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Andrzej Kozlowski Profile picture
@akoz33
Sep 24, 2020 • 10 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Something very strange seems to have happened to former professor of Moscow State Institute of International Relations, historian and political scientists Valery Solovei, who used to be one of the most incisive and accurate Russian political analysts. Now however 🙄
Here is my
translation of znak.com/2020-09-24/pol….
Political scientist, doctor of historical sciences and publicist Valery Solovey in an interview with Ukrainian TV presenter Dmitry Gordon admitted that he is an "associate member" of some powerful secret organization.
There are forces and persons whose influence surpasses any force. In particular, they are stronger than the FSB, stronger than the Foreign Intelligence Service, stronger than the General Staff. These are international non-governmental organizations, let's call them that.
There are several such organizations in the world. I am an associate member of the East European branch of one of these organizations,” said Solovei.
He stated that this organization is not related to the Freemasons or Templars, and also that it is "not an occult organization."

Solovei also added that membership in this Organisation allows him "to have access into fairly wide circles of the establishment, and not only in
Russia, but also in the EU and North America.
The Russian leadership knows about the existence of this organization, it turned to its services at one time. It obtained these services.
The Russian leadership knows that this organization is not only highly effective, but also dangerous. I am not kidding. And this organization provides me with some security guarantees. It cannot provide me with absolute guarantees,
but my level of safety and protection is quite high, ”said Solovei.

He also said that there are several such societies in the world and now "almost all of them are in conflict with the Kremlin."
Dmitry Gordon didn’t openly display any skepticism during the interview, but Solovei, “in order not to make baseless claims,” offered Gordon that he could connect him with a representative of this organization. Gordon did not reply to the offer.

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More from @akoz33

Andrzej Kozlowski Profile picture
Sep 9
I have concluded that Chat GPT 5.0 (Thinking version!) is really excellent at solving elementary (that is Euclidean) geometry problems at the level of IMO’s (which is not surprising because it managed to get the equivalent of a gold medal at the last one).
I came to this conclusion because I tried the following “double test” this summer (I won’t have time for this once the term starts): I have been testing myself and Chat on geometry problems from various past international and national competitions. Of course my main interest was
wanting to find out if Chat was really as good at this as Open AI claimed, but also wanted to see if I could still do such problems myself (the last time I did such things seriously was over 50 years ago) and I have forgotten many theorems about triangles and circles etc.
Read 8 tweets
Andrzej Kozlowski Profile picture
Aug 26
People who write that “Israel is losing allies” obviously don’t know what the word ally means. Israel has not had an ally other than (arguably) the United States since 1956. Perhaps by “ally” they mean something like sympathizer, someone who will express regret when you die and
maybe make a memorial. Selling weapons, by the way, does not an ally make. Israel may no longer have sympathisers in Europe, but it sells more arms to Europe than ever before.
What is much more important than the loss of European sympathy is the fact that there are Saudi and UAE
accounts on X which are openly pro-Israel and they are not only tolerated but actually run by influential persons. Ten years ago that was completely unimaginable. Even the fact that negotiations are taking place between the Syrian government and Israel would have been incredible
Read 4 tweets
Andrzej Kozlowski Profile picture
Jun 19
Nixon is only partly right about Israel’s intelligence. In fact, Israel was well aware of Egyptian and Syrian mobilisation for war. The question was how to interpret it, because the Arabs were using a standard trick - repeated “exercises” that looked like preparation for invasion
To counter this, Israel would have to mobilise every time, which was very costly for its economy. So Dayan and ultimately Golda Meir had to decide what to do. However, Dayan believed that the Arabs were sufficiently deterred and would not initiate a real war but were only
trying to wear out Israel economically. The reason why he thought so was because Israel was believed to possess clear superiority in the air. This was not taking into account the new hand held ground to air missiles the Soviets had provided to the Egyptians. More importantly,
Read 8 tweets
Andrzej Kozlowski Profile picture
Jun 16
I am inclined to think that Trump really wanted to make a deal with Iran (for which, in his mind, he would have deserved a Nobel prize) but as Khamenei would not go along, he agreed to go along with Netanyahu’s plans. I think Bibi has so far played this masterfully- in anybody
in this affair is a chess player - it’s him. Winning over Trump was not easy as Trump is actually very risk averse but Netanyahu persuaded him that he would take all the risk of things going wrong and Trump would get the credit for success. I am inclined to believe that Trump’s
reluctance to support Israel’s action was real, but its effect was to lull Iran into a false sense of security. The evidence that Trump was hedging his bets is Rubio’s early statement, already after Israeli strikes began, that the U.S. had nothing to do with them and was not
Read 8 tweets
Andrzej Kozlowski Profile picture
Mar 11
Paradoxically, the stinginess and slowness of the U.S. military air to Ukraine under Biden, has had several good consequences.
1. It forced Ukraine, in spite of many obstacles due to corruption, bureaucracy and incompetence of its politicians, to start developing its own
weapons industry. On some areas, especially cheap drones it is now way ahead of what the U.S. can deliver (American drones have been one of the greatest disappointments). Moreover, in spite of all the obstacles put in their way by Ukrainian monopolies owned by powerful oligarchs,
most of the drones are now produced by small private enterprise, which is displaying far greater capacity for innovation than the Russians.
2. Because American aid was relatively small and unsophisticated, Europe is now capable of replacing most of it.
Read 5 tweets
Andrzej Kozlowski Profile picture
Mar 6
You can really tell a lot about people on X by using the Sherlock Holmes’s principle of “the odd that did not bark”. All you need to do is to observe what topics people are silent about.
When Biden was POTUS, it was not uncommon for conservative Never-Trumpers to keep silent on
topics that showed the Biden administration in a bad light. In some cases that included even the wave of antisemitism that swept over the Democratic Party after October 7.
Now, it’s the turn of Republicans and self-proclaimed conservatives to keep silent.
One of the favorite topics to keep silent about is the release of the Tate brothers and the role the Trump administration played in it. This is particularly noteworthy because they not only violently sexual predators but antisemite islamists.
(Here one should note the brave and
Read 8 tweets

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