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Burgess Everett Profile picture
@burgessev
Sep 22, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Republicans bet it all on the court — again. It might hurt blue state Rs, but other incumbents all in.

Graham: “A Supreme Court debate right before an election is good for us"

Ernst: “It’s going to help"

@AndrewDesiderio
politico.com/news/2020/09/2…
@AndrewDesiderio COVID spread and recession could still be top issues. But at party meeting today, most incumbents said SCOTUS is top issue in their races. Cotton warned senators not to buy Democrats' threats, and Republicans watched video of Dems saying "We need nine" from Garland era
@AndrewDesiderio Dems say closeness of ACA case to election makes SCOTUS cut more like 2018 than 2016. Warren: “The American people do not want to see Mitch McConnell and Donald Trump go forward and steal a second Supreme Court seat,”
@AndrewDesiderio And some Republicans concede it's hard to predict how the politics will shake out. “It obviously energizes the left, very much," says Cornyn. I’m not sure who it hurts and who it helps.”

GOP donor @DanKEberhart says SCOTUS helps Tillis, McSally, Ernst, hurts Gardner and Collins

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More from @burgessev

Burgess Everett Profile picture
Feb 4
Senate's bipartisan immigration/border deal down to spending portion now, per person with direct knowledge. The whole thing is about 280 pages long, includes Fend Off Fentanyl Act and Afghan Adjustment Act.

Senate GOP roughly split down the middle ahead of uncertain vote...
Increase to asylum standard includes looking at whether a migrant could have relocated within their own country or another country and been safe -- significant increase to the bar.

Also includes 50K visas a year
Unaccompanied children 13 and under would get access to counsel
Lots of debate about border shutdown authority, which kicks in automatically at 5,000 per day and would require big reduction over a week-plus to stop shutdown, which with asylum reform supposed to make sharp reduction in flows.

Also speeds up adjudication of claims w more $$$
Read 4 tweets
Burgess Everett Profile picture
Jan 31
NEWS - Bad vibes in Senate GOP on border deal
- Cornyn says "It certainly doesn’t seem" on path to passage
- Cramer mad at attacks on Lankford: "Republican senators are throwing him under the bus"
- Rounds suggests social media attacks coming from Russia

politico.com/live-updates/2…
Questions about whether this thing will even come to the floor + real frustrations about way this has played out

Cramer: “The very people who demanded that we have something on the border as part of the supplemental, suddenly all these months later say they don't want something"
Even some leaders noncommittal. Sen. Daines, NRSC chair, says he's heard "real concerns." Sen. Capito says she needs to see text.

Johnson+ Trump driving much of indecision

“He would probably love for this to die in this Senate," says Dem Sen. Murphy
Read 4 tweets
Burgess Everett Profile picture
May 30, 2023
Senate could blow past June 5
deadline w/o cooperation
 
Will conservatives slow it down?
 
“a lot of things that they could still do to convince me to collapse time,” said Sen. Lee. “If they don't do those things, then I might"

politico.com/news/2023/05/3…

@DaniellaMicaela
Sens. Rand Paul and Ron Johnson said they would speed things up with some amendment votes. It’s possible that every day counts: 2011 credit downgrade happened AFTER a debt deal and Fitch warning this time

“I haven’t heard much of a desire to delay the inevitable,” Johnson said
The Senate magic typically kicks in the closer the weekend gets. There’s a hope/vibe they can figure out an amendment deal by then.

If not, could be a bumpy ride

“It'll still pass before the deadline. It may be three in the morning on June 6,” said Sen. Bill Cassidy
Read 4 tweets
Burgess Everett Profile picture
May 15, 2023
New: Dems are very much banking on GOP messing up Senate primaries again -- and making it that much more possible for Dems to hold Senate

DSCC Chair Peters says R primaries produce candidates "that will be an opportunity for us"

politico.com/news/2023/05/1…

@hollyotterbein
@hollyotterbein Hard to find a better example than Nevada. National Rs prefer vet Sam Brown, but Marchant is running and has good record in primaries ... less so in general

Incumbent Sen. Rosen calls him a "three-time loser. A MAGA election denier. And so, he’s going to have his challenges"
Peters says DSCC, unlike the DCCC, will not meddle in GOP primaries. Senate Majority PAC not ruling it out

Keep an eye on W.Va. Manchin says R primary "entertaining as hell"

“If people don’t take Alex Mooney seriously, that’s the greatest misunderstanding"
Read 4 tweets
Burgess Everett Profile picture
Mar 28, 2023
Tough road for some Biden nominees

-FAA nom Washington and FCC nom Sohn withdraw
- Circuit nom Delaney in trouble
- Dems noncommittal on Labor nom Su
- Absence hampering Judiciary Committee
- Tuberville stalling Pentagon picks

politico.com/news/2023/03/2…

@DaniellaMicaela @dlippman
@DaniellaMicaela @dlippman Sinema indicated to Dems/admin that she did not support FAA nominee Washington, at hearing and privately. She never felt like any effort was made to assuage her.

Admin official: "If someone at the end of the day decides not to vote a certain way, that’s the senator’s decision"
Julie Su won support of Dems in deputy vote. But it's becoming clear that doesn't mean her nomination is a slam dunk for Labor secretary

Manchin: “My vote for her last time was all predicated on Marty" Walsh

Tester undecided.
Read 4 tweets
Burgess Everett Profile picture
Dec 9, 2022
NEWS: Sen. Sinema is switching her party affiliation from Dem to independent, she says in interview. “I don't anticipate that anything will change about the Senate structure,” she adds

She’s not talking about whether she’s running for re-election in 2024

politico.com/news/2022/12/0…
Sinema is keeping her committee assignments through Dems and says that “nothing will change about my values or my behavior."

Not totally clear whether Dems have clear control over 51 seats

“I would just suggest that these are not the questions that I’m interested in"
"Registering as an independent is what I believe is right for my state. It’s right for me. ... politics and elections will come later.”

Still, she did dismiss one possibility that her new independent status may raise for some: “I am not running for president"
Read 4 tweets

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