I’m struggling to understand the plan here. Nominate a far-right anti-abortion judge with little cross over appeal and then assume that Democrats will... attack her faith? So that people, who mostly won’t be watching the hearings, forget about the... pandemic they’re living with?
I’m admittedly partisan so I have my biases, but you have to wear a mask everywhere you go. Job loss isn’t something you forget when you turn on the TV and watch the hearings (even “only” 20 mil watched Ford’s testimony for Kavanaugh, there’s no guarantee that’ll happen here)
I also fully cannot believe they’re not nominating Lagoa??????? Like, own the libs I guess but Lagoa would have been an infinitely smarter choice electorally! And less of a chance for a future court expansion.
You’re telling me you have the chance to nominate a Cuban-American Latina whose parents escaped Cuba and would maybe appeal to moderates and a key demo in FL, and instead you’re nominating the abortion lady who wrote a white paper saying Roberts was wrong about upholding the ACA?
She was Elian Gonzalez’s lawyer!!!
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In AZ AG, Mayes is up by 771 votes.
Remaining:
Apache: 4,534
Cochise: 936
Coconino: 489
Gila: 55
Maricopa: 12,277
Mohave: 700
Navajo: 310
Pima: 5,416
Pina: 1,408
Yavapai: 750
Yuma: 670
EV Needed to Process: 9,695
Provisionals: 5,315
Ballots ready to Process: 12,985
Total: 27,545
If every single one of those provisionals counts (unlike), Hamadeh would need 51.40% of the remaining vote to win.
Yes, if the Apache votes are from the Navajo Nation, the math becomes harder for Hamadeh. Hopefully we know today. Hamadeh, thus far, is the last election denier left standing in a swing state that was up for election this year.
Lake continues to fall behind. She's running out of red county vote (only about 25k votes left there) and are still more votes left in the traditional D counties. Big question is what's to come from these last few Maricopa dumps. (fixed transposing error)
I think it's possible that Lake could get a 10% margin out of one or more of the remaining Maricopa batches. Where I'm skeptical is that she could somehow average that for the rest of what's left. Trump couldn't do that with a more R late ballot batch.
Coconino hasn't posted to the AZ SoS site yet, but it was the same story -- Lake now needs every county's remaining ballots to be more than 15% to the right of what the county is currently reporting to win. That's tough, if not very unlikely.
In the last small Coconino update that hasn't posted to the SoS page, Lake actually hit that 20% shift to the right that she needed -- but it was a small drop of only 2000ish votes (I think) and she needs that to be replicated everywhere. It's an extremely high hill to climb.
Today should give us a better guess, but the remaining vote by LD in Maricopa seems red but not overwhelmingly so, not to mention that Hobbs will continue to get votes out of Pima. And there are only 29509 votes left in the very red counties that Lake is winning.