Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Sep 25, 2020 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Footage from busy highway showing the extent of the Ukrainian An-26 crash.
Possible geolocation of Ukraine AF An-26 crash. Note billboard in center of 2x2 lane highway. This location is 1.25 km from the end of the airbase at Chuhuiv. ImageImage
That prognosis of 90% is not good. Awful thing to happen.

...and they've found 2 survivors so far.

Not good.

Unfortunate. 22 people now confirmed dead in the crash. Sources say there cadets among them, which can only mean many of these were young adults in the prime of their lives. Just awful.

I believe I have found the identification of the An-26 airframe that went down in Ukraine. Number 76. Note yellow lettering aft, placement of the Ukrainian Air Force symbol, red on aileron tip and placement of light/dark camo paint. Image
Here are two screencaps from video footage of the crash. Again, note the yellow 7, placement of the Ukraine Air Force symbol, red on aileron tip and placement of light/dark camo paint. ImageImage
Because Ukraine has lost so many aircraft as a result of the War in the Donbass/loss of Crimea, there are as few as 24 An-26s (now 23) in inventory. I have accounted for 16, including #76 pictured below.

But based on the other identifying marks I have confidence it is this one. Image
Friends at The Aviationist have a source indicating Yellow 76 belonged to the 203rd Training Aviation Brigade which is based at Chuhuiv.

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More from @vcdgf555

Apr 19
Thread. Developments on what is happening in Iran and elsewhere tonight (April 18/19, 2024)

1/
AD fire and smoke plume over Isfahan, city where Iranian nuclear research facility is.
2/
Civilian air traffic is being rerouted around Isfahan.

3/
Read 14 tweets
Apr 14
Thread for April 14, 2024 on the fight between Iran and Israel.

Below is an IAF post showing 🇮🇱 F-15Is including aairframes 263 and 246 of 69 Squadron "Hammers" out of Hatzerim AB.

1/
As it stands, Biden has made clear any "offensive" actions against Iran would not involve the US, severally limiting Israel's potential response.

2/
Nevatim AB, one of the locations in Israel that Iran targeted, does not have any significant damage that appears obvious in this video to the runway. Here it receives an 🇮🇱 F-35I.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 4
May develop into a thread.

Watching, for now.
Consider the negotiating in the back channels.

2/
Iranian military to full alert.

3/
Read 81 tweets
Jan 13
(Probably short) Thread.

Known Houthi air assets. Image
1) This Su-22 was videotaped from multiple angles and sources as it overflew a mass rally in Sana'a on January 5.
Source: https://x.com/mamashami/status/1743309209226092641?s=20
Source:  https://x.com/Imyellalot/status/1743287548711960648?s=20
2) Mi-8/17/171 (variant too grainy to distinguish).

Overflew same mass rally in Sana'a January 5th. Note red, white & black Houthi and green, white, red & black Palestinian flags painted on rear loading door. This pattern is similar to an Mi-171Sh seen on shipping raid Nov. 19. Image
Read 6 tweets

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