Want to see a bad poll and know how they did it? This NYT poll slashed the number of Rs surveyed. In 2016, Ds were 36% of the electorate and Rs 33%. This poll has Ds at 39% and Rs just 28%. Liberals in 2016 made up 26% of the voters; in this poll, liberals are 35%.
When you oversample Ds and liberals, of course you get a big lead for Biden. How on earth did this poll get approved and into print without these facts being noticed or reported? @jmartNYT@alexburnsNYT@ByMattStevens
Btw, for comparison, in the 2008 landslide win for President Obama, exit polls showed a D turnout advantage of +7 and Obama won by 7.2 points. The NYT poll is based on a D turnout advantage of +11. Pretty hard to rationalize.
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For the last 10 years or so, I have live tweeted the events of September 11, 2001, sharing my perspective of what I saw standing at President Bush’s side for much of the day.
When I started sharing photos and recollections of 9/11, I never realized the chord it would strike.
Each year I did it, I was struck by the reaction it created. History and first-hand witness accounts are essential parts of keeping memories alive, especially on a day as important and moving as 9/11.
I didn’t tweet last year because I was at Ground Zero to mark the 20th year of the attack on our country. Tomorrow, I must be on an airplane and will not be able to live tweet my memories of what took place.
Here’s the case why Garland and Wray will resign in disgrace or get impeached by a GOP Congress:
Garland is under huge pressure from Democrats. The 1/6 hearings have amped up groups that demand Trump be tried for a crime. Any crime.
Garland knows that Hillary wasn’t charged with a crime for having top secret info on her personal server at her house.
The National Archives has made clear that Trump is in violation of the Presidential Records Act. After negotiating w Trump officials, the talks broke down.
DoJ’s lead investigator is a bulldog who insists the records be retrieved because no one is above the law. He is blind to the implications of raiding a former president’s home just to retrieve paperwork a former potus is not supposed to have.
I have said the raid will end in either Trump's indictment because the DoJ found what it was looking for, or in the resignation of disgraced FBI Director Wray and AG Garland. There is no in between ground.
Here is the case for indictment:
This is not about routine National Archives presidential records. It's about Codeword or Top Secret documents Trump took with him upon leaving the WH.
In his hectic last days, whether on purpose or not, Trump brought with him highly classified info. That means it's not the National Archives that wants the documents back - it's the CIA or possibly DoD.
The WH says Biden didn't know about Mar-A-Lago search warrant.
But Biden has a history here. He told ABC News in May 2020 that he "knew nothing" about a DoJ investigation into Trump's NSA Advisor Michael Flynn. Written records show that wasn't true.
According to FBI notes, Biden himself in an Oval Office meeting on 1/5/17 with Pres. Obama and Deputy Attorney General Sally Yates brought up the Logan Act, in an apparent suggestion to Yates that Flynn could be prosecuted.
Maybe Biden didn't know about this warrant. But Biden has a history of publicly telling DoJ who to prosecute, as he did in 2021 when he said anyone who didn't cooperate with the 1/6 hearings should be prosecuted.
Here’s why the FBI raid - absent a finding that puts former President Trump behind bars - is so damaging:
1) Most governmental institutions are already not trusted by the American people. This raid contributes to mistrust of the FBI.
2) It leads to mistrust of DoJ/the courts. Remember, 2 of the 4 court-approved warrants again Carter Page were found to be invalid.
3) Trump has been subject to numerous probes, all of which turned out empty. If the FBI didn’t find the goods yesterday, add this to the list.
4) Did the DoJ really need to go to this length to enforce the Presidential Paperwork Act? Government lawyers and Trump lawyers couldn’t figure this out? DoJ really had to resort to a raid?
President George W. Bush's first news conference was on 2/22/01. It lasted 30 minutes, was held in the press briefing room, and he took 23 questions, including numerous follow-ups. (Plus an argument w Helen Thomas.)
I look forward to watching Biden's first news conference.
Here are topics that the Biden press corps should have asked about during the campaign, but won't come up now - even though they're legitimate stories:
A.) Hunter Biden's conflicts of interest
B.) Joe Biden's role in investigation Michael Flynn.
C.) Tare Reade questions
Here's what i would ask:
1.) Will you commit here and now to direct DHS to allow press coverage on the border?
2.) Why don't you believe Gov Cuomo's denials of sexual harrassment. You denied allegations against you. Why should you be beleived, but not Cumo.