@KanitkarT @vnamas @3rdworldnetwork @JMauskar DECODING THE BS ON CARBON NEUTRALITY :
Paris Agreement (PA) calls for global emissions and removals of GHGs to be balanced by mid-century. Does NOT ask for individual countries to do so.
Paris Agreement (PA) calls for global emissions and removals of GHGs to be balanced by mid-century. Does NOT ask for individual countries to do so.
Only equitable basis to this goal -- Developed countries reach zero emissions or at least carbon neutrality even EARLIER than mid-century. Developing countries can have time, individually depending on their national circumstances, until later, even much later than mid-century.
Developed countries declaring carbon neutrality by 2050 means they will continue to maximise their appropriation of the global carbon budget as much as possible. Before the faint-hearted swoon at mention of the B word, this simply means emitting as long and as much as they can
Actually they want to postpone tough climate action even more -- Hence sudden popularity of "negative" emissions in modelling and the "oh so important" Article 6 (carbon trading) negotiations. And covering up long term dependence on oil and gas.
BTW, they also want to cheat on KP-era CDM credits, and not pay up. Sudden popularity of "nature based solutions", "farming systems approach", etc. Academia collaborates globally by framing scientific questions without differentiation. The plea is "climate emergency"
China cleverly hoists the developed countries on their own slogans. Hence they first accepted peaking year (given their huge current/recent emissions) and now even carbon neutrality, while maximising cumulative emissions. What should India do?
Excellent, robust option for India is to declare our right to a fair share of the global carbon budget for a 2 deg warming with 50% avoidance probability. Faint-hearted please note, this is again a statement of how long and how much we will need the use of fossil fuels.
No statement of peaking year, no carbon neutrality date. They will happen when they happen. Believe me, if we insist, the geeks will go back and redo their models. Or, they may not. No model was redone when US refused to ratify the PA, and then marched out.
This is not the scenic route to global cooperation. But definitely more realistic, given the mood in the West that mocks at principles and values as "looking for the boat that has sailed." The message can be delivered softly and explained - but it must be delivered.
Yes, we must take care of our people. But thats our problem, always has been. As they say in air travel, put on your mask before you help others. Same story -- if we don't lift our people up, we cant save the world either.
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