The threshold cycles used in PCR tests is between 37 and 40, which makes the reliability of the PCR test less than 3% and the false positive rate as high as 97%.
1 infection in 40,500 person contacts. A 50 to 64 year-old individual, the median estimate of probability of a hospitalization is 1 in 709,000 person contacts and the median estimate of the county level probability of a fatality is 1 in 6,670,000 person