For those of you who have wondered what ICAO spoofing is, or why it is getting so much attention lately, here is a short description of what is going on.
1st, the callsign: a plane tracker will know from experience which are frequently used. Many air traffic radio enthusiasts over time have compiled 100s of callsigns assigned to particular aircraft. In this instance, MOJO is often seen in the Persian Gulf by refuel tankers.
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Callsigns can be a clue that a transmitter is receiving a false interrogation of its Mode-S receiver. Mode-S is a 6 digit code, using A-F letters and 0-9 numbers. Countries are assigned 3 digit prefix codes for their planes. In this case, AE0 is a code used for US mil planes.
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In certain circumstances, the plane along it's route will change from its preassigned callsign, but generally not its Mode-S code which is tied to a specific registration or tail number telling what it really is.
In this instance, N873GQ hasn't been assigned yet. It's bogus.
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8 USAF transports destined or departing Fort Hood for missions eventually to Europe and beyond. The implication is these transports are picking up air defense equipment. Fort Hood is host to the 69th Air Defense Artillery Brigade.
A further 3 C-17A transports are slated to arrive at Fort Hood to pick up equipment, however the weather is impacting the ability to land safely due to freezing rain in the area.
There are indications via Maariv (Israeli media) that a delay in an initial attack on Iran may be due to fears there are not enough AD units positioned to counter an Iranian TBM response.
Starting at 20:02 UTC, a pair of USAF C-17As set to depart from Al-Udeid AB, Qatar (OTBH) were instructed to "return to the chalks" and that their mission to Chania, Greece (LGSA) had been scrubbed. They were instructed then to wait for more info.
The change in plans coincides within minutes of remarks made by President Trump that the killings and executions inside Iran had been reported to have stopped, based on sources within Iran itself.
This all occurred shortly after six USAF KC-135 tankers from Al-Udeid were seen departing in quick succession. These were believed to be evacuation flights, destination unknown.
The last KC-135 departed at ~1927 UTC or 35 minutes before the C-17As were told to stand down.
Considering how quiet things have gotten this last little bit, I want to take the time to make a few points.
- 1st round seems to be over, at least for the Caracas area.
- Given how many airbases and military targets there are, this is frankly somewhat of a light 1st round.
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(cont.)
- Whatever was going on with the helicopters...
(A) Given social media these days, if something went terribly wrong, we likely would see it pretty quick
(B) Where did they come from??
(cont)
- In terms of assets we've seen build up.
(A) Rather light in terms of airstrikes, either from bases in the region, bombers from elsewhere or from the flattops.
(B) We are NOT maintaining air presence over Venezuelan skies. No sounds of fighters overhead.
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