Brian Feroldi Profile picture
Sep 23, 2020 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
How to build positions at "better and better value points"

Let say I wanted to build a position in $MA from scratch

Here's my step by step process

1) Enter ticker into Yahoo Finance and click on "statistics"

More: 👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
2) Open up the "Buy/Sell" tab on my spreadsheet

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
3) Let's say I want to build in $1,000 increments

$MA current price is $335.31

So $1,000 is 3 shares

I start by buying my first traunch immediately
4) I then fill in the info on the spreadsheet

Tracking the:

Ticker: $MA
Date: 9/23/20
Price: $335.31
Shares: 3
Trailing P/E: 47 (yahoo)
Forward P/E: 38 (yahoo)
P/S: 21.2 (yahoo)
Div yield: 0.47% (yahoo)
5a) I wait at least 1 quarter

If thesis = ✅ AND I have new money to invest, I look to buy my second tranch

Goal is to add at a BETTER VALUE POINT than my first buy

So, I'm looking for ⬇️ P/E, ⬇️P/S, or ⬆️ dividend yield

which MAY OR MAY NOT be at a lower share price
5b) I want my next purchase to be:

Trailing P/E < 47
Forward P/E < 38
Price / Sales < 21.2
Dividend Yield > 0.47%

Ideally, all four

EVEN IF SHARE PRICE IS ⬆️ FROM MY FIRST BUY

How?

A) $MA financials ⬆️ & price ⬇️

OR

B) $MA financials ⬆️ & price ⬆️ but < financials
6) Ideally, I buy the same stock over and over again at better and better values, EVEN IF THE PRICE IS HIGHER EACH TIME

So long as revenue / net income / dividends are growing FASTER than the share price, I'm happy
7) This isn't always possible

Some AMAZING stocks -- like $SHOP -- are doing so well that you have to add at worse value points

I'm OK with that as long as:

1) the business is crushing expectations
2) the story has had a major positive change (like COVID-19 & e-commerce)
8) Tom Engle -- the inventor of this method -- also uses Cash Flow Yield as a value point

Calculation:

Free Cash Flow (Cash From Operations - Capital Expenditures) / Market Cap
9) This system allows you to steadily build your position as your knowledge about the business grow

Your knowledge about a company compounds too!
10) The reverse is also true

You can use this idea to sell OUT of a business

Trying to sell at worse and worse value points over time

And roll the proceeds into other great stocks

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More from @BrianFeroldi

Aug 16
WACC Cheat Sheet

What is the Weighted Average Cost of Capital?

Here's a quick primer: Image
WACC is the average after-tax expense of capital for a company from all of its sources.

This includes common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other hybrid debt & equity instruments.

WACC is the mean rate a company pays to fund its operations. Image
WACC = [(E/V) x Re] + [(D/V) x Rd x (1 - Tc)]

E = Market value of the firm’s equity
D = Market value of the firm’s debt
V = E + D
Re = Cost of equity
Rd = Cost of debt
Tc = Corporate tax rate

WACC is a sum of the weighting of each capital source Image
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Jul 3
If you pick stocks, you MUST learn how to analyze a cash flow statement.

Here's how to do it in less than 2 minutes: Image
The Cash Flow Statement shows how cash moves in and out of a company over a period of time.

Its purpose is to track cash movement through a business. Image
The Cash Flow Statement uses CASH accounting.

This method only records transactions when money goes in or out of an account.

This differs from ACCRUAL accounting, the accounting method used on the Income Statement and Balance Sheet. Image
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Jul 2
How to analyze a Balance Sheet in less than 2 minutes: Image
The balance sheet is one of the three major financial statements.

It shows a company’s:
▪️Assets: What it owns
▪️Liabilities: What it owes
▪️Shareholders Equity: It's net worth

At a fixed point in time Balance Sheet
That “at a point in time” part is key!

A balance sheet is a SNAPSHOT of a company’s net worth.

It is measured at the end of a quarter/year. Image
Read 11 tweets
Jun 21
Warren Buffett's favorite way to measure profit isn't Net Income or Free Cash Flow.

It's Owner's Earnings.

What is it? How to does it work?

In this thread, I'll walk you through the calculation: Image
Imagine that you're opening a coffee shop.

You spend $100k on furniture & fixtures that will last 10 years.
You spend $60k on coffee equipment that will last 3 years.

Here are your total annual operating costs: Image
You make $1 million in revenue, so here's your income statement:

Revenue: $1,000k
Expenses: $450k
Pre-tax income: $550k
Taxes: $110k
Net Income: $440K

If you started with $105K in cash, how much do you have now?
Read 11 tweets
Jun 17
If you invest, you MUST understand accounting.

This thread will walk you through the Income Statements, visually: Image
An Income Statement is a *record* of how much money a business made (or lost) during a particular period of time -- eg, a quarter or a year.

The formula is: Revenues - Costs = Profits

Here's an example using Starbucks's income statement: Image
The Income Statements also contain a few other numbers that interest investors, including:

Gross Profits, Gross Margin, EBITDA, Operating Profits, Operating Margin, Earnings Per Share, etc. Image
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May 31
Tangible vs Intangible Assets.

What's the difference?

Here's everything you need to know: Image
They confused me until I discovered an easy way to distinguish them:

𝗧𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗶𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗔𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗖𝗮𝗻 𝗕𝗲 𝗧𝗼𝘂𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗱

𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗶𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗔𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗖𝗮𝗻'𝘁 Image
Another major difference.

- Tangible assets are depreciated

- Intangible assets are amortized Image
Read 7 tweets

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