Dougie Kass Profile picture
Sep 21, 2020 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Back to sleep Princess - full disclosure on @realmoney:
Sep 18, 2020 | 11:02 AM EDT DOUG KASS
Bought SPY and QQQ Puts
* Just in case!
* Watch out for the "gamma trap door" at slightly lower levels!
I am going out to lunch with some friends at noon.
But before I do I want to
emphasize that I continue to look for lower highs that could be followed by a pattern of lower lows in the averages.
I continue to see, as mentioned in my opener today, more risk in the Nasdaq relative to the S&P Index.
I have suggested that I would reshort on strength, giving
the market a wider berth. And I continue to plan to do so.
But, given my overall negative view for the balance of the year, in the event that equities move lower over the short term, I have just purchased some defined risk out of the money (SPY) and (QQQ) puts (maturities 20-30
days) to move back from a small net long exposure to small (delta adjusted) net short exposure. (This takes me to small net short. Should the market fall over the near term the puts bring me shorter and vice versa - gamma).
I may be ripping up these tickets as valueless in a few weeks but the small dollar cost, and defined risk, is acceptable to me as I look at the continued market weakness.
Finally, I would note a possible "gamma trap door" at around current levels that could hasten an imminent
market drop:
Position: Long SPY, QQQ puts, Short SPY (small), QQQ

Sep 18, 2020 | 08:30 AM EDT DOUG KASS
My Tactical Approach to the Markets
* Staying engaged, opportunistic and unemotional
I remain bearish but opportunistic and dispassionate in my trading.
I was very active yesterday.
Given the depth and speed of the declines in the S&P and Nasdaq Indices I moved from large short (SPY) and (QQQ) positions to small positions during the market's whoosh lower in the early going on Thursday. I also profitably covered my short trading
rental in Facebook (FB) .
I start the day in a small net long exposure.
But that posture will not likely last long as I plan to reshort strength if Mr. Market cooperates.
Position: Short SPY (small), QQQ (small) @threadreaderapp unroll

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More from @DougKass

Jan 8
Plagarism! My Surprise @realmoney (written in December, 2023)... 1. Donald Trump is convicted of obstruction and conspiracy.
In an agreement between the former President and the current President, Biden pardons Trump in exchange for Trump agreeing to leave the 2024 Presidential
race. Governor Ron DeSantis finishes third in both the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries and drops out of the race -- with Nikki Haley capturing many of his supporters - closing the gap with Trump. Chris Christie drops out soon thereafter while Vivek Ramaswamy hangs on to the
bitter end. Nikki Haley becomes the Republican Presidential nominee
In early September, shortly after Biden wins the nomination, the President suffers a health emergency and, like Trump, leaves the race. If Trump indeed has left the race, Governor Gavin Newsom is selected as the
Read 5 tweets
Dec 23, 2023
@dougkass Image
We are all aware of the Biblical and commercial aspects of Christmas.
Perhaps we should, as we approach the Holidays, listen to what that worldly philosopher, The Grinch, had to say:
“It came without ribbons! It came without tags! It came without packages, boxes, or bags!"
He puzzled and puzzled till his puzzler was sore. Then the Grinch thought of something he hadn't before. Maybe Christmas he thought doesn't come from a store. Maybe Christmas, perhaps, means a little bit more! And what happened then? Well, in Whoville they say That the Grinch's
Read 5 tweets
Dec 17, 2023
Here is a preview of my 10 Surprises for 2024 to be published tomorrow on @realmoney
Surprise #1. Donald Trump is convicted of obstruction and conspiracy. In an agreement between the former President and the current President, Biden pardons Trump in exchange for Trump agreeing to
leave the 2024 Presidential race. Governor Ron DeSantis finishes third in both the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries and drops out of the race - with Nicky Haley capturing many of his supporters - closing the gap with Trump. Chris Christie drops out soon thereafter while Vivek
Ramaswamy hangs on to the bitter end.  Nicky Haley becomes the Republican Presidential nominee.  In early September, shortly after Biden wins the nomination, the President suffers a health emergency and, like Trump, leaves the race. If Trump indeed has left the race, Governor
Read 5 tweets
Dec 5, 2023
@realmoney
A Key Theme of My Rosie Podcast Yesterday
* In yesterday's podcast I quoted Alfred E. Neuman, Bob Farrell, Lee Cooperman, Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, Ben Graham, Rousseau, Voltaire and Grandma Koufax in explaining my ursine market view.
Investors are unjustifiably discounting a "Goldilocks Outlook".
Given the wide range of outcomes (economic, political, social,  geopolitical, and  market) there are no certainties in an uncertain world.
As an example,  expressed below in a tweet by Mohamed El-Erian, one major
concern we have is the foundering of China's economy - remembering that China has been the engine of worldwide economic growth:


Market participants have never been more leveraged and, arguably have never been as unconcerned with value and concerned
Read 7 tweets
Dec 4, 2023
@realmoney Trade of the Week - Short $QQQ ($388.61)
With the "S&P Short Range Oscillator" surging to 7.33% at Friday's close from 4.93% - the overbought is now getting extreme.
The weakness we began to see late last week in mega cap technology stocks is likely to accelerate
into the next few weeks of December and early January with large tech holders in the "Magnificent Seven" leaking out positions to be followed by a lot of selling at the beginning of 2024 by taxable participants (pushing gains forward).
Moreover, this chart shows an unprecedented divergence between the Nasdaq and Central Bank balance sheets which could mean regress: Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 21, 2023
@realmoney @dougkass The Perpetual Liquidity Machine
* More thought on the dirty water of liquidity...
I think of the ginormous amount of liquidity the Fed created after 2007 as held in a huge flat pan - the world economy - with high sides. You tilt it to one end and
the water moves like a tsunami in that direction, you try to keep it from slopping over (to terrorists and Nigerian bankers) by tilting it back and another (hopefully smaller tsunami moves in the opposite direction).
Repeat that over and over again and over years and years, even
an enormous amount of excess liquidity will be absorbed although not a small amount will land with the grifters and con artists.
But it can and is taking a long time.
It is not, in my mind, dissimilar from what happened to Spain and Europe when large amounts of gold and silver
Read 7 tweets

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