Suppose you were raised in a religious household, but didn't practice yourself. Growing up with these civilizational scripts means you can recognize them, perhaps repeat them, but cannot write them from scratch, let alone explain them.
So too for a society.
This is similar to partial bilingualism: the ability to understand a language, but not speak or write it. Common among children of immigrants.
If children can't write the scripts of the parents, if their access to ancestral culture is read-only, that culture won't be replicated.
This is a microeconomic explanation for how Idiocracy happens slowly. You think the cultural capacity is there because the artifacts are all around. But the culture producers are actually slowly vanishing, and their descendants can only repeat, not create. motherjones.com/politics/2009/…
It's the difference between stock & flow. If new books aren't being written in a language, if new people aren't being trained in manufacturing, the flow has been cut off. The culture that surrounds us is then just the stock, and it's being depleted without anyone to replenish it.
What this suggests is that the civilizational equivalent of being able to code from scratch is more important than realized. It's not enough to simply push a button. We need to be able to rebuild from scratch *simply to continue* as a civilization, else maintenance is impossible.
Of relevance is this excellent post on how YouTube specifically (and online video generally) is enabling tacit knowledge transfer. medium.com/@samo.burja/th…
Reproducible research is also a critical piece of the puzzle. New grad students can be onboarded by just recursively descending into function calls till they hit original citations. Jon Claerbout deserves some kind of prize for founding the discipline. library.seg.org/doi/epdfplus/1…
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There's dark talent around the world, from the Midwest to the Middle East. Backing this talent is the right thing to do morally and the smart thing to do economically.
To be clear: I'm not talking about sending more tech talent to the US. Instead, I'm talking about backing dark talent around the world.
That includes the many white kids from places like the Midwest who've been unfairly quota'd out of Harvard. But it also includes those outside America whose societies were ravaged by war, socialism, or communism...and who are just now starting to become productive again.
The goal is global equality of opportunity. The Internet actually now provides the basis for uniform rule-of-law via rule-of-code, starting with Bitcoin and smart contracts. We just need to execute from here.
Yes. That's what the blockchain is: everyone worldwide gets access to their ideal monetary policy, payments, smart contracts, and entity formation. Enforced by incorruptible & transparent computer-based judges. And opted into on a purely voluntary basis.
Fifteen years ago the far left still controlled almost one third of India.
The Modi government fixed the issue by using force against actual terrorists while addressing the underlying discontent with economic development. It worked. indiatoday.in/amp/india-toda…x.com/iyervval/statu…
Both America and China were invested in the illusion that China wasn't already the world's strongest economy.
Psychologically, it suited the incumbent to appear strong. So America downplayed China's numbers.
Strategically, it suited the disruptor to appear weak. So China also sandbagged its own numbers.
But the illusion is becoming harder to maintain.
In retrospect, all the China cope over the last decade or so was really just the stealth on the Chinese stealth bomber.
Hide your strength and bide your time was Deng's strategy. Amazingly, denying China's strength somehow also became America's strategy.
For example, all the cope on China's demographics somehow being uniquely bad...when they have 1.4B+ people that crush every international science competition with minimal drug addiction, crime, or fatherlessness...and when their demographic problems have obvious robotic solutions.
Or, for another example, how MAGA sought to mimic China's manufacturing buildout and industrial policy without deeply understanding China's strengths in this area, which is like competing with Google by setting up a website. Vague references to 1945 substituted for understanding the year 2025.
One consequence of the cope is that China knows far more about America's strengths than vice versa. Surprisingly few Americans interested in re-industrialization have ever set foot in Shenzhen. Those who have, like @Molson_Hart, understand what modern China actually is.
Anyway, what @DoggyDog1208 calls the "skull chart" is the same phenomenon @yishan and I commented on months ago. Once China truly enters a vertical, like electric cars or solar, their pace of ascent[1] is so rapid that incumbents often don't even have time to react.
Now apply this at country level. China has flipped America so quickly on so many axes[2], particularly military ones like hypersonics or military-adjacent ones like power, that it can no longer be contained.
A major contributing factor was the dollar illusion. All that money printing made America think it was richer than China. And China was happy to let America persist in the illusion. But an illusion it was. Yet another way in which Keynesianism becomes the epitaph of empire.