
Like with all other issue polling, I think I basically wonder how much of this is voters who are already committed and motivated repeating back to pollsters the topics and themes they hear the most on their side.
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