Boiled down:

Hoaxers: “Trump, you can’t be POTUS even tho you just somehow won the election. No, no, no.”

DJT: “Hahahaha. Watch me. Losers!”

Hoaxers: Hoaxers then proceed to do a whole bunch of things to try to make actual reality -in which DJT is POTUS- match up to their “reality” in which he can’t be.

That’s was IMPOSSIBLE to achieve in Fall & Winter 2016-2017.

But they tried anyway.

It’s a non-rational conspiracy.

Supreme Court picks - age analysis

I thought I'd take a look & see what I think about whether DJT in his current term and/or JD Vance (assuming he takes it next) or whoever might next be POTUS after DJT will have many SCOTUS picks.

Here's how it shapes up - just based on age. The "average" age that a Justice retires (either from a voluntary retirement or a death) is about 78/79, but that's based on historical data and the Justices in modern times retire at later ages for a number of reasons.

So, I looked at the actual last ten Justices to retire and/or die (which yielded two slightly different groups as 2 have retired but not yet died so there's no # for their death age to use.)

Excellent reporting by @ProfMJCleveland about how the DC federal judges are not impartial when it comes to DJT/his administration, much less giving them the deference due the duly elected co-equal branch of govt - & admitted to CJ Roberts at the judicial conference this Spring.👇🏻

https://twitter.com/profmjcleveland/status/1945451735691952173

I remain of the view that ALL judges who were in the DC federal courthouse on J6 were in fact affected by that event & it is impossible for them to be impartial in such cases as they are required to be by law. This was outrageously evident when a bunch attended DJT’s arraignment.

So you understand:

1. No tax money goes to Planned Parenthood for abortions directly. That has been prohibited by law for many years.

2. Congress does not “fund” Planned Parenthood directly for the other services it provides either.

3. Rather, Planned Parenthood receives Medicaid payments for non-abortion services rendered to people who are on Medicaid, just like other medical care providers.

4. Planned Parenthood in addition to abortions provides the following services:

birth control, STD testing and treatment, pregnancy testing and options counseling, emergency contraception, “gender-affirming” care, Pap tests, breast exams, and vaccinations.

5. The “funding” cut off by the OBBB are these payments thru Medicaid.

So the issue in the litigation is going to be whether Congress can constitutionally cut Planned Parenthood out of the Medicaid Program in the way that the OBBB does it. The same kind of problem would arise if a different Congress passed a law saying religious medical providers who are in the Medicaid program could not receive Medicaid payments for medical services they provide because they also provide religious instruction or counseling to their patients.

DHS needs to circulate a memo to all state governments to make all their state officials & judges aware that ICE officers DO NOT need a “judicial” warrant to arrest immigrants in a public place. An immigration warrant issued by ICE is all that is required under federal law. If state officials interfere with arrests based on those warrants, they are unlawfully interfering with federally agents under 18 USC 111. If they do so with “physical contact” with the agent, it’s a felony.

(These non-judicial warrants don’t permit entry into a home.)

I don’t know who needs to be reminded of this (cough, cough), but you are not bound to obey an unlawful order. And it’s not contemptuous to refuse to obey an unlawful order either. You run the risk that you’re wrong, of course, & that a higher court will therefore say you ARE in violation of a lawful order & impose consequences.

But, it’s still true that you don’t have to obey an order that is unlawful while the courts take their time figuring it out.

This was the only just outcome. These people were ALL over-charged, over-prosecuted, had unconstitutional conditions imposed on them when released pre-trial, had the most draconian & unlawful pleas imposed on them, & were over-sentenced.

https://twitter.com/foxnews/status/1881515033563455659

Not even the cases where there was bad behavior by defendants were handled appropriately so as to justify the punishments handed out.

DJT has appeared at the sentencing with Todd Blanche, seated in front of an American flag.

Per CNN Bragg’s office has asked for the unconditional discharge sentence.

So you know. I would never counsel a client to not show up for a court hearing, especially a sentencing.

However, as I said last night on Spaces, if it were me - if I were the client- in this situation, I would absolutely not attend the sentencing hearing tomorrow. I would instead have my lawyer put out a statement explaining that I view the hearing as ultra vires so I’m not attending.

I’m happy the Right of Center now sees how awful the criminal justice system is.

But don’t expect me to be particularly outraged at how these prosecutors & judges have acted because IT’S NOT NEW & IT’S NOT NEWS TO ME.

It’s been this way the whole time & you didn’t care before. So welcome to the fight, but don’t act like you are dropping breaking news on me, because you are actually late to the party, and I have been at this party since 1996.

Judicial Appointments. DJT's new administration needs to put pedal to the metal on judicial appointments.

Right now the breakdown of all federal judges is:

496 appointed by Dem POTUSs;
382 by Repub POTUSs. Biden appointed fewer than DJT, 214 to 237 as of today.

But, Biden still has two months to put thru appointments, and has about 40 pending. That would then eclipse DJT's number.

House update. As we know the Republican took control yesterday with 2 non-California seats. Since then 2 more seats have resolved; 1 for Ds, 1 for Rs. These were tossup seats.

There are now 6 races left. Alaska's at-large seat and 5 CA races. Right now it stands: R219 to R210. Of the 6 remaining races, Rs will almost certainly win the AK race.

3 of the CA races that are D leaners - 1 is still w/in 1%, 1 is 2.4%D, and 1 is 2.5%R.

So, Rs will likely take 1, maybe 2 of these races.

These liberal loons are lucky that Trump ISN’T the kind of person who would illegally & unconstitutionally use the powers of his office to target his enemies & critics, because some of them actually fucking deserve it. They won’t like having accountability imposed on them within constitutional limits either, but that’s too fucking bad.

Fortunately for them, our love (& DJT’s) for the Constitution will protect them from what some of them did to him.

In the "it's never too early to get started" department, these are the Senators up for election in 2 years:

1. Alaska (Sullivan)(R)
2. Alabama (Tuberville)(R)
3. Arkansas (Cotton)(R)
4. Colorado (Hickenlooper)(D)
5. Delaware (Coons)(D)
6. Georgia (Ossoff)(D)
7. Idaho (Risch)(R) 8. Illinois (Durbin)(D)
9. Iowa (Ernst)(R)
10. Kansas (Marshall)(R)
11. Kentucky (McConnell)(R)
12. Louisiana (Cassidy)(R)
13. Maine (Collins)(R)
14. Massachusetts (Markey)(D)
15. Michigan (Peters)(D)
16. Minnesota (Smith)(D)
17. Mississippi (Hyde-Smith)(R)

Let’s check on Jennifer Rubin. Her pinned tweet. 👇🏻🤣🤣🤣
Let’s check on Andrew Weissmann:

No tweets for the last 12 hours. Oh dear! 🤣

If you’re a traditionalist & planning to vote tomorrow, as I am, be sure to have a plan.

Get on your official state election site today & double check the opening & closing hours of the polls (& the address if it’s new to you.) Put that in your phone or write it down. Don’t let the day get away from you because of other things. Plan to go at a specific time & plan around it.

But pick out two times during the day when you could go, in case stuff happens tomorrow & you have to change your schedule around.

Election prediction.

My personal view is that the Lichtman keys are the best tool for predicting the outcome of an election. They cover the things that actually factor into why people vote as they do.

That being said, I don’t always agree with how Lichtman scores the keys. For example, this year he claims 8 of the keys favor Harris (scored as “trues”), which means she should win.

But when I score them, I get at a minimum 6, & more fairly 8, & more aggressively 10, as “false,” which would mean a Trump win.

Accordingly, I think DJT wins this year.

Supremes rule (6-3) for Virginia in voter roll case.

I’m glad because I really couldn’t see what else the Governor was supposed to do in order to himself stay within the law.

usatoday.com/story/news/pol… The SCOTUS ruling stays the district (federal trial) court’s ruling while any appeal (4th Circuit) & petition for cert to the SCOTUS is pending.

This lets the legal issue become final - & the law thereby become established - before Youngkin & other election officials must act.

Bannon case.

Judge Nichols has now ruled on Bannon's request to be released with Bail or put on Supervised Release (so he can use his First Step Act credits of ten days, which would mean he should have been released on Oct 19th), but there is something not right with the order. The order, which is a "minute order" -which in DC federal court means an order written into the docket as opposed to an order that's a separate document that gets filed on the docket- says that the judge finds the relief Bannon asks for is "warranted," but it DENIES the motion.

Steve Bannon case. I've seen social media claiming that Bannon is being held by the Bureau of Prisons past his lawful release date in violation of the First Step Act. I've looked into this & the claim is not legally correct because of the technical way the First Step Act works. Bannon is set to be released on Oct 29, 2024 after serving his 4 month sentence. Judge Nichols sentenced him to only that plus a fine.

Bannon is not eligible for ordinary good time credits because those only apply to prisoners with a sentence of more than 1 year.

My hometown Congressional District -MD 6- is in a tight race this year. It’s the Mountain Maryland district. Which is solidly Republican (really libertarians who vote Republican) except it’s been gerrymandered to be blue by adding sections of liberal Montgomery County to it. This is a seat that could likely nevertheless still be consistently red if the Republican Party paid more attention to it.

Central Maryland is liberal, but Mountain Maryland (MD6) and Coastal Maryland (MD1) are not. They are libertarian & conservative.