If we are not half-way to zero emissions in the next ten years, we are fucked. (Not doomed, of course, but fucked—important distinction.)
Half-way to 0 emissions means we must start NOW.
This is the most consequential election in human history due to THE #CLIMATECRISIS.
2/n
Everyone who follows me on Twitter knows this, of course.
But voters still don't.
We are failing.
3/n
We weren't going to release this yet, but I'm going to say here that our polling at @EndClimtSilence shows that voters don't even have a sense of what a safe level of global warming might be.
These 1.5 / 2 C distinctions are almost meaningless in public discourse.
4/n
I don't know what else to say right now, except to plea that if a politician or an activist says something like "we have 12 years to save the world," I beg of you, PLEASE don't jump down their throat!
Every single person alive today will be much better off, and our children might actually survive, if voters hear messages that might lead them to overestimate the danger we're in, even fear that we're doomed, *as part of the communication of an actual action plan*.
6/n
I just cannot fucking believe that in 2020 climate change is STILL on the bottom of the fucking list of pressing issues.
This is forcing me to rethink my activist strategy moving forward. Profoundly. I mean, what else is there to do? What's been happening so far is not working.
This week’s recomendation is to avoid the phrase “reduce emissions” and to start using the phrase “phase out fossil fuels” in its place.
2/n
This advice has a great deal of research behind it, but its importance was highlighted for me this week, when I read a report released by Potential Energy with @YaleClimateComm.
This report really signals a contradiction at the heart of our current climate politics.
3/n
One of the most powerful English professors of the past 40 years stole an argument I made in a seminar presentation, turning it into the core of his next book.
The week after my presentation, he came into the classroom and...
...and he read a conference paper he was going to deliver at the Shakespeare Association that month, re-articulating exactly what I had said about the same material the week before. The 15 or so grad students around the seminar table were dumbfounded. Jaws on the floor.
2/n
It was the classic Trumpy move: do something illegal, but be so blatant about it, trusting that your power gives you immunity, that somehow committing the criminal act manages to normalize it simultaneously.
3/n
Today @WilliamJRipple et al released the 2023 report on the terrifying state of our #climate.
It should be read by every policymaker, decisionmaker, and journalist on the planet.
Here is a thread of some key takeaways.
1/n
"Unfortunately, time is up."
"The rapid pace of change has surprised scientists and caused concern about the dangers of extreme weather, risky climate feedback loops, and the approach of damaging tipping points sooner than expected."
Here is fossil fuel companies' new defense in lawsuits accusing them of deceiving the public about climate change:
They perpetrated no deception, they say, because the "alleged impact of fossil fuel use on the global climate has been ‘open and obvious’ for decades."
1/n
They're calling us stupid, you know.
2/n
I really love the contradiction between the claim that the impact of fossil fuel use on the global climate is "open and obvious" and the adjective "alleged," in "alleged impact."
Talk about wanting to have it both ways! Is the impact obvious, or is it "alleged"?
I'm lucky enough to be reading an advance copy of @MichaelEMann's new book. It is really fascinating!
Mann acts like the Virgil to the reader's Dante, taking us on a deep tour of past uninhabitable climates to reveal wild facts about science & our possible futures.
1/n
Eg. did you know that during the Pliocene, CO2 concentrations were btwn 380 & 420 ppm, yet the planet was much warmer than climate models project for such concentrations today? Mann shows why this is the case, and why seas were much higher than models project too.
2/n
What's really valuable about this kind of analysis is that it teaches us (or at least taught me) that as much as warming is a function of atmospheric CO2, climate is an expression of the structure of the biosphere — a wholistic, systemic perspective we so need.
3/n
Some climate scientists, including the new @IPCC_CH chair @JimSkeaIPCC, have recently been working overtime to disprove inaccurate claims by "doomers."
This comms strategy ignores the actual data about the electorate in top 15 emitting countries & is therefore misguided.
1/n
As you can see from this 2022 @YaleClimateComm
survey, only minorities in most top-emitting countries are "alarmed," which is to say only minorities of the electorate understand that climate change is "happening, human-caused, and an urgent threat."
2/n
@YaleClimateComm Most people are still unsure if climate change is even happening or human-caused; or they think about it not at all; or they dismiss it completely; or, at best, they are concerned but believe, mistakenly, that the problem is still distant in time and space. MOST PEOPLE.