Leslie McAdoo Gordon 🇺🇸 Profile picture
Sep 21, 2020 10 tweets 3 min read Read on X
#SCt There is very little actual law that applies. Basically that the POTUS has the authority to make the nomination & the Senate has the authority to advise & consent on the nomination. That’s it. See @AndrewCMcCarthy’s good article about this. /1
Beyond that, the process is entirely political. This is contemplated by the Constitution itself. The branches are supposed to work out power struggles between themselves. There is nothing wrong with that. Each branch has moves it can make. Making those moves is constitutional. /2
Elected officials serve during the entirety of their term. Suggesting they should voluntarily not exercise their power at some point during their term is just that - a suggestion. Suggestions can be rejected or ignored. And there’s nothing wrong with doing exactly that. /3
History about how this situation was handled before is interesting. It’s not binding in any way, but it does speak to our political norm. History shows that when faced with this situation in the past, the politicians have acted like politicians & done what favored their party./4
I see no reason why the Republicans shouldn’t nominate & confirm a justice as they have the authority & power to do so. There’s no rule saying you have to, or should, do things the way your opponents want you to do them if you don’t want to. Anyone saying otherwise is a child. /5
To the contrary, a significant reason imo to seat the justice now is the threats of violence & norm breaking (packing the courts, eliminating the Electoral College) from Dems if the Republicans do seat a justice. Threats of this type are unacceptable & must always be rejected. /6
Anyone who tries to coerce behavior by threatening violence or adverse retaliation is unfit for leadership & must be opposed vigorously. They cannot be placated. Rather they must be shown that such threats produce exactly what it is that they don’t want.Repeat until they learn./7
The only question I really have is whether the confirmation vote should be scheduled before or after Nov 3. I’m not sure yet which helps the election efforts of DJT & Republican Senators chances the most. It sounds like this is where McConnell is too for now. /8
It may not make much difference for right of center voters, but I am not sure that the same is true for left of center voters or independents. It bears thinking on for a bit & observing people over the next week or so. /9
A relevant consideration on this, however, is the AZ election. McSally holds the seat currently by appointment, not election. If she loses the election on Nov 3, the Dem (Kelly) can probably force being sworn in before Jan 3. That would change the Senate count to 52R-48D. /10

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More from @McAdooGordon

Sep 27
Should Comey have been charged?

As we discussed on the Spaces last night, I’ve been going back and forth in my mind on this question ever since the indictment dropped. There are competing considerations, but I’ve finally concluded that the answer is yes, he should have been.
It goes without saying that both the lawfare & the coup against Trump were totally unacceptable. And Comey is partly responsible for both. That makes him a traitor to the republic. It doesn’t necessarily mean he broke any federal criminal laws in doing so, although he might have.
Mostly tho, the federal criminal law is not designed to address that conduct. We haven’t needed criminal statutes in the past to tell people not to undermine the duly elected POTUS. Thank goodness, in a way.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 27
Will Comey be convicted?

It’s impossible for any competent lawyer to say with any degree of certainty at this stage - either way.

The indictment is not legally defective as far as I can see.

So it won’t be dismissed on that basis.
The defense has some facts on which to base a vindictive/selective prosecution motion to dismiss.

But those motions fail 99% of the time.
The facts may be weak or they might not be. There aren’t enough of them in the indictment to say at this stage.

But even if they are weak, there is no way before trial to contest them. And Comey is unlikely to plead guilty.

So it’s likely a trial.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 25
The EO banning no cash bail in DC may be legal but doesn’t address the real problem.

DC law permits judges to detain anyone who’s violent/a risk to others or a flight risk. No cash bail is only for people who aren’t. The problem is w/juveniles, not adults getting no cash bail.
And the EO may not be legal actually either. I’d need to go back and look at the authorities closely.

But the fact that the feds have power over DC doesn’t necessarily mean the federal executive branch can do whatever it wants.

Congress has the constitutional power over DC.
Congress definitely has the power to override any DC law. In fact, DC laws don’t go into effect until the Congress either exercises its right to amend them or passes on that.

So, I’m not sure that the POTUS has the authority to override a law that Congress has approved.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 24
There once was a General named Clapper,
By trade a clandestine wiretapper,
But he joined the Steele Hoax,
Now his rep is a joke,
And his life is going down the crapper.
There once was a G-man named Comey,
Who didn’t see Steele was a phony,
He said: “Hilary is Ok!,
It’s the Donald who must pay!”
Cause he couldn’t tell shit from baloney.
There once was a lawyer named Page,
Who was lovely but not very sage,
Her texts to her man,
Only helped get him canned,
As they wallowed in impotent rage.
Read 16 tweets
Jul 20
Boiled down:

Hoaxers: “Trump, you can’t be POTUS even tho you just somehow won the election. No, no, no.”

DJT: “Hahahaha. Watch me. Losers!”

Hoaxers:
Hoaxers then proceed to do a whole bunch of things to try to make actual reality -in which DJT is POTUS- match up to their “reality” in which he can’t be.

That’s was IMPOSSIBLE to achieve in Fall & Winter 2016-2017.

But they tried anyway.

It’s a non-rational conspiracy.
Non-rational conspiracy is rare. It’s usually confined to a very small number of people because it’s based on actual mental illness & a few other factors, like coercion &/or psychological pressure. Think Manson Family.

But it can be based on group psychoses or shared psychological stress rather than outright mental illness. Large suicide pacts are an extreme example, like the Jim Jones incident. John Brown’s raid could be seen in this light too. And perhaps the Gunpowder Plot in Britain.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 16
Supreme Court picks - age analysis

I thought I'd take a look & see what I think about whether DJT in his current term and/or JD Vance (assuming he takes it next) or whoever might next be POTUS after DJT will have many SCOTUS picks.

Here's how it shapes up - just based on age.
The "average" age that a Justice retires (either from a voluntary retirement or a death) is about 78/79, but that's based on historical data and the Justices in modern times retire at later ages for a number of reasons.

So, I looked at the actual last ten Justices to retire and/or die (which yielded two slightly different groups as 2 have retired but not yet died so there's no # for their death age to use.)
If you average the ages of the last 10 retirement ages, you get 82.3 years of age, & if you average the last 10 death ages (many of which are after retirement), you get 87.9 years of age. So, taking that range, how many years before the current Justices likely leave the Court, one way or the other?
Read 7 tweets

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