Michael McFaul Profile picture
Sep 24, 2020 18 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Trump's had 4 years in the job. Time for a foreign policy report card. THREAD 1/ washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/…
Climate change: F. Trump withdrew from the Paris climate accords and denies that this existential threat to the planet (and thus to all Americans) is even a problem. Trump’s refusal to even try to tackle climate change might be his greatest foreign policy failure. 2/
China: D+. Trump ... deserves credit for accurately diagnosing the challenge in the 2017 National Security Strategy. In 2020, however, his team then exaggerated this threat, claiming that the Chinese Communist Party seeks to export Marxism-Leninism & undermine global freedom. 3/
Trump’s prescriptions resulted in few tangible benefits. His trade war, resulting in a “phase one” deal, caused damage to American farmers, workers and manufacturers.... 4/
Trump’s silence on human rights abuses in Xinjiang & Hong Kong makes it difficult for his government to frame our fight with China in moral terms. Trump’s greatest success has been inadvertent - how ineptly Chinese President Xi Jinping has taken advantage of Trump’s mistakes 5/
Russia: F+. In his quest to befriend Russian President Vladimir Putin, Trump has downplayed or dismissed countless belligerent actions...Trump’s embrace of Putin has not achieved a single beneficial outcome for the American people. 6/
Iran: F. Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement, promising to secure a better deal and roll back Iranian influence in the region. Episodically, U.S. officials hinted at a larger objective — regime change. None of these goals have been achieved. 7/
North Korea: D. Trump experimented with a novel strategy: direct diplomacy with Kim Jong Un. Regarding the North Korea dictator, Trump said, “we fell in love.” But this bromance has not produced any reductions in North Korea’s threatening deployment of nuclear-armed missiles. 8/
Syria/the Islamic State: C-. Trump continued the U.S.-led military operation against the Islamic State launched by Obama in 2014. Trump flirted with using force to stop Assad’s atrocities, but pumped the brakes after a day of missile strikes & withdrew U.S. troops from Syria...9/
Diplomatic relations between the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Israel: B. Trump deserves credit for helping to establish diplomatic relations between these Arab monarchies and Israel. But it’s not “Middle East peace.” The ... benefits to the United States are minimal. 10/
Israeli-Palestinian peace: F. Trump’s grade here is shared by many presidents. Trump and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, did float a novel approach. But presidents get judged by results, not originality. 11/
NATO: D-. Trump has expressed more disdain for the transatlantic alliance than any other American president since its creation in 1949. Tensions between the United States and several NATO members remain high. 12/
Africa: F. Trump’s only major policy initiative was to call them “shithole” countries. Enough said. 13/
Latin America: F. Mexico did not pay for the border wall. The attempt to overthrow the Venezuelan dictatorship has failed. New restrictions on travel, and relations more generally, with Cuba have produced no tangible security or economic benefits for the American people. 14/
The pandemic: F+. Trump has grossly mishandled the domestic response to the novel coronavirus, resulting already in more than 200,000 deaths, and did next to nothing to organize a global effort. The United States has provided some humanitarian assistance to other countries. 15/
The global economy:C-. The Federal Reserve has played a positive role in helping both the U.S. & global economy recover. The new trade agreement with Canada & Mexico is an incremental improvement over NAFTA (much of its language was lifted from the TPP drafted by Obama's team)16/
Democracy promotion: F. Trump does not even define advancing democracy abroad as a U.S. objective. He often brags about his friendly relations with dictators. 17/
Final grade: a gentleman’s D–. 18/ END THREAD.

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More from @McFaul

Mar 5
"Putin made the decision to invade Ukraine. Russian society did not pressure him to do so. But since the invasion was launched, large chunks of Russian society have supported this war, including exhibiting support for or indifference to the atrocities being committed by Russian soldiers against Ukrainian civilians." 1/ THREAD
"Putin personally is not killing Ukrainian grandmothers or kidnapping Ukrainian children, Russians are—and, as we now know from intercepting phone calls, they sometimes do so with the vocal support of their fathers, mothers, and girlfriends back home (or, even more grotesquely, while vacationing in Europe)" 2/

📷
"Similar to other ruthless and imperialist regimes in the past, maybe we can no longer give Russian society a pass for the atrocities Russians are committing in Ukraine? It's not just Putin's war. It's Russia's war." 3/
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
Congress should combine in its one bill new aid to Ukraine an the REPO Act. Let me explain. THREAD 1/
Let me add a sweetener. By large majorities, the House and Senate committees recently voted in favor of the REPO Act – Rebuilding Economic Prosperity and Opportunity for Ukrainians Act – that would transfer frozen Russian assets held at American banks to Ukraine for reconstruction. 2/
European countries hold a much greater share of the Russian assets than we do, around $360 billion. But if we take the lead in appropriating these frozen Russian funds, other countries will follow. That’s real money to help fund Ukraine’s reconstruction. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 23
Advice from a realist:
“Appeasement...is a fanciful and dangerous strategy. It is unlikely to transform a dangerous foe into a kinder gentler opponent much less a peace loving state.  Indeed, appeasement is likely to whet not shrink and aggressors appetite for conquest.” 1/THREAD
“Because great powers are programmed for offense, and appease state is likely to interpret any power concession by another state as a sign of weakness -- as evidence that the appeaser is unwilling to defend the balance of power the appeased state is then likely to continue pushing for more concessions.” 2/
“Furthermore, the appeased state’s capability to gain even more power would be enhanced --probably substantially -- by the additional power it was granted by the appeaser. In short, appeasement is likely to make a dangerous rival more, not less, dangerous.” 3/
Read 4 tweets
Jan 19
In 2000, I wrote an article for @washingtonpost warning about Putin's anti-democratic ways & people called me alarmist. 1/ THREAD
In 2014, I wrote a piece in @nytimes calling from containment 2.0 for Russia and people called me a hawk. I wrote a longer piece in @ForeignAffairs a few years later outlining a detailed containment strategy for Russia & I was labeled a "warmonger". 2/
In 2021, I used the word "evil" to describe Putin in the @washingtonpost and I was again berated as a crazy ideologue. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Dec 12, 2023
"How and when we provide this aid matters too. This week, my colleagues from allied countries lamented how indecisive and divided the United States looks, or is, as a country – how are we even not able to push through a bill that enjoys bipartisan support?" 1/ THREAD
"While our allies lament our indecision, division, and polarization, our enemies celebrate them. In Russia, they are laughing at us right now. Putin’s propagandists on state-controlled television praised Republicans for advancing Russian national interests." 2/
" As one of Putin’s most prominent propagandists, Olga Skabeeva, said, “Well done, Republicans! They’re standing firm! That’s good for us.” If Putin’s team is cheering for you, maybe it is time to rethink your actions." 3/
Read 4 tweets
Dec 12, 2023
"Congress should approve new aid to Ukraine as fast as possible—not as a gesture of charity for Ukraine but as a hard-nosed and clear-headed investment in U.S. security objectives." THREADS 1/
"1. A Ukrainian victory will dramatically diminish the threat from Russia." 2/
"2. The war’s outcome has clear implications for U.S. security interests in Asia." 3/
Read 6 tweets

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